Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

14.3%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-05-23 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

348

Total Found

197

Shown

197

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
26	Pete Alonso	3/3	DET @ BAL		Framber Valdez RHB vs LHP Weak 29% ERA 4.58	Home Runs	0.5	+525	84.0	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	16.0%	50.7%	N/A	DET @ BAL 4:05 PM ET Postponed
27	Brandon Lockridge ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ MIL	RF	Roki Sasaki RHB vs RHP ERA 5.09	Hits	1.5	+500	83.3	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	N/A	LAD @ MIL 7:15 PM ET Final
28	CJ Abrams	3/3	WSH @ ATL		Grant Holmes LHB vs RHP Average 47% ERA 3.80	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	83.3	3, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	0	WSH @ ATL 4:10 PM ET Final L
29	Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ CIN	DH	Chris Paddack RHB vs RHP Replacement 3% ERA 7.07	Home Runs	0.5	+500	83.3	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	0	STL @ CIN 1:10 PM ET Final L
30	Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ CIN	DH	Chris Paddack RHB vs RHP Replacement 3% ERA 7.07	Home Runs	0.5	+500	83.3	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	0	STL @ CIN 7:15 PM ET Final/11 L
31	Pete Alonso	3/3	DET @ BAL		Framber Valdez RHB vs LHP Weak 29% ERA 4.58	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	82.6	4, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	N/A	DET @ BAL 4:05 PM ET Postponed
32	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ELITE	3/3	PIT @ TOR	DH	Paul Skenes RHB vs RHP Weak 25% ERA 2.62	Hits	0.5	-220	81.3	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	68.8%	31.3%	2	PIT @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final W
33	Sal Stewart	3/3	STL @ CIN	1B	Andre Pallante RHB vs RHP Average 38% ERA 4.04	Home Runs	0.5	+425	81.0	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	19.0%	47.6%	0	STL @ CIN 1:10 PM ET Final L
34	Sal Stewart	3/3	STL @ CIN	1B	Andre Pallante RHB vs RHP Average 38% ERA 4.04	Home Runs	0.5	+425	81.0	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	19.0%	47.6%	0	STL @ CIN 7:15 PM ET Final/11 L
35	Blake Dunn	3/3	STL @ CIN		Andre Pallante RHB vs RHP Average 38% ERA 4.04	Hits	1.5	+400	80.0	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	2	STL @ CIN 1:10 PM ET Final W
36	Blake Dunn	3/3	STL @ CIN		Andre Pallante RHB vs RHP Average 38% ERA 4.04	Hits	1.5	+400	80.0	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	2	STL @ CIN 7:15 PM ET Final/11 W
37	Joey Bart ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PIT @ TOR		Patrick Corbin RHB vs LHP ERA 4.23	Hits	1.5	+400	80.0	4, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	N/A	PIT @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final
38	Juan Soto	3/3	NYM @ MIA	LF	Max Meyer LHB vs RHP Good 83% ERA 2.85	Home Runs	0.5	+400	80.0	1, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	0	NYM @ MIA 4:10 PM ET Final L
39	Justin Foscue	3/3	TEX @ LAA	PH	Walbert Ureña RHB vs RHP ERA 2.70	Hits	1.5	+380	79.2	2, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	20.8%	45.8%	0	TEX @ LAA 10:05 PM ET Final L
40	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	TB @ NYY	PH	Drew Rasmussen LHB vs RHP Good 84% ERA 3.19	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	N/A	TB @ NYY 1:35 PM ET Postponed
41	Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ ATL		Grant Holmes S vs RHP Average 47% ERA 3.80	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	1	WSH @ ATL 4:10 PM ET Final L
42	Nathaniel Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ CIN		Andre Pallante LHB vs RHP Average 38% ERA 4.04	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	2	STL @ CIN 1:10 PM ET Final W
43	Nathaniel Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ CIN		Andre Pallante LHB vs RHP Average 38% ERA 4.04	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	2	STL @ CIN 7:15 PM ET Final/11 W
44	Ryan Waldschmidt	3/3	COL @ ARI		Michael Lorenzen RHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 7.03	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	2	COL @ ARI 10:10 PM ET Final W
45	CJ Abrams	3/3	WSH @ ATL		Grant Holmes LHB vs RHP Average 47% ERA 3.80	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	WSH @ ATL 4:10 PM ET Final L
46	Jake Burger	3/3	TEX @ LAA	1B	Walbert Ureña RHB vs RHP ERA 2.70	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	TEX @ LAA 10:05 PM ET Final L
47	Jesus Sanchez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ TOR		Paul Skenes LHB vs RHP Weak 25% ERA 2.62	Runs Batted In	0.5	+300	75.0	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	1	PIT @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final W
48	Willson Contreras	3/3	MIN @ BOS	1B	Taj Bradley RHB vs RHP Average 55% ERA 2.87	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	1, 3, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	2	MIN @ BOS 4:10 PM ET Final W
49	Wilyer Abreu	3/3	MIN @ BOS	RF	Taj Bradley LHB vs RHP Average 55% ERA 2.87	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	MIN @ BOS 4:10 PM ET Final L
50	Andrew Vaughn ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ MIL	PH	Roki Sasaki RHB vs RHP ERA 5.09	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	0	LAD @ MIL 7:15 PM ET Final L

Showing 26–50 of 197 plays

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