Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1287

MLB

Top Over

Ian Happ

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Tj Rumfield

H • -1.5 • 89

Top Fade

Ketel Marte

RBI • +1.2 • 32

Top 1

Ian Happ

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Andy Pages

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.2

Top 3

Vaughn Grissom

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +2.0

Top 4

Mookie Betts

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Yordan Alvarez

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ STL	RBI	2.7	0.8	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.9	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Andy Pages	3/3	PHI @ LAD	H	2.7	1.2	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.5	+2.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Vaughn Grissom	3/3	LAA @ TB	RBI	2.7	1.0	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.7	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Mookie Betts	3/3	PHI @ LAD	RBI	2.0	0.7	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	MIL @ HOU	HR	1.3	0.5	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Colson Montgomery	3/3	DET @ CWS	H	2.0	0.8	0.5	97	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	LAA @ TB	H	2.3	1.2	0.7	95	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Bryan Reynolds	3/3	MIN @ PIT	H	2.3	1.3	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ STL	H	2.0	0.7	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	James Wood	3/3	SD @ WSH	H	2.7	1.7	0.7	91	TOP OVER	+1.0	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	MIL @ HOU	RBI	2.0	0.8	0.7	91	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Tj Rumfield ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ COL	H	0.0	0.9	1.5	89	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-1.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Joc Pederson	3/3	KC @ TEX	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jarren Duran	3/3	BOS @ CLE	H	2.3	1.5	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Josh Naylor	3/3	AZ @ SEA	H	2.0	1.2	0.5	87	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Christian Yelich	3/3	MIL @ HOU	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Matt Chapman	3/3	SF @ COL	H	0.0	1.0	1.3	86	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-1.3	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Mitch Garver ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ SEA	H	1.7	0.6	0.5	83	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Donovan Walton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ TB	H	1.7	0.5	0.7	79	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Luis Garcia Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ WSH	RBI	1.7	0.5	0.7	79	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Chase Meidroth	3/3	DET @ CWS	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	J.p. Crawford	3/3	AZ @ SEA	H	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Paul Goldschmidt	3/3	NYY @ OAK	H	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Joc Pederson	3/3	KC @ TEX	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	ATL @ CIN	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Daniel Susac ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ COL	H	0.0	0.5	1.5	71	UNDER	-0.5	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Harrison Bader	3/3	SF @ COL	H	0.0	0.7	1.3	70	UNDER	-0.7	-1.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Bo Bichette	3/3	MIA @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Gavin Sheets	3/3	SD @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kyle Manzardo	3/3	BOS @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Yandy Diaz	3/3	LAA @ TB	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Zach Neto	3/3	LAA @ TB	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Randy Arozarena	3/3	AZ @ SEA	H	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ OAK	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Freddie Freeman	3/3	PHI @ LAD	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Sam Antonacci	3/3	DET @ CWS	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Tristan Peters	3/3	DET @ CWS	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Zack Gelof	3/3	NYY @ OAK	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	MIL @ HOU	H	1.7	0.8	0.9	65	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Bo Bichette	3/3	MIA @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Yandy Diaz	3/3	LAA @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Chandler Simpson	3/3	LAA @ TB	H	2.0	1.1	1.3	64	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.7	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Andy Pages	3/3	PHI @ LAD	RBI	1.7	1.1	0.5	62	OVER	+0.6	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ CWS	H	1.7	1.1	0.5	62	OVER	+0.6	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ketel Marte	3/3	AZ @ SEA	H	2.3	2.2	0.5	61	OVER	+0.1	+1.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Junior Caminero	3/3	LAA @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ LAD	H	1.7	1.2	0.5	59	OVER	+0.5	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Leody Taveras	3/3	TOR @ BAL	H	1.7	1.2	0.5	59	OVER	+0.5	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Isiah Kiner-falefa	3/3	BOS @ CLE	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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