Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

14.3%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-05-23 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

348

Total Found

197

Shown

197

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
51	Dominic Smith	3/3	WSH @ ATL	DH	Jake Irvin LHB vs RHP Replacement 5% ERA 5.79	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	0	WSH @ ATL 4:10 PM ET Final L
52	Gabriel Arias ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CLE @ PHI		Zack Wheeler RHB vs RHP Average 68% ERA 1.99	Runs Batted In	0.5	+280	73.7	0, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	N/A	CLE @ PHI 4:05 PM ET Final
53	Gunnar Henderson	3/3	DET @ BAL		Framber Valdez LHB vs LHP Weak 29% ERA 4.58	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	3, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	N/A	DET @ BAL 4:05 PM ET Postponed
54	Jarren Duran	3/3	MIN @ BOS	PH	Taj Bradley LHB vs RHP Average 55% ERA 2.87	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	1	MIN @ BOS 4:10 PM ET Final L
55	William Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ MIL	C	Roki Sasaki RHB vs RHP ERA 5.09	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	3, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	N/A	LAD @ MIL 7:15 PM ET Final
56	Owen Caissie	3/3	NYM @ MIA		Freddy Peralta LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 3.31	Runs Batted In	0.5	+243	70.8	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	29.2%	37.5%	2	NYM @ MIA 4:10 PM ET Final W
57	Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TEX @ LAA	RF	Walbert Ureña LHB vs RHP ERA 2.70	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	2, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	1	TEX @ LAA 10:05 PM ET Final L
58	George Springer	3/3	PIT @ TOR	DH	Paul Skenes RHB vs RHP Weak 25% ERA 2.62	Runs Batted In	0.5	+240	70.6	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	1	PIT @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final W
59	Byron Buxton	3/3	MIN @ BOS		Jovani Morán RHB vs LHP ERA 2.81	Hits	1.5	+230	69.7	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	1	MIN @ BOS 4:10 PM ET Final L
60	Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ MIL	1B	Robert Gasser LHB vs LHP ERA 4.50	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	1	LAD @ MIL 7:15 PM ET Final L
61	Yandy Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ NYY	DH	Ryan Weathers RHB vs LHP Weak 21% ERA 3.58	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	0, 2, 4	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	N/A	TB @ NYY 1:35 PM ET Postponed
62	Gleyber Torres ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	DET @ BAL		Brandon Young RHB vs RHP ERA 4.25	Runs Batted In	0.5	+210	67.7	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	32.3%	34.4%	N/A	DET @ BAL 4:05 PM ET Postponed
63	Mauricio Dubon	3/3	WSH @ ATL	SS	Jake Irvin RHB vs RHP Replacement 5% ERA 5.79	Runs Batted In	0.5	+210	67.7	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	32.3%	34.4%	0	WSH @ ATL 4:10 PM ET Final L
64	Tyler Freeman	3/3	COL @ ARI		TBD	Runs Batted In	0.5	+195	66.1	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	33.9%	32.8%	0	COL @ ARI 10:10 PM ET Final L
65	Sal Stewart	3/3	STL @ CIN	1B	Andre Pallante RHB vs RHP Average 38% ERA 4.04	Hits	1.5	+188	65.3	4, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	34.7%	31.9%	0	STL @ CIN 1:10 PM ET Final L
66	Sal Stewart	3/3	STL @ CIN	1B	Andre Pallante RHB vs RHP Average 38% ERA 4.04	Hits	1.5	+188	65.3	4, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	34.7%	31.9%	0	STL @ CIN 7:15 PM ET Final/11 L
67	Ketel Marte	3/3	COL @ ARI	2B	Michael Lorenzen S vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 7.03	Hits	1.5	+185	64.9	1, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	35.1%	31.6%	3	COL @ ARI 10:10 PM ET Final W
68	Ryan Vilade ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ NYY	RF	Ryan Weathers RHB vs LHP Weak 21% ERA 3.58	Runs Batted In	0.5	+185	64.9	1, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	35.1%	31.6%	N/A	TB @ NYY 1:35 PM ET Postponed
69	JJ Wetherholt	3/3	STL @ CIN	2B	Chris Paddack LHB vs RHP Replacement 3% ERA 7.07	Hits	1.5	+182	64.5	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	35.5%	31.2%	1	STL @ CIN 1:10 PM ET Final L
70	JJ Wetherholt	3/3	STL @ CIN	2B	Chris Paddack LHB vs RHP Replacement 3% ERA 7.07	Hits	1.5	+182	64.5	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	35.5%	31.2%	1	STL @ CIN 7:15 PM ET Final/11 L
71	Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ CIN	1B	Chris Paddack LHB vs RHP Replacement 3% ERA 7.07	Hits	1.5	+180	64.3	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	35.7%	31.0%	1	STL @ CIN 1:10 PM ET Final L
72	Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ CIN	1B	Chris Paddack LHB vs RHP Replacement 3% ERA 7.07	Hits	1.5	+180	64.3	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	35.7%	31.0%	1	STL @ CIN 7:15 PM ET Final/11 L
73	Kyle Stowers	3/3	NYM @ MIA		Freddy Peralta LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 3.31	Runs Batted In	0.5	+180	64.3	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	35.7%	31.0%	0	NYM @ MIA 4:10 PM ET Final L
74	Nick Gonzales ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ TOR	2B	Patrick Corbin RHB vs LHP ERA 4.23	Hits	1.5	+176	63.8	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	36.2%	30.4%	0	PIT @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final L
75	Michael Harris II	3/3	WSH @ ATL	CF	Jake Irvin LHB vs RHP Replacement 5% ERA 5.79	Hits	1.5	+175	63.6	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	36.4%	30.3%	1	WSH @ ATL 4:10 PM ET Final L

Showing 51–75 of 197 plays

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