Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

33.3%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

396

MLB

Top Over

Brayan Rocchio

TB • +1.8 • 100

Top Under

Brenton Doyle

HR • -0.5 • 68

Top Fade

Spencer Jones

TB • -1.8 • 39

Top 1

Brayan Rocchio

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 2

Freddie Freeman

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 3

Jonny Deluca

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.2 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

William Contreras

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.2 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Jonathan Aranda

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 78 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +1.2

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Sal Frelick	3/3	MIL @ SD	R	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Sean Murphy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Taylor Walls	3/3	TB @ NYY	R	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trent Grisham	3/3	TB @ NYY	R	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chase Delauter	3/3	CLE @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ SD	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	LAD @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CLE @ CWS	TB	1.0	0.7	1.5	11	FADE OVER	+0.3	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mookie Betts	3/3	LAD @ ATL	TB	1.0	0.7	1.5	11	FADE OVER	+0.3	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Angel Martinez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CLE @ CWS	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ NYY	TB	1.0	0.8	1.5	9	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ ATL	R	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Austin Wells	3/3	TB @ NYY	R	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Braden Montgomery	3/3	CLE @ CWS	R	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CLE @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	MIL @ SD	R	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mauricio Dubon ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	CLE @ CWS	R	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jo Adell	3/3	CLE @ CWS	H	1.0	0.9	1.4	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	LAD @ ATL	TB	2.0	1.4	2.1	7	FADE OVER	+0.6	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Braden Montgomery	3/3	CLE @ CWS	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Christian Yelich	3/3	MIL @ SD	R	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	TB @ NYY	R	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ NYY	R	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ ATL	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Sean Murphy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ ATL	R	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
George Lombard Jr.	3/3	TB @ NYY	R	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jo Adell	3/3	CLE @ CWS	R	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ ATL	R	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Olson	3/3	LAD @ ATL	R	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Angel Martinez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CLE @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	CLE @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nick Fortes ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TB @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CLE @ CWS	RBI	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CLE @ CWS	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ty France	3/3	MIL @ SD	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CLE @ CWS	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	MIL @ SD	R	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ SD	R	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Max Muncy	3/3	LAD @ ATL	R	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tristan Peters	3/3	CLE @ CWS	H	0.7	0.5	0.9	2	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Enrique Hernandez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ ATL	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ ATL	H	0.7	0.8	0.9	1	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Anthony Volpe ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ NYY	H	0.7	0.8	0.9	1	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Manny Machado	3/3	MIL @ SD	TB	1.3	1.7	1.5	0	WATCH	-0.4	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Richie Palacios	3/3	TB @ NYY	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.8	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Wells	3/3	TB @ NYY	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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