Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Sep 23 – Oct 6 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

42.7%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

210

MLB

Top Over

Max Muncy

TB • +2.2 • 100

Top Under

Austin Riley

HR • -0.5 • 68

Top Fade

Sal Frelick

TB • -1.2 • 26

Top 1

Max Muncy

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.6 | Edge: +2.2

Top 2

Jackson Chourio

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Michael Harris Ii

TB • OVER
Conf: 77 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

Gavin Sheets

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 75 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +1.2

Top 5

Jackson Chourio

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 75 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +1.2

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Max Muncy	3/3	LAD @ ATL	TB	3.7	1.1	1.5	100	TOP OVER	+2.6	+2.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ SD	RBI	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Michael Harris Ii	3/3	LAD @ ATL	TB	3.3	2.0	1.5	77	OVER	+1.3	+1.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
4	Gavin Sheets ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ SD	TB	2.7	1.0	1.5	75	TOP OVER	+1.7	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
5	Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ SD	TB	2.7	1.0	1.5	75	TOP OVER	+1.7	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Austin Riley	3/3	LAD @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Manny Machado	3/3	MIL @ SD	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ronald Acuna Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Will Smith	3/3	LAD @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Manny Machado	3/3	MIL @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ozzie Albies	3/3	LAD @ ATL	TB	2.7	1.2	1.5	63	OVER	+1.5	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	MIL @ SD	H	0.3	1.2	1.0	62	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ronald Acuna Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ ATL	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ ATL	TB	2.3	0.8	1.5	57	OVER	+1.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ SD	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ty France	3/3	MIL @ SD	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Austin Riley	3/3	LAD @ ATL	TB	0.0	0.5	1.5	55	UNDER	-0.5	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Ethan Salas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	MIL @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Tommy Edman	3/3	LAD @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Xander Bogaerts	3/3	MIL @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jake Cronenworth	3/3	MIL @ SD	TB	0.0	0.4	1.5	53	UNDER	-0.4	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Ha-seong Kim ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ ATL	TB	0.0	0.3	1.5	51	UNDER	-0.3	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Tommy Edman	3/3	LAD @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Drake Baldwin	3/3	LAD @ ATL	TB	0.3	1.0	1.5	50	UNDER	-0.7	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Michael Harris Ii	3/3	LAD @ ATL	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ozzie Albies	3/3	LAD @ ATL	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Christian Yelich	3/3	MIL @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Drake Baldwin	3/3	LAD @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Miguel Rojas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Mookie Betts	3/3	LAD @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Samad Taylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Mike Yastrzemski ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ ATL	TB	0.0	0.1	1.5	48	UNDER	-0.1	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Austin Riley	3/3	LAD @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	MIL @ SD	TB	0.3	0.6	1.7	47	UNDER	-0.3	-1.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ ATL	TB	2.0	0.6	1.5	46	OVER	+1.4	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Gavin Sheets ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ SD	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
	Ozzie Albies	3/3	LAD @ ATL	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
	Austin Riley	3/3	LAD @ ATL	H	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Will Smith	3/3	LAD @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Will Smith	3/3	LAD @ ATL	H	0.3	1.2	0.7	44	UNDER	-0.9	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Sean Murphy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ ATL	TB	2.0	0.8	1.5	43	OVER	+1.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Dustin Harris	3/3	MIL @ SD	R	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	MIL @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jake Cronenworth	3/3	MIL @ SD	H	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Lane Thomas	3/3	LAD @ ATL	H	0.0	0.3	0.8	43	UNDER	-0.3	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Mookie Betts	3/3	LAD @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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