Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Sep 6 – Oct 5 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

43.4%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

185

MLB

Top Over

Brayan Rocchio

TB • +1.8 • 100

Top Under

George Lombard Jr.

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Junior Caminero

TB • -0.7 • 32

Top 1

Brayan Rocchio

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 2

Ben Rice

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +2.8 | Edge: +1.2

Top 3

Patrick Bailey

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +2.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Liam Hicks

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 78 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +1.2

Top 5

Travis Bazzana

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 78 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +1.2

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Jose Ramirez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ CLE	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jo Adell	3/3	CWS @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Steven Kwan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tristan Peters	3/3	CWS @ CLE	R	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andrew Benintendi ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	R	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Austin Wells	3/3	NYY @ TB	R	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ CLE	R	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	NYY @ TB	R	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Teel	3/3	CWS @ CLE	R	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Patrick Bailey	3/3	CWS @ CLE	R	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	CWS @ CLE	R	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	CWS @ CLE	R	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tristan Peters	3/3	CWS @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Angel Martinez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ CLE	RBI	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Andrew Benintendi ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ TB	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Teel	3/3	CWS @ CLE	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ CLE	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Steven Kwan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	H	1.0	1.1	0.8	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ TB	H	1.0	0.8	0.9	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ CLE	R	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ TB	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chase Delauter ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Ramirez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Junior Caminero	3/3	NYY @ TB	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	CWS @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chase Delauter ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jonny Deluca	3/3	NYY @ TB	H	1.0	1.0	0.9	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jonny Deluca	3/3	NYY @ TB	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Jones	3/3	NYY @ TB	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Walls ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TB	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Garcia Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ TB	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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