Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Oct 1 – Oct 7 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

38.8%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

396

MLB

Top Over

Brayan Rocchio

TB • +1.8 • 100

Top Under

Brenton Doyle

HR • -0.5 • 68

Top Fade

Spencer Jones

TB • -1.8 • 39

Top 1

Brayan Rocchio

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 2

Freddie Freeman

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 3

Jonny Deluca

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.2 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

William Contreras

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.2 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Jonathan Aranda

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 78 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +1.2

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	MIL @ SD	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ ATL	TB	0.7	0.4	1.5	19	FADE OVER	+0.3	-0.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Anthony Volpe ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.9	19	WATCH	0.0	-0.9	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TB @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.9	19	WATCH	0.0	-0.9	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ SD	TB	1.0	0.3	1.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.7	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Steven Kwan	3/3	CLE @ CWS	R	0.3	0.1	0.9	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.6	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	TB @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Enrique Hernandez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	MIL @ SD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jo Adell	3/3	CLE @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Sean Murphy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Braden Montgomery	3/3	CLE @ CWS	TB	0.7	0.5	1.5	17	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TB @ NYY	RBI	0.7	0.3	1.1	17	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CLE @ CWS	TB	1.0	0.4	1.5	16	FADE OVER	+0.6	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Richie Palacios	3/3	TB @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	CLE @ CWS	R	0.3	0.2	0.9	16	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.6	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mauricio Dubon ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ ATL	H	1.3	1.4	0.7	16	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Steven Kwan	3/3	CLE @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.9	16	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.6	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ ATL	TB	0.7	0.6	1.5	15	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Randal Grichuk	3/3	CLE @ CWS	TB	0.7	0.6	1.5	15	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	LAD @ ATL	H	1.3	1.6	0.9	15	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.4	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Samad Taylor	3/3	MIL @ SD	R	0.3	0.1	0.8	15	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yandy Diaz ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TB @ NYY	TB	1.3	0.4	1.5	14	FADE OVER	+0.9	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chase Delauter	3/3	CLE @ CWS	R	0.7	0.2	0.9	14	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	MIL @ SD	TB	1.0	0.6	1.5	13	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Richie Palacios	3/3	TB @ NYY	TB	1.0	0.6	1.5	13	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ ATL	H	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Spencer Jones	3/3	TB @ NYY	R	0.3	0.3	0.9	13	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.6	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tristan Peters	3/3	CLE @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.9	13	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.6	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Angel Martinez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CLE @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	MIL @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	TB @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joey Ortiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Caballero ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Garcia Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TB @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mauricio Dubon ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CLE @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ronald Acuna Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Vilade ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tommy Edman	3/3	LAD @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	CLE @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Randal Grichuk	3/3	CLE @ CWS	R	0.3	0.2	0.8	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tristan Peters	3/3	CLE @ CWS	R	0.3	0.2	0.8	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ NYY	R	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	CLE @ CWS	H	1.3	1.5	0.9	12	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.4	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	TB @ NYY	R	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	MIL @ SD	R	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Garcia Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TB @ NYY	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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