Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

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Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

MLB

Top Over

Jose Ramirez

RBI • +1.3 • 83

Top Under

Jo Adell

TB • -1.5 • 69

Top Fade

Chandler Simpson

TB • -1.2 • 26

Top 1

Jose Ramirez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Top 2

Jo Adell

TB • UNDER
Conf: 69 | Trend: -1.3 | Edge: -1.5

Top 3

Brayan Rocchio

TB • UNDER
Conf: 67 | Trend: -1.2 | Edge: -1.5

Top 4

Patrick Bailey

TB • UNDER
Conf: 65 | Trend: -1.1 | Edge: -1.5

Top 5

Liam Hicks

TB • UNDER
Conf: 60 | Trend: -0.8 | Edge: -1.5

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Jose Ramirez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
2	Jo Adell	3/3	TB @ CLE	TB	0.0	1.3	1.5	69	UNDER	-1.3	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
3	Brayan Rocchio	3/3	TB @ CLE	TB	0.0	1.2	1.5	67	UNDER	-1.2	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
4	Patrick Bailey	3/3	TB @ CLE	TB	0.0	1.1	1.5	65	UNDER	-1.1	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
5	Liam Hicks	3/3	TB @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.8	1.5	60	UNDER	-0.8	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Travis Bazzana	3/3	TB @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.8	1.5	60	UNDER	-0.8	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Chase Delauter	3/3	TB @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.7	1.5	58	UNDER	-0.7	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Steven Kwan	3/3	TB @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.7	1.5	58	UNDER	-0.7	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Patrick Bailey	3/3	TB @ CLE	R	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Brayan Rocchio	3/3	TB @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jonny Deluca	3/3	TB @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	TB @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.4	1.5	53	UNDER	-0.4	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jose Ramirez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ CLE	H	1.7	1.3	0.7	50	OVER	+0.4	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Chase Delauter	3/3	TB @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jo Adell	3/3	TB @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Petey Halpin	3/3	TB @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.1	1.5	48	UNDER	-0.1	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Brayan Rocchio	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jose Ramirez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ CLE	R	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Steven Kwan	3/3	TB @ CLE	R	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ CLE	H	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Richie Palacios	3/3	TB @ CLE	TB	0.3	0.6	1.5	43	UNDER	-0.3	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Brayan Rocchio	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jonny Deluca	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Yandy Diaz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	1.3	0.9	0.7	42	OVER	+0.4	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Patrick Bailey	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	1.3	0.9	0.7	42	OVER	+0.4	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Chase Delauter	3/3	TB @ CLE	R	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jo Adell	3/3	TB @ CLE	R	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jose Ramirez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ CLE	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
	Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Steven Kwan	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Yandy Diaz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ CLE	R	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Petey Halpin	3/3	TB @ CLE	R	0.0	0.1	0.8	38	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Steven Kwan	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jo Adell	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	1.3	1.1	0.7	36	OVER	+0.2	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Patrick Bailey	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	1.3	1.1	0.7	36	OVER	+0.2	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Liam Hicks	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.7	35	OVER	+0.6	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Liam Hicks	3/3	TB @ CLE	R	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	TB @ CLE	R	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Petey Halpin	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Taylor Walls	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Taylor Walls	3/3	TB @ CLE	R	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Richie Palacios	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jonny Deluca	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	1.3	1.3	0.7	31	OVER	+0.0	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Patrick Bailey	3/3	TB @ CLE	HR	0.7	0.5	0.5	30	OVER	+0.2	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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