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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Apr 30 – May 29 →
Wins
83
Losses
175
Push
56
Win %
32.2%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-05-29 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
357
Total Found
232
Shown
232
Actionable
38
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
1 Bryan Reynolds ELITE 3/3 MIN @ PIT LF
S vs RHP
Average 55%
ERA 2.77
 Hits 1.5 +280 123.7 2, 3, 2
3/3
100.0%
 26.3% 73.7% 1
MIN @ PIT
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
2 Jonathan Aranda ELITE 3/3 LAA @ TB 1B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.58
 Hits 1.5 +280 123.7 2, 3, 2
3/3
100.0%
 26.3% 73.7% 2
LAA @ TB
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
3 Adrian Del Castillo ELITE 3/3 ARI @ SEA PH
LHB vs RHP
Weak 27%
ERA 3.54
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +275 123.3 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 26.7% 73.3% 0
ARI @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final/10
L
4 Andy Pages ELITE 3/3 PHI @ LAD CF
RHB vs RHP
Average 68%
ERA 1.67
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +201 116.8 1, 3, 1
3/3
100.0%
 33.2% 66.8% 0
PHI @ LAD
10:15 PM ET
Final
L
5 Nolan Schanuel ELITE
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 LAA @ TB
LHB vs RHP
Good 82%
ERA 1.51
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +200 116.7 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 33.3% 66.7% N/A
LAA @ TB
7:10 PM ET
Final
6 Freddie Freeman ELITE 3/3 PHI @ LAD 1B
LHB vs RHP
Average 68%
ERA 1.67
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +184 114.8 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 35.2% 64.8% 1
PHI @ LAD
10:15 PM ET
Final
W
7 Munetaka Murakami ELITE 3/3 DET @ CWS 1B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 1.59
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +155 110.8 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 39.2% 60.8% 0
DET @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
8 Mitch Garver ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 ARI @ SEA TBD Hits 0.5 +100 100.0 2, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 50.0% 50.0% 0
ARI @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final/10
L
9 Adrian Del Castillo ELITE 3/3 ARI @ SEA PH
LHB vs RHP
Weak 27%
ERA 3.54
 Hits 0.5 -110 97.6 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 52.4% 47.6% 0
ARI @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final/10
L
10 Christopher Morel ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 MIA @ NYM
RHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 3.52
 Hits 0.5 -115 96.5 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 53.5% 46.5% N/A
MIA @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final/10
11 Tommy Troy ELITE 3/3 ARI @ SEA
RHB vs RHP
Weak 27%
ERA 3.54
 Hits 0.5 -125 94.4 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 55.6% 44.4% 0
ARI @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final/10
L
12 Tyler Stephenson ELITE 3/3 ATL @ CIN C
RHB vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 3.78
 Hits 0.5 -125 94.4 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 55.6% 44.4% 2
ATL @ CIN
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
13 Coby Mayo ELITE 3/3 TOR @ BAL TBD Hits 0.5 -130 93.5 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 56.5% 43.5% 0
TOR @ BAL
7:05 PM ET
Final
L
14 Zack Gelof ELITE 3/3 NYY @ OAK
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.15
 Hits 0.5 -136 92.4 2, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 57.6% 42.4% 2
NYY @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
15 Brandon Marsh ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 PHI @ LAD PH
LHB vs LHP
Ace 99%
ERA 3.07
 Hits 0.5 -150 90.0 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 60.0% 40.0% 1
PHI @ LAD
10:15 PM ET
Final
W
16 Colson Montgomery ELITE 3/3 DET @ CWS SS
LHB vs RHP
ERA 1.59
 Hits 0.5 -150 90.0 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 60.0% 40.0% 0
DET @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
17 Esmerlyn Valdez
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 MIN @ PIT
RHB vs RHP
Average 55%
ERA 2.77
 Home Runs 0.5 +900 90.0 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 10.0% 56.7% N/A
MIN @ PIT
6:45 PM ET
Final
18 Josh Lowe
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 LAA @ TB RF
LHB vs RHP
Good 82%
ERA 1.51
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +900 90.0 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
 10.0% 56.7% N/A
LAA @ TB
7:10 PM ET
Final
19 Enrique Hernandez ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 PHI @ LAD 3B
RHB vs RHP
Average 68%
ERA 1.67
 Hits 0.5 -155 89.2 2, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 60.8% 39.2% N/A
PHI @ LAD
10:15 PM ET
Final
20 Vaughn Grissom 3/3 LAA @ TB 1B
RHB vs RHP
Good 82%
ERA 1.51
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 88.9 2, 0, 6
2/3
66.7%
 11.1% 55.6% 2
LAA @ TB
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
21 Wenceel Perez 3/3 DET @ CWS TBD Home Runs 0.5 +800 88.9 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 11.1% 55.6% 0
DET @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
22 Gabriel Moreno ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 ARI @ SEA DH
RHB vs RHP
Weak 27%
ERA 3.54
 Hits 0.5 -160 88.5 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 61.5% 38.5% 3
ARI @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final/10
W
23 Kyle Schwarber ELITE 3/3 PHI @ LAD DH
LHB vs LHP
Ace 99%
ERA 3.07
 Hits 0.5 -160 88.5 2, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 61.5% 38.5% 1
PHI @ LAD
10:15 PM ET
Final
W
24 Nathaniel Lowe ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 ATL @ CIN
LHB vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 3.78
 Hits 0.5 -160 88.5 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 61.5% 38.5% 1
ATL @ CIN
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
25 Jeremy Pena 3/3 MIL @ HOU SS
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.61
 Home Runs 0.5 +750 88.2 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 11.8% 54.9% 0
MIL @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final/10
L
Showing 1–25 of 232 plays
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