Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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← Apr 23 – May 22 →

Wins

Losses

198

Push

Win %

31.5%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-05-22 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

333

Total Found

183

Shown

183

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Ezequiel Duran ELITE	3/3	TEX @ LAA	3B	Grayson Rodriguez RHB vs RHP ERA 17.18	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	135.7	2, 4, 2	3/3 100.0%	14.3%	85.7%	0	TEX @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
2	Jake Bauers ELITE	3/3	LAD @ MIL	1B	Justin Wrobleski LHB vs LHP Ace 99% ERA 2.49	Runs Batted In	0.5	+220	118.8	1, 1, 4	3/3 100.0%	31.3%	68.8%	0	LAD @ MIL 7:40 PM ET Final L
3	Michael Harris II ELITE	3/3	WSH @ ATL	CF	Miles Mikolas LHB vs RHP ERA 6.91	Hits	1.5	+180	114.3	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	35.7%	64.3%	1	WSH @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final/11 L
4	Alec Bohm	3/3	CLE @ PHI	1B	Gavin Williams RHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.67	Home Runs	0.5	+1200	92.3	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	7.7%	59.0%	0	CLE @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final L
5	Jake Bauers ELITE	3/3	LAD @ MIL	1B	Justin Wrobleski LHB vs LHP Ace 99% ERA 2.49	Hits	0.5	-140	91.7	1, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	58.3%	41.7%	1	LAD @ MIL 7:40 PM ET Final W
6	Josh Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ LAA	RF	Jacob deGrom LHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 3.02	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	90.0	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	N/A	TEX @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final
7	Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ MIA	3B	Eury Pérez RHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 5.33	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	2, 0, 4	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	NYM @ MIA 7:10 PM ET Final L
8	Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ TOR	LF	Kevin Gausman S vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 3.45	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	1	PIT @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
9	Jarren Duran	3/3	MIN @ BOS	PH	Connor Prielipp LHB vs LHP ERA 2.88	Home Runs	0.5	+700	87.5	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	MIN @ BOS 7:10 PM ET Final L
10	Jarren Duran	3/3	MIN @ BOS	PH	Connor Prielipp LHB vs LHP ERA 2.88	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	2, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	1	MIN @ BOS 7:10 PM ET Final L
11	Miguel Andujar	3/3	OAK @ SD	PH	Jeffrey Springs RHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 3.93	Home Runs	0.5	+700	87.5	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	ATH @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final L
12	Willy Adames	3/3	CWS @ SF		TBD	Home Runs	0.5	+700	87.5	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	CHW @ SF 10:15 PM ET Final L
13	Yandy Díaz ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TB @ NYY	DH	Gerrit Cole RHB vs RHP	Home Runs	0.5	+700	87.5	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	TB @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final L
14	Yandy Díaz ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TB @ NYY	DH	Gerrit Cole RHB vs RHP	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	2, 4, 1	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	TB @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final L
15	Jake Burger ELITE	3/3	TEX @ LAA	1B	Grayson Rodriguez RHB vs RHP ERA 17.18	Hits	0.5	-180	85.7	2, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	64.3%	35.7%	1	TEX @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final W
16	Drake Baldwin ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	WSH @ ATL	DH	Miles Mikolas LHB vs RHP ERA 6.91	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	84.6	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	N/A	WSH @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final/11
17	Brady House ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	WSH @ ATL		TBD	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	N/A	WSH @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final/11
18	Ezequiel Duran ELITE	3/3	TEX @ LAA	3B	Grayson Rodriguez RHB vs RHP ERA 17.18	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 3, 3	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	0	TEX @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
19	Mauricio Dubón ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	WSH @ ATL	SS	Miles Mikolas RHB vs RHP ERA 6.91	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 1, 3	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	3	WSH @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final/11 W
20	Ryan Jeffers ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIN @ BOS	C	Payton Tolle RHB vs LHP ERA 2.05	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	N/A	MIN @ BOS 7:10 PM ET Final
21	Tyler Freeman ELITE	3/3	COL @ ARI		TBD	Hits	0.5	-200	83.3	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	66.7%	33.3%	0	COL @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
22	Brandon Lockridge ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ MIL	RF	Justin Wrobleski RHB vs LHP Ace 99% ERA 2.49	Hits	1.5	+500	83.3	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	N/A	LAD @ MIL 7:40 PM ET Final
23	Kyle Stowers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ MIA		Tobias Myers LHB vs RHP ERA 3.41	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	83.3	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	0	NYM @ MIA 7:10 PM ET Final L
24	Michael Harris II	3/3	WSH @ ATL	CF	Miles Mikolas LHB vs RHP ERA 6.91	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	83.3	3, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	0	WSH @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final/11 L
25	Willson Contreras	3/3	MIN @ BOS	1B	Connor Prielipp RHB vs LHP ERA 2.88	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	83.3	0, 3, 2	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	1	MIN @ BOS 7:10 PM ET Final L

Showing 1–25 of 183 plays

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