Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

30%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

517

MLB

Top Over

Blaze Alexander

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

George Springer

HR • -0.5 • 68

Top Fade

Willson Contreras

H • +1.0 • 26

Top 1

Blaze Alexander

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Yordan Alvarez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Blaze Alexander

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Yordan Alvarez

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.2

Top 5

Ian Happ

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Blaze Alexander	3/3	TOR @ BAL	RBI	2.7	0.9	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.8	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ TEX	RBI	2.7	0.9	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.8	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Blaze Alexander	3/3	TOR @ BAL	H	2.3	0.9	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ TEX	HR	1.7	0.6	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ PIT	RBI	2.0	0.7	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Vaughn Grissom	3/3	LAA @ DET	RBI	2.0	0.8	0.7	91	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Leody Taveras	3/3	TOR @ BAL	H	2.0	1.1	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Joc Pederson	3/3	HOU @ TEX	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Munetaka Murakami	3/3	MIN @ CWS	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jarren Duran	3/3	ATL @ BOS	H	2.3	1.5	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ TEX	H	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Bryan Reynolds	3/3	CHC @ PIT	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Chase Meidroth	3/3	MIN @ CWS	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ PIT	H	2.0	1.2	0.7	80	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Colt Keith	3/3	LAA @ DET	H	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Joc Pederson	3/3	HOU @ TEX	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Isiah Kiner-falefa	3/3	ATL @ BOS	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.8	73	TOP OVER	+1.1	+0.9	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Chase Meidroth	3/3	MIN @ CWS	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	LAA @ DET	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	George Springer	3/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jake Burger	3/3	HOU @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Zach Neto	3/3	LAA @ DET	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Justin Foscue	3/3	HOU @ TEX	H	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Alejandro Osuna	3/3	HOU @ TEX	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ CWS	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Brandon Lowe	3/3	CHC @ PIT	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	LAA @ DET	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Oneil Cruz	3/3	CHC @ PIT	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Sam Antonacci	3/3	MIN @ CWS	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	ATL @ BOS	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Spencer Horwitz	3/3	CHC @ PIT	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brandon Nimmo	3/3	HOU @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Coby Mayo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Matt Vierling	3/3	LAA @ DET	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Mike Trout	3/3	LAA @ DET	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Pete Alonso	3/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ CWS	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Gunnar Henderson	3/3	TOR @ BAL	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Austin Martin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Christian Vazquez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Danny Jansen ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	HOU @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Dansby Swanson	3/3	CHC @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Ezequiel Duran	3/3	HOU @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jake Meyers	3/3	HOU @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jorge Soler	3/3	LAA @ DET	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Justin Foscue	3/3	HOU @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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