Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

607

NFL

Top Over

Kirk Cousins

PASS YDS • +66.3 • 100

Top Under

Tyler Shough

PASS YDS • -77.4 • 100

Top Fade

Patrick Mahomes

PASS ATT • -4.1 • 74

Top 1

Tyler Shough

PASS YDS • TOP UNDER
Conf: 100 | Trend: -86.2 | Edge: -77.4

Top 2

Kirk Cousins

PASS YDS • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +61.2 | Edge: +66.3

Top 3

Bo Nix

PASS YDS • TOP UNDER
Conf: 100 | Trend: -52.3 | Edge: -69.5

Top 4

Jaylin Noel

REC YDS • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +37.6 | Edge: +58.1

Top 5

Chuba Hubbard

RUSH YDS • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +53.0 | Edge: +41.1

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Darnell Washington	3/3	PIT @ NOP	REC	3.0	2.4	2.5	32	OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jonathan Taylor	3/3	IND @ MIN	REC	2.0	2.6	2.5	32	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Rj Harvey	3/3	DEN @ ARI	REC	4.3	4.2	3.5	32	OVER	+0.1	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bryce Young	3/3	TB @ CAR	INT	0.3	0.5	0.5	32	UNDER	-0.2	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Geno Smith	3/3	MIA @ NYJ	INT	0.3	0.5	0.5	32	UNDER	-0.2	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Olamide Zaccheaus ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ ATL	REC YDS	0.0	6.7	7.5	31	UNDER	-6.7	-7.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chris Godwin Jr.	3/3	TB @ CAR	REC YDS	35.0	38.2	45.3	31	UNDER	-3.2	-10.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Rico Dowdle ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ NOP	RUSH ATT	7.3	9.5	7.5	31	UNDER	-2.2	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Emanuel Wilson	3/3	KC @ SEA	REC	1.7	0.7	1.5	31	OVER	+1.0	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Blake Corum	3/3	LAR @ LV	REC	2.0	1.5	1.5	31	OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Shough	3/3	PIT @ NOP	PASS TDS	1.3	1.7	1.5	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Juwan Johnson	3/3	PIT @ NOP	REC YDS	25.0	52.3	24.7	30	FADE UNDER	-27.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jonathan Taylor	3/3	IND @ MIN	RUSH YDS	78.0	72.1	70.0	30	OVER	+5.9	+8.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jahmyr Gibbs	3/3	GB @ DET	REC YDS	50.7	46.2	41.8	30	OVER	+4.5	+8.9	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyren Williams	3/3	LAR @ LV	RUSH YDS	59.7	63.6	68.8	30	UNDER	-3.9	-9.1	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Devaughn Vele	3/3	PIT @ NOP	REC	4.3	4.7	4.9	30	UNDER	-0.4	-0.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tyrone Tracy Jr.	3/3	NYG @ HOU	REC YDS	17.3	13.7	8.5	29	OVER	+3.6	+8.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Rashid Shaheed	3/3	KC @ SEA	REC	2.7	1.8	2.5	29	OVER	+0.9	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bo Nix	3/3	DEN @ ARI	RUSH YDS	7.3	16.8	10.7	28	UNDER	-9.5	-3.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jordan Mason ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	IND @ MIN	RUSH YDS	52.7	43.4	49.1	28	OVER	+9.3	+3.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Patrick Mahomes	3/3	KC @ SEA	PASS YDS	247.7	254.7	218.4	27	FADE UNDER	-7.0	+29.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Bijan Robinson	3/3	SF @ ATL	RUSH YDS	97.3	103.8	81.8	27	FADE UNDER	-6.5	+15.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Quinshon Judkins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TEN	RUSH YDS	55.7	42.8	55.4	27	OVER	+12.9	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Derrick Henry	3/3	CIN @ BAL	RUSH ATT	21.3	21.5	18.7	27	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+2.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Xavier Hutchinson	3/3	NYG @ HOU	REC	3.0	3.1	1.7	27	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+1.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Josh Jacobs ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	GB @ DET	REC	1.3	2.1	1.5	27	UNDER	-0.8	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Pitts Sr.	3/3	SF @ ATL	REC	4.3	4.1	3.8	27	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Shough	3/3	PIT @ NOP	INT	0.7	0.6	0.5	27	OVER	+0.1	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kayshon Boutte	3/3	NYG @ HOU	REC YDS	30.0	33.7	12.8	26	FADE UNDER	-3.7	+17.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Tez Johnson	3/3	TB @ CAR	REC YDS	29.3	18.0	28.3	26	OVER	+11.3	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Adam Trautman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DEN @ ARI	REC YDS	0.0	11.2	1.0	26	UNDER	-11.2	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pat Freiermuth	3/3	PIT @ NOP	REC YDS	24.0	33.2	26.8	26	UNDER	-9.2	-2.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Patrick Mahomes	3/3	KC @ SEA	RUSH ATT	2.7	3.4	3.5	26	UNDER	-0.7	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Allgeier	3/3	DEN @ ARI	RUSH ATT	9.7	8.8	9.0	26	OVER	+0.9	+0.7	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bucky Irving	3/3	TB @ CAR	ANYTIME TD	0.3	0.2	0.5	26	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
C.j. Stroud	3/3	NYG @ HOU	ANYTIME TD	0.3	0.2	0.5	26	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Courtland Sutton	3/3	DEN @ ARI	ANYTIME TD	0.3	0.2	0.5	26	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Foster Moreau	3/3	NYG @ HOU	ANYTIME TD	0.3	0.2	0.5	26	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
George Holani	3/3	KC @ SEA	ANYTIME TD	0.3	0.2	0.5	26	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jameson Williams	3/3	GB @ DET	ANYTIME TD	0.3	0.2	0.5	26	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jaylen Waddle	3/3	DEN @ ARI	ANYTIME TD	0.3	0.2	0.5	26	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jaylen Warren	3/3	PIT @ NOP	ANYTIME TD	0.3	0.2	0.5	26	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jordan Addison ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	IND @ MIN	ANYTIME TD	0.3	0.2	0.5	26	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Justin Jefferson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	IND @ MIN	ANYTIME TD	0.3	0.2	0.5	26	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mo Alie-cox	3/3	IND @ MIN	ANYTIME TD	0.3	0.2	0.5	26	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Noah Fant	3/3	PIT @ NOP	ANYTIME TD	0.3	0.2	0.5	26	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Quinshon Judkins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TEN	ANYTIME TD	0.3	0.2	0.5	26	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tetairoa Mcmillan	3/3	TB @ CAR	ANYTIME TD	0.3	0.2	0.5	26	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tommy Tremble	3/3	TB @ CAR	ANYTIME TD	0.3	0.2	0.5	26	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tony Pollard	3/3	CLE @ TEN	ANYTIME TD	0.3	0.2	0.5	26	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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