⚡ Nex Board

The 4 Scoring Dimensions

Raw Edge (50% weight) — The foundation. For props, this measures hit rate vs. the line, projected stat edge, minutes security, role stability, and usage opportunity. For sides, it factors injury edge, home court advantage, team strength gaps, recent form, and market alignment. This is where the pure data advantage lives.

Play-Type Trust — Not all play types are created equal. Moneylines on home favorites, star player rebounds, and small spreads have historically higher conversion rates — so they score higher. Role-player 3PM props and large spreads get docked because the variance is too high. This layer filters out plays that look good on paper but don't cash consistently.

Cleanliness — A stability check. Star players with locked-in minutes and defined roles score higher. Bench players, blowout-risk games, injury-dependent usage bumps, and hot-shooting reliance all get penalized. Clean plays are repeatable plays.

Card Fit — Built for daily card construction. This layer favors the pick types that historically perform on daily cards — moneylines, star rebounds and assists, tight spreads. It deprioritizes picks that might have edge in isolation but don't build well into a cohesive card.

Reading the Board

Score 75+ — Elite territory. These plays have strong edge across all four dimensions. The engine's highest conviction picks.

Score 65–74 — Strong plays with solid fundamentals. Multiple dimensions are firing and the overall profile is clean.

Score 55–64 — Above average. The edge is there, but one or two dimensions may be weaker. Still viable, especially in combination with other signals.

Below 55 — Below the recommended threshold. The engine sees some edge but not enough to rank it as a confident play.