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Strong Plays Record
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← Jun 9 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-06-09 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
344
Total Found
225
Shown
225
Actionable
33
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
126 Carson Kelly 3/3 CHC @ COL C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.08
Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% 1
CHC @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
W
127 Esmerlyn Valdez
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 LAD @ PIT
RHB vs LHP
ERA 5.47
Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% N/A
LAD @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
128 Marcell Ozuna
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 LAD @ PIT
RHB vs LHP
ERA 5.47
Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% 1
LAD @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
129 Marcus Semien 3/3 STL @ NYM 2B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.21
Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% 0
STL @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
130 Jesus Rodriguez
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 WSH @ SF
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.70
Hits 0.5 -155 39.2 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
60.8% 5.9% N/A
WSH @ SF
9:45 PM ET
Final
131 Leo Jimenez
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 ARI @ MIA TBD Hits 0.5 -155 39.2 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
60.8% 5.9% 0
ARI @ MIA
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
132 LuJames Groover 3/3 ARI @ MIA
RHB vs RHP
Good 83%
ERA 2.85
Hits 0.5 -155 39.2 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
60.8% 5.9% 1
ARI @ MIA
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
133 Pedro Ramirez 3/3 CHC @ COL 3B
S vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.08
Hits 0.5 -155 39.2 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
60.8% 5.9% 0
CHC @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
L
134 Trevor Larnach 3/3 MIN @ DET
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.81
Hits 0.5 -155 39.2 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
60.8% 5.9% 0
MIN @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
135 Victor Mesa Jr.
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 BOS @ TB
LHB vs LHP
ERA 2.70
Hits 0.5 -155 39.2 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
60.8% 5.9% N/A
BOS @ TB
6:40 PM ET
Final
136 Brandon Marsh 3/3 PHI @ TOR PH
LHB vs RHP
Good 71%
ERA 2.91
Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
11.1% 22.2% 1
PHI @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
L
137 Alejandro Osuna
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 TEX @ KC DH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.14
Hits 0.5 -160 38.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
61.5% 5.1% N/A
TEX @ KC
7:40 PM ET
Final
138 Gary Sanchez
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 MIL @ OAK PH
RHB vs RHP
Average 49%
ERA 3.15
Hits 0.5 -160 38.5 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
61.5% 5.1% N/A
MIL @ ATH
10:05 PM ET
Final
139 Jacob Gonzalez 3/3 ATL @ CWS
LHB vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 4.05
Hits 0.5 -160 38.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
61.5% 5.1% 2
ATL @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final/10
W
140 James McCann
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 ARI @ MIA C
RHB vs RHP
Good 83%
ERA 2.85
Hits 0.5 -160 38.5 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
61.5% 5.1% N/A
ARI @ MIA
6:40 PM ET
Final
141 Mickey Gasper 3/3 BOS @ TB
S vs RHP
Good 82%
ERA 2.43
Hits 0.5 -160 38.5 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
61.5% 5.1% 0
BOS @ TB
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
142 Jared Young 3/3 STL @ NYM
LHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.21
Hits 0.5 -165 37.7 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
62.3% 4.4% 0
STL @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
143 Justin Crawford 3/3 PHI @ TOR CF
LHB vs RHP
Good 71%
ERA 2.91
Hits 0.5 -165 37.7 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
62.3% 4.4% 0
PHI @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
L
144 Munetaka Murakami
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 ATL @ CWS 1B
LHB vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 4.05
Hits 0.5 -165 37.7 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
62.3% 4.4% N/A
ATL @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final/10
145 Paul Goldschmidt 3/3 NYY @ CLE PH
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 9%
ERA 4.83
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 3, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 0
NYY @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
146 Victor Caratini 3/3 MIN @ DET C
S vs RHP
ERA 2.81
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 0
MIN @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
147 Zach Neto 3/3 HOU @ LAA DH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.71
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 1, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 0
HOU @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
L
148 Carter Jensen 3/3 TEX @ KC C
LHB vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 4.26
Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
63.6% 3.0% 1
TEX @ KC
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
149 Roman Anthony
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 BOS @ TB DH
LHB vs RHP
Good 82%
ERA 2.43
Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
63.6% 3.0% N/A
BOS @ TB
6:40 PM ET
Final
150 Will Smith
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 LAD @ PIT C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 25%
ERA 2.84
Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
63.6% 3.0% N/A
LAD @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
Showing 126–150 of 225 plays