Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

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Win %

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Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-05-26 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

324

Total Found

192

Shown

192

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Ketel Marte ELITE	3/3	ARI @ SF	2B	Tyler Mahle S vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 6.10	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	135.7	3, 3, 2	3/3 100.0%	14.3%	85.7%	2	ARI @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final W
2	Christian Walker ELITE	3/3	HOU @ TEX	1B	Jack Leiter RHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 4.61	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	132.6	3, 3, 3	3/3 100.0%	17.4%	82.6%	0	HOU @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
3	Christian Walker ELITE	3/3	HOU @ TEX	1B	Jack Leiter RHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 4.61	Home Runs	0.5	+450	131.8	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	18.2%	81.8%	0	HOU @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
4	Ketel Marte ELITE	3/3	ARI @ SF	2B	Tyler Mahle S vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 6.10	Hits	1.5	+230	119.7	4, 3, 3	3/3 100.0%	30.3%	69.7%	1	ARI @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final L
5	Rhys Hoskins ELITE	3/3	WSH @ CLE		Cade Cavalli RHB vs RHP Average 53% ERA 3.86	Hits	0.5	-120	95.5	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	54.5%	45.5%	0	WSH @ CLE 6:10 PM ET Final L
6	Tommy Troy ELITE	3/3	ARI @ SF		Tyler Mahle RHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 6.10	Hits	0.5	-140	91.7	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	58.3%	41.7%	1	ARI @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final W
7	Henry Davis ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PIT	C	Jordan Wicks RHB vs LHP	Home Runs	0.5	+900	90.0	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	0	CHC @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final L
8	Josh Lowe ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAA @ DET	RF	Keider Montero LHB vs RHP Good 73% ERA 3.83	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	90.0	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	N/A	LAA @ DET 6:40 PM ET Final
9	Curtis Mead	3/3	WSH @ CLE		Joey Cantillo RHB vs LHP Weak 21% ERA 3.05	Home Runs	0.5	+850	89.5	2, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	10.5%	56.1%	0	WSH @ CLE 6:10 PM ET Final L
10	Jonah Heim ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SEA @ OAK		Emerson Hancock S vs RHP Average 42% ERA 3.07	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	N/A	SEA @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final
11	Dillon Dingler	3/3	LAA @ DET	C	Jack Kochanowicz RHB vs RHP Average 34% ERA 4.55	Home Runs	0.5	+700	87.5	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	LAA @ DET 6:40 PM ET Final L
12	Nathaniel Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ NYM		TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	0, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	N/A	CIN @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final
13	Owen Caissie ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ TOR		Braydon Fisher LHB vs RHP ERA 2.73	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	N/A	MIA @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final
14	Jazz Chisholm Jr. ELITE	3/3	NYY @ KC	PH	Bailey Falter LHB vs LHP ERA 9.82	Hits	0.5	-169	87.2	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	62.8%	37.2%	2	NYY @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final W
15	Vinnie Pasquantino ELITE	3/3	NYY @ KC	1B	Cam Schlittler LHB vs RHP Ace 95% ERA 1.50	Hits	0.5	-180	85.7	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	64.3%	35.7%	1	NYY @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final W
16	Casey Schmitt	3/3	ARI @ SF		TBD	Home Runs	0.5	+600	85.7	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	1	ARI @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final W
17	Casey Schmitt	3/3	ARI @ SF		TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	0, 3, 3	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	2	ARI @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final W
18	Drake Baldwin ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ATL @ BOS	DH	Ranger Suarez LHB vs LHP Average 43% ERA 2.40	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	84.6	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	N/A	ATL @ BOS 6:45 PM ET Final
19	Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ PIT	1B	Braxton Ashcraft LHB vs RHP Good 79% ERA 2.89	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	CHC @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final L
20	Rafael Devers	3/3	ARI @ SF		TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	84.6	2, 5, 0	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	1	ARI @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final L
21	Brady House ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	WSH @ CLE		Joey Cantillo RHB vs LHP Weak 21% ERA 3.05	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	N/A	WSH @ CLE 6:10 PM ET Final
22	Ryan Jeffers ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIN @ CWS	C	TBD	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	N/A	MIN @ CHW 7:40 PM ET Final/11
23	Brandon Lockridge ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	STL @ MIL	RF	Michael McGreevy RHB vs RHP Weak 18% ERA 2.40	Hits	1.5	+500	83.3	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	N/A	STL @ MIL 7:40 PM ET Final
24	Teoscar Hernandez ELITE	3/3	COL @ LAD	LF	Kyle Freeland RHB vs LHP ERA 7.04	Hits	0.5	-205	82.8	1, 1, 3	3/3 100.0%	67.2%	32.8%	1	COL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final W
25	Christian Vazquez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ TEX		Jack Leiter RHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 4.61	Hits	1.5	+450	81.8	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	N/A	HOU @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final

Showing 1–25 of 192 plays

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