Pre-game prop analysis powered by recent player performance. Every prop graded before tipoff.
| # | Sport | Player | Matchup | Stat | Line | Odds | L5 Avg | Edge | Hit | Trend | Score | Grade | Final | Over | Under | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | MLB | Ceddanne Rafaela 10 games | BOS vs BOS@NYM | RBI | 0.5 | +193 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | -0.4 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 202 | MLB | Cole Young 10 games | SEA vs SEA@TBR | H | 0.5 | -140 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 3/5 | +0.1 | 42 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 203 | MLB | Colt Keith 10 games | DET vs PHI@DET | RBI | 0.5 | +257 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | -0.1 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 204 | MLB | Curtis Mead 10 games | WSH vs NYY@WSN | RBI | 0.5 | +196 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | -0.1 | 42 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 205 | MLB | Denzer Guzman 10 games | LAA vs LAA@MIN | H | 0.5 | -150 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | -0.5 | 42 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 206 | MLB | Dominic Canzone 10 games | SEA vs SEA@TBR | RBI | 0.5 | +200 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.3 | 42 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 207 | MLB | Edwin Arroyo 10 games | CIN vs CHC@CIN | H | 0.5 | -150 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | +0.1 | 42 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 208 | MLB | Elly De La Cruz 10 games | CIN vs CHC@CIN | RBI | 0.5 | +175 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | -0.1 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 209 | MLB | Enmanuel Valdez 10 games | PIT vs MIL@PIT | RBI | 0.5 | +170 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.2 | 42 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 210 | MLB | Ernie Clement 10 games | TOR vs TOR@SDP | H | 1.5 | +181 | 1.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.2 | 42 | F | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 211 | MLB | Esmerlyn Valdez 10 games | PIT vs MIL@PIT | RBI | 0.5 | +186 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.2 | 42 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 212 | MLB | Eugenio Suarez 10 games | CIN vs CHC@CIN | H | 0.5 | -144 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | +0.2 | 42 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 213 | MLB | Gabriel Arias 10 games | CLE vs CLE@MIA | RBI | 0.5 | +203 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | -0.1 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 214 | MLB | Gabriel Moreno 10 games | AZ vs ARI@LAD | RBI | 0.5 | +196 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.2 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 215 | MLB | Hunter Feduccia 10 games | TB vs SEA@TBR | RBI | 0.5 | +322 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.3 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 216 | MLB | Isaac Collins 10 games | KC vs KCR@BAL | H | 0.5 | -140 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | -0.2 | 42 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 217 | MLB | J.P. Crawford 10 games | SEA vs SEA@TBR | H | 0.5 | -150 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | +0.1 | 42 | F | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 218 | MLB | J.T. Realmuto 10 games | PHI vs PHI@DET | H | 0.5 | -150 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 3/5 | +0.1 | 42 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 219 | MLB | J.T. Realmuto 10 games | PHI vs PHI@DET | RBI | 0.5 | +262 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.4 | 42 | F | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 220 | MLB | Jacob Young 10 games | WSH vs NYY@WSN | H | 0.5 | -145 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | +0.1 | 42 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 221 | MLB | Jake Cronenworth 10 games | SD vs TOR@SDP | RBI | 0.5 | +287 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | -0.4 | 42 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 222 | MLB | Jakob Marsee 10 games | MIA vs CLE@MIA | RBI | 0.5 | +243 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | -0.1 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 223 | MLB | James Jarvis 7 games | vs ATL@STL | RBI | 0.5 | +307 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.2 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 224 | MLB | Jonathan Aranda 10 games | TB vs SEA@TBR | RBI | 0.5 | +202 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | -0.1 | 42 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 225 | MLB | Jose Altuve 10 games | HOU vs HOU@TEX | RBI | 0.5 | +234 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | -0.5 | 42 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 226 | MLB | Jose Fermin 7 games | LAA vs ATL@STL | H | 0.5 | -150 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | -0.4 | 42 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 227 | MLB | Kevin McGonigle 10 games | DET vs PHI@DET | RBI | 0.5 | +250 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.3 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 228 | MLB | Kyle Schwarber 10 games | PHI vs PHI@DET | RBI | 0.5 | +184 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | -0.3 | 42 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 229 | MLB | Luis Garcia Jr. 10 games | WSH vs NYY@WSN | RBI | 0.5 | +178 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | -0.3 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 230 | MLB | Manny Machado 10 games | SD vs TOR@SDP | RBI | 0.5 | +181 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.2 | 42 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 231 | MLB | Michael Massey 10 games | KC vs KCR@BAL | RBI | 0.5 | +238 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | -0.4 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 232 | MLB | Mitch Garver 10 games | SEA vs SEA@TBR | RBI | 0.5 | +259 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.3 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 233 | MLB | Pete Alonso 10 games | BAL vs KCR@BAL | RBI | 0.5 | +125 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | +0.1 | 42 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 234 | MLB | Sal Stewart 10 games | CIN vs CHC@CIN | RBI | 0.5 | +153 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | -0.3 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 235 | MLB | Samuel Basallo 10 games | BAL vs KCR@BAL | RBI | 0.5 | +155 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.1 | 42 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 236 | MLB | Trent Grisham 10 games | NYY vs NYY@WSN | RBI | 0.5 | +205 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.3 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 237 | MLB | Xander Bogaerts 10 games | SD vs TOR@SDP | RBI | 0.5 | +216 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | +0.2 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 238 | MLB | Yandy Diaz 10 games | TB vs SEA@TBR | H | 1.5 | +185 | 1.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | -0.2 | 42 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 239 | MLB | Yordan Alvarez 10 games | HOU vs HOU@TEX | RBI | 0.5 | +140 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | -0.4 | 42 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 240 | MLB | Zach Dezenzo 10 games | HOU vs HOU@TEX | H | 0.5 | +101 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.3 | 42 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 241 | MLB | Hao-Yu Lee 10 games | DET vs PHI@DET | H | 0.5 | -108 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.3 | 41 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 242 | MLB | Nasim Nunez 10 games | WSH vs NYY@WSN | H | 0.5 | -140 | 1 | +0.5 | 2/5 | -0.1 | 41 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 243 | MLB | TJ Friedl 10 games | CIN vs CHC@CIN | H | 0.5 | -105 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.4 | 41 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 244 | MLB | Tristan Peters 10 games | CWS vs ATHLETICS@ | H | 0.5 | -140 | 1 | +0.5 | 2/5 | +0.5 | 41 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 245 | MLB | Andrew Benintendi 10 games | CWS vs ATHLETICS@ | H | 0.5 | -160 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | +0 | 40 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 246 | MLB | Andy Pages 10 games | LAD vs ARI@LAD | H | 1.5 | +190 | 1.2 | -0.3 | 2/5 | +0.8 | 40 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 247 | MLB | Austin Riley 10 games | ATL vs ATL@STL | H | 0.5 | -165 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | -0.1 | 40 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 248 | MLB | Brandon Marsh 10 games | PHI vs PHI@DET | H | 0.5 | -185 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | +0.3 | 40 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 249 | MLB | Bryce Eldridge 10 games | SF vs COL@SFG | H | 0.5 | -151 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | +0.1 | 40 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 250 | MLB | Carson Kelly 10 games | CHC vs CHC@CIN | H | 0.5 | -220 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | -0.1 | 40 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN |
Every prop scored on a 0–100 scale before tipoff — built to separate high-confidence plays from coin flips.
The Prop Grader analyzes every available player prop before games begin. It pulls recent performance data — the last 5 to 10 games — and runs each prop through a multi-factor scoring model. The result is a composite score and letter grade that tells you how confident the data is behind any given prop.
Scoring Factors
Edge vs Line (up to 35 pts) — How far the player's recent average sits above or below the prop line. A large positive edge means the player has been consistently clearing this number.
Hit Rate (up to 25 pts) — Out of the last 5 games, how many times did the player actually beat this line? A 5/5 hit rate earns full marks.
Trend (up to 15 pts) — Is the player trending up or down? Compares the last 3 games against the last 10 to detect momentum shifts.
Role Stability (up to 15 pts) — For NBA, this checks minutes consistency. A starter playing 34+ minutes with low variance is more predictable than someone fluctuating between 20 and 35.
Odds Value (up to 10 pts) — Props with plus-money or short juice are more valuable than heavily juiced lines. Better odds mean better expected value.
Grade Scale
A (85–100) — Elite. Strong edge, near-perfect hit rate, positive trend, stable role. These are the highest-confidence props on the board.
B (75–84) — Strong. Most factors are favorable. Solid plays with data backing them up.
C (65–74) — Average. The numbers lean positive but there may be a weak factor pulling the score down.
D (55–64) — Below average. The edge is thin or the recent track record is inconsistent.
F (below 55) — Weak. The data doesn't support this prop. Proceed with caution or skip entirely.
Grades are computed before tipoff using data available at that time. After games complete, each prop is matched against the actual box score and marked as a win, loss, or push.