Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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← Apr 28 – May 27 →

Wins

Losses

192

Push

Win %

30.4%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-05-27 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

355

Total Found

206

Shown

206

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Ketel Marte ELITE	3/3	ARI @ SF	2B	Trevor McDonald S vs RHP ERA 4.76	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	135.7	2, 3, 3	3/3 100.0%	14.3%	85.7%	0	ARI @ SF 3:45 PM ET Final L
2	Willi Castro ELITE	3/3	COL @ LAD		Shohei Ohtani S vs RHP Ace 94% ERA 0.73	Hits	1.5	+500	133.3	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	16.7%	83.3%	0	COL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L
3	Javier Sanoja ELITE	3/3	MIA @ TOR	SS	Kevin Gausman RHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 3.23	Hits	1.5	+340	127.3	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	22.7%	77.3%	0	MIA @ TOR 1:07 PM ET Final L
4	Isiah Kiner-Falefa ELITE	3/3	ATL @ BOS		Bryce Elder RHB vs RHP Average 41% ERA 1.97	Runs Batted In	0.5	+275	123.3	3, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	26.7%	73.3%	1	ATL @ BOS 6:45 PM ET Final W
5	Willson Contreras ELITE	3/3	ATL @ BOS	1B	Bryce Elder RHB vs RHP Average 41% ERA 1.97	Hits	1.5	+240	120.6	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	29.4%	70.6%	1	ATL @ BOS 6:45 PM ET Final L
6	Nolan Schanuel ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAA @ DET		Casey Mize LHB vs RHP Average 61% ERA 2.47	Runs Batted In	0.5	+200	116.7	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	33.3%	66.7%	N/A	LAA @ DET 6:40 PM ET Final
7	Tommy Troy ELITE	3/3	ARI @ SF		Trevor McDonald RHB vs RHP ERA 4.76	Hits	0.5	-135	92.6	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	57.4%	42.6%	1	ARI @ SF 3:45 PM ET Final W
8	Ernie Clement	3/3	MIA @ TOR	2B	Eury Pérez RHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 4.91	Home Runs	0.5	+1000	90.9	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	9.1%	57.6%	0	MIA @ TOR 1:07 PM ET Final L
9	Josh Lowe ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAA @ DET	RF	Casey Mize LHB vs RHP Average 61% ERA 2.47	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	90.0	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	N/A	LAA @ DET 6:40 PM ET Final
10	Enrique Hernandez ELITE	3/3	COL @ LAD	3B	Tomoyuki Sugano RHB vs RHP Weak 28% ERA 3.86	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	2, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	N/A	COL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final
11	Jonah Heim ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SEA @ OAK		Logan Gilbert S vs RHP Average 45% ERA 4.04	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	0	SEA @ ATH 3:05 PM ET Final L
12	Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ CWS	3B	TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	88.9	3, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	0	MIN @ CHW 7:40 PM ET Final L
13	Esmerlyn Valdez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PIT		Jameson Taillon RHB vs RHP Weak 28% ERA 5.20	Home Runs	0.5	+800	88.9	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	0	CHC @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final L
14	Owen Caissie ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ TOR		Kevin Gausman LHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 3.23	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	88.9	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	0	MIA @ TOR 1:07 PM ET Final L
15	Casey Schmitt	3/3	ARI @ SF		TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	2, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	ARI @ SF 3:45 PM ET Final L
16	Kevin McGonigle	3/3	LAA @ DET	3B	José Soriano LHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 2.44	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	LAA @ DET 6:40 PM ET Final L
17	Tyler Stephenson	3/3	CIN @ NYM	C	Huascar Brazobán RHB vs RHP ERA 1.73	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	CIN @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final L
18	Spencer Horwitz	3/3	CHC @ PIT	1B	Jameson Taillon LHB vs RHP Weak 28% ERA 5.20	Home Runs	0.5	+650	86.7	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	13.3%	53.3%	0	CHC @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final L
19	Heriberto Hernandez ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ TOR	LF	Kevin Gausman RHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 3.23	Hits	0.5	-173	86.6	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	63.4%	36.6%	1	MIA @ TOR 1:07 PM ET Final W
20	Anthony Volpe	3/3	NYY @ KC	2B	Noah Cameron RHB vs LHP Average 42% ERA 4.72	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	0	NYY @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final L
21	Nathaniel Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ NYM		Huascar Brazobán LHB vs RHP ERA 1.73	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	0, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	1	CIN @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final L
22	Rafael Devers	3/3	ARI @ SF		TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	1, 2, 5	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	0	ARI @ SF 3:45 PM ET Final L
23	Casey Schmitt	3/3	ARI @ SF		TBD	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	ARI @ SF 3:45 PM ET Final L
24	Christian Walker	3/3	HOU @ TEX	1B	Jacob deGrom RHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 3.86	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	84.6	0, 3, 3	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	HOU @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
25	Drake Baldwin ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ATL @ BOS	DH	Connelly Early LHB vs LHP Average 34% ERA 3.33	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	84.6	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	N/A	ATL @ BOS 6:45 PM ET Final

Showing 1–25 of 206 plays

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