Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

20%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-06-08 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

178

Total Found

110

Shown

110

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
26	Andres Gimenez	3/3	PHI @ TOR	SS	Cristopher Sánchez LHB vs LHP Ace 92% ERA 1.46	Hits	1.5	+400	80.0	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	1	PHI @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
27	Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ TOR	PH	Patrick Corbin LHB vs LHP ERA 3.98	Hits	1.5	+360	78.3	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	21.7%	44.9%	0	PHI @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
28	Steven Kwan	3/3	NYY @ CLE	LF	Will Warren LHB vs RHP Weak 20% ERA 3.22	Hits	1.5	+360	78.3	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	21.7%	44.9%	0	NYY @ CLE 6:40 PM ET Final/10 L
29	Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ TB	1B	Ian Seymour RHB vs LHP ERA 5.23	Home Runs	0.5	+350	77.8	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	22.2%	44.4%	0	BOS @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final L
30	Jesus Sanchez	3/3	PHI @ TOR		Cristopher Sánchez LHB vs LHP Ace 92% ERA 1.46	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	0	PHI @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
31	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	PHI @ TOR	3B	Cristopher Sánchez RHB vs LHP Ace 92% ERA 1.46	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	0	PHI @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
32	Sebastian Rivero ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	HOU @ LAA		Spencer Arrighetti RHB vs RHP ERA 1.94	Runs Batted In	0.5	+331	76.8	6, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	23.2%	43.5%	N/A	HOU @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final/10
33	Matt Chapman	3/3	WSH @ SF		Miles Mikolas RHB vs RHP ERA 6.39	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	2	WSH @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final W
34	Brent Rooker	3/3	MIL @ OAK		Kyle Harrison RHB vs LHP ERA 1.57	Home Runs	0.5	+300	75.0	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	MIL @ ATH 10:05 PM ET Final/12 L
35	Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ CLE	CF	Gavin Williams LHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.20	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	3, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	2	NYY @ CLE 6:40 PM ET Final/10 W
36	Blaze Alexander	3/3	SEA @ BAL		Emerson Hancock RHB vs RHP Average 42% ERA 2.80	Runs Batted In	0.5	+284	74.0	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	26.0%	40.6%	1	SEA @ BAL 6:35 PM ET Final W
37	Gabriel Arias ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ CLE		Will Warren RHB vs RHP Weak 20% ERA 3.22	Runs Batted In	0.5	+280	73.7	0, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	N/A	NYY @ CLE 6:40 PM ET Final/10
38	Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ TB	1B	Ian Seymour RHB vs LHP ERA 5.23	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	0	BOS @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final L
39	Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ TOR	RF	Patrick Corbin LHB vs LHP ERA 3.98	Hits	1.5	+230	69.7	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	0	PHI @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
40	Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ TOR	1B	Patrick Corbin RHB vs LHP ERA 3.98	Hits	1.5	+200	66.7	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	33.3%	33.3%	1	PHI @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
41	Christian Yelich ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ OAK	DH	Jeffrey Springs LHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 4.37	Hits	1.5	+200	66.7	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	33.3%	33.3%	2	MIL @ ATH 10:05 PM ET Final/12 W
42	Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ BAL	1B	TBD	Hits	1.5	+200	66.7	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	33.3%	33.3%	2	SEA @ BAL 6:35 PM ET Final W
43	Yandy Diaz	3/3	BOS @ TB	DH	Connelly Early RHB vs LHP Average 34% ERA 3.26	Hits	1.5	+186	65.0	1, 3, 3	2/3 66.7%	35.0%	31.7%	1	BOS @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final L
44	Sal Frelick	3/3	MIL @ OAK	RF	Jeffrey Springs LHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 4.37	Runs Batted In	0.5	+180	64.3	0, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	35.7%	31.0%	0	MIL @ ATH 10:05 PM ET Final/12 L
45	William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ OAK	C	Jeffrey Springs RHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 4.37	Hits	1.5	+165	62.3	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	37.7%	28.9%	3	MIL @ ATH 10:05 PM ET Final/12 W
46	David Hamilton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ OAK	3B	Jeffrey Springs LHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 4.37	Runs Batted In	0.5	+156	60.9	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	39.1%	27.6%	0	MIL @ ATH 10:05 PM ET Final/12 L
47	Denzer Guzman ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	HOU @ LAA	3B	Spencer Arrighetti RHB vs RHP ERA 1.94	Hits	0.5	+110	52.4	1, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	47.6%	19.0%	0	HOU @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final/10 L
48	Jake Bauers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ OAK	1B	Jeffrey Springs LHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 4.37	Runs Batted In	0.5	+106	51.5	1, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	48.5%	18.1%	3	MIL @ ATH 10:05 PM ET Final/12 W
49	Jorge Soler ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	HOU @ LAA		Spencer Arrighetti RHB vs RHP ERA 1.94	Hits	0.5	-105	48.8	0, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	51.2%	15.4%	N/A	HOU @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final/10
50	Sebastian Rivero ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	HOU @ LAA		Spencer Arrighetti RHB vs RHP ERA 1.94	Hits	0.5	-116	46.3	5, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	53.7%	13.0%	N/A	HOU @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final/10

Showing 26–50 of 110 plays

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