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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← May 17 – May 30 →
Wins
29
Losses
71
Push
28
Win %
29%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-05-30 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
352
Total Found
230
Shown
230
Actionable
37
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
1 Ian Happ ELITE 3/3 CHC @ STL LF
S vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 4.44
 Home Runs 0.5 +575 135.2 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 14.8% 85.2% 0
CHC @ STL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
2 Ian Happ ELITE 3/3 CHC @ STL LF
S vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 4.44
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +500 133.3 3, 2, 5
3/3
100.0%
 16.7% 83.3% 0
CHC @ STL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
3 Zack Gelof ELITE 3/3 NYY @ OAK
RHB vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.14
 Hits 1.5 +360 128.3 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 21.7% 78.3% 1
NYY @ ATH
10:05 PM ET
Final
L
4 Gabriel Moreno ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 ARI @ SEA DH
RHB vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 3.82
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +325 126.5 2, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 23.5% 76.5% 0
ARI @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
5 Ian Happ ELITE 3/3 CHC @ STL LF
S vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 4.44
 Hits 1.5 +320 126.2 2, 3, 2
3/3
100.0%
 23.8% 76.2% 2
CHC @ STL
7:15 PM ET
Final
W
6 Jonathan Aranda ELITE 3/3 LAA @ TB 1B
LHB vs LHP
Average 51%
ERA 4.57
 Hits 1.5 +320 126.2 2, 2, 3
3/3
100.0%
 23.8% 76.2% 1
LAA @ TB
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
7 Ildemaro Vargas ELITE 3/3 ARI @ SEA PH
S vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 3.82
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +300 125.0 2, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 25.0% 75.0% 0
ARI @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
8 Ben Rice ELITE 3/3 NYY @ OAK DH
LHB vs RHP
Average 49%
ERA 3.19
 Hits 1.5 +220 118.8 4, 2, 3
3/3
100.0%
 31.3% 68.8% 1
NYY @ ATH
10:05 PM ET
Final
L
9 Nolan Schanuel ELITE
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 LAA @ TB
LHB vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.78
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +200 116.7 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 33.3% 66.7% N/A
LAA @ TB
4:10 PM ET
Final
10 Freddie Freeman ELITE 3/3 PHI @ LAD 1B
LHB vs LHP
Ace 90%
ERA 4.38
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +190 115.5 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 34.5% 65.5% 0
PHI @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
11 Julio Rodriguez ELITE 3/3 ARI @ SEA CF TBD Runs Batted In 0.5 +189 115.4 2, 3, 1
3/3
100.0%
 34.6% 65.4% 1
ARI @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final
W
12 Tristan Peters ELITE 3/3 DET @ CWS CF
LHB vs LHP
Weak 29%
ERA 4.28
 Hits 0.5 +105 101.2 2, 3, 2
3/3
100.0%
 48.8% 51.2% 0
DET @ CHW
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
13 Christopher Morel ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 MIA @ NYM
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.20
 Hits 0.5 -115 96.5 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 53.5% 46.5% 0
MIA @ NYM
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
14 Owen Caissie ELITE 3/3 MIA @ NYM
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.20
 Hits 0.5 -115 96.5 2, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 53.5% 46.5% 0
MIA @ NYM
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
15 Gabriel Moreno ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 ARI @ SEA DH
RHB vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 3.82
 Hits 0.5 -140 91.7 3, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 58.3% 41.7% 0
ARI @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
16 Esmerlyn Valdez
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 MIN @ PIT
RHB vs RHP
Average 69%
ERA 3.92
 Home Runs 0.5 +900 90.0 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 10.0% 56.7% N/A
MIN @ PIT
4:05 PM ET
Final
17 Josh Lowe
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 LAA @ TB RF
LHB vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.78
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +900 90.0 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
 10.0% 56.7% N/A
LAA @ TB
4:10 PM ET
Final
18 Enrique Hernandez ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 PHI @ LAD 3B
RHB vs LHP
Ace 90%
ERA 4.38
 Hits 0.5 -155 89.2 2, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 60.8% 39.2% N/A
PHI @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
19 Mickey Gasper ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 BOS @ CLE
S vs LHP
Average 64%
ERA 2.24
 Hits 0.5 -155 89.2 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 60.8% 39.2% N/A
BOS @ CLE
4:10 PM ET
Final
20 Vaughn Grissom 3/3 LAA @ TB 1B
RHB vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.78
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 88.9 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 11.1% 55.6% 1
LAA @ TB
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
21 Kyle Schwarber ELITE 3/3 PHI @ LAD DH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.93
 Hits 0.5 -160 88.5 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 61.5% 38.5% 1
PHI @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
W
22 Nathaniel Lowe ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 ATL @ CIN
LHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.70
 Hits 0.5 -160 88.5 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 61.5% 38.5% N/A
ATL @ CIN
7:15 PM ET
Final
23 Geraldo Perdomo ELITE 3/3 ARI @ SEA SS
S vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 3.82
 Hits 0.5 -165 87.7 3, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 62.3% 37.7% 0
ARI @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
24 Jorge Mateo ELITE 3/3 ATL @ CIN
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 6.26
 Hits 0.5 -165 87.7 1, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 62.3% 37.7% 1
ATL @ CIN
7:15 PM ET
Final
W
25 Randy Arozarena ELITE 3/3 ARI @ SEA LF TBD Hits 0.5 -165 87.7 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 62.3% 37.7% 0
ARI @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 1–25 of 230 plays
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