Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Min Trend Delta

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

635

NFL

Top Over

Drake Maye

PASS YDS • +70.7 • 100

Top Under

Ashton Jeanty

RUSH YDS • -29.2 • 100

Top Fade

Lamar Jackson

PASS ATT • -6.8 • 93

Top 1

Drake Maye

PASS YDS • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +75.6 | Edge: +70.7

Top 2

Ollie Gordon Ii

RUSH YDS • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +62.3 | Edge: +35.3

Top 3

Ashton Jeanty

RUSH YDS • TOP UNDER
Conf: 100 | Trend: -39.0 | Edge: -29.2

Top 4

Bucky Irving

RUSH YDS • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +32.4 | Edge: +35.8

Top 5

Chase Brown

RUSH YDS • TOP UNDER
Conf: 100 | Trend: -28.4 | Edge: -29.9

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Drake Maye	3/3	NE @ MIA	PASS YDS	310.0	234.4	239.3	100	TOP OVER	+75.6	+70.7	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Ollie Gordon Ii	3/3	NE @ MIA	RUSH YDS	97.0	34.7	61.7	100	TOP OVER	+62.3	+35.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Ashton Jeanty	3/3	LV @ NYJ	RUSH YDS	21.3	60.3	50.5	100	TOP UNDER	-39.0	-29.2	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
4	Bucky Irving	3/3	ATL @ TB	RUSH YDS	105.7	73.3	69.9	100	TOP OVER	+32.4	+35.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Chase Brown	3/3	TEN @ CIN	RUSH YDS	29.3	57.7	59.2	100	TOP UNDER	-28.4	-29.9	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Dalton Kincaid	3/3	BAL @ BUF	REC YDS	17.3	47.4	44.5	100	TOP UNDER	-30.1	-27.2	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Jacoby Brissett	3/3	ARI @ DAL	PASS ATT	43.3	28.2	36.3	100	TOP OVER	+15.1	+7.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Joe Burrow	3/3	TEN @ CIN	PASS ATT	38.7	21.9	33.7	100	TOP OVER	+16.8	+5.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Dak Prescott	3/3	ARI @ DAL	PASS ATT	41.0	27.3	34.1	100	TOP OVER	+13.7	+6.9	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jared Goff	3/3	MIN @ DET	PASS ATT	38.0	22.3	33.5	100	TOP OVER	+15.7	+4.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Matthew Stafford	3/3	LAC @ LAR	PASS CMP	29.3	18.7	22.7	100	TOP OVER	+10.6	+6.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Kirk Cousins	3/3	LV @ NYJ	PASS ATT	37.7	25.7	32.5	100	TOP OVER	+12.0	+5.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Daniel Jones	3/3	IND @ JAC	PASS ATT	36.0	24.0	31.5	100	TOP OVER	+12.0	+4.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Matthew Stafford	3/3	LAC @ LAR	PASS ATT	38.7	27.8	33.5	100	TOP OVER	+10.9	+5.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ashton Jeanty	3/3	LV @ NYJ	RUSH ATT	9.3	17.2	13.5	100	TOP UNDER	-7.9	-4.2	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Saquon Barkley ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ WSH	RUSH ATT	8.0	15.1	11.8	100	TOP UNDER	-7.1	-3.8	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Bucky Irving	3/3	ATL @ TB	RUSH ATT	21.3	17.4	16.5	100	TOP OVER	+3.9	+4.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jordan Mason ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIN @ DET	RUSH ATT	14.7	9.1	11.5	100	TOP OVER	+5.6	+3.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Tyler Warren ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	IND @ JAC	REC	7.0	4.8	4.5	100	TOP OVER	+2.2	+2.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Brenton Strange	3/3	IND @ JAC	REC	6.3	4.2	3.9	100	TOP OVER	+2.1	+2.4	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Puka Nacua	3/3	LAC @ LAR	REC	10.3	8.4	7.8	100	TOP OVER	+1.9	+2.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ja'marr Chase	3/3	TEN @ CIN	REC	4.7	6.6	6.7	100	TOP UNDER	-1.9	-2.0	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Drake Maye	3/3	NE @ MIA	PASS TDS	3.0	1.8	1.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Dak Prescott	3/3	ARI @ DAL	INT	1.3	0.5	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Blake Corum	3/3	LAC @ LAR	ANYTIME TD	1.0	0.3	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Keon Coleman	3/3	BAL @ BUF	ANYTIME TD	1.0	0.4	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Kyle Pitts Sr.	3/3	ATL @ TB	ANYTIME TD	1.0	0.4	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ollie Gordon Ii	3/3	NE @ MIA	ANYTIME TD	1.0	0.4	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Bijan Robinson	3/3	ATL @ TB	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.5	0.5	100	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Dallas Goedert	3/3	PHI @ WSH	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.5	0.5	100	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Dj Moore ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ BUF	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.5	0.5	100	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	James Cook Iii	3/3	BAL @ BUF	ANYTIME TD	1.0	0.5	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Amon-ra St. Brown	3/3	MIN @ DET	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.4	0.5	100	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Chase Brown	3/3	TEN @ CIN	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.4	0.5	100	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Harold Fannin Jr.	3/3	CLE @ PIT	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.4	0.5	100	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Michael Wilson	3/3	ARI @ DAL	ANYTIME TD	0.0	0.4	0.5	100	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Mike Gesicki	3/3	TEN @ CIN	ANYTIME TD	1.0	0.6	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.4	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Kirk Cousins	3/3	LV @ NYJ	PASS YDS	283.7	238.0	231.6	98	TOP OVER	+45.7	+52.1	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Tee Higgins	3/3	TEN @ CIN	REC YDS	109.0	84.2	71.5	98	TOP OVER	+24.8	+37.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Cade Otton	3/3	ATL @ TB	REC	1.3	3.2	3.5	98	TOP UNDER	-1.9	-2.2	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Ceedee Lamb	3/3	ARI @ DAL	REC YDS	51.0	75.2	83.5	97	TOP UNDER	-24.2	-32.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Trevor Lawrence	3/3	IND @ JAC	PASS ATT	34.3	18.4	30.5	96	TOP OVER	+15.9	+3.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Joe Burrow	3/3	TEN @ CIN	PASS CMP	28.0	15.7	24.8	96	TOP OVER	+12.3	+3.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Baker Mayfield ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ TB	PASS YDS	154.3	196.6	212.9	95	TOP UNDER	-42.3	-58.6	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Brenton Strange	3/3	IND @ JAC	REC YDS	69.0	43.3	41.5	95	TOP OVER	+25.7	+27.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ryan Flournoy	3/3	ARI @ DAL	REC YDS	66.7	43.0	37.5	95	TOP OVER	+23.7	+29.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Aaron Rodgers	3/3	CLE @ PIT	PASS CMP	24.7	16.2	21.5	95	TOP OVER	+8.5	+3.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Keon Coleman	3/3	BAL @ BUF	REC YDS	60.7	39.4	28.6	94	TOP OVER	+21.3	+32.1	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Aaron Rodgers	3/3	CLE @ PIT	PASS ATT	36.7	26.3	33.1	94	TOP OVER	+10.4	+3.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ollie Gordon Ii	3/3	NE @ MIA	RUSH ATT	17.3	8.4	15.3	94	TOP OVER	+8.9	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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