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Strong Plays Record
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← Jun 9 →
Wins
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Losses
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Win %
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Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-06-09 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
344
Total Found
225
Shown
225
Actionable
33
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
176 Patrick Bailey 3/3 NYY @ CLE C
S vs RHP
ERA 2.45
Hits 1.5 +450 31.8 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
18.2% 15.2% 0
NYY @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
177 Pete Alonso 3/3 SEA @ BAL
RHB vs RHP
Average 45%
ERA 3.62
Runs Batted In 1.5 +450 31.8 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
18.2% 15.2% 0
SEA @ BAL
6:35 PM ET
Final/10
L
178 Spencer Jones 3/3 NYY @ CLE RF
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 9%
ERA 4.83
Hits 1.5 +450 31.8 1, 0, 3
1/3
33.3%
18.2% 15.2% 2
NYY @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
179 Luis Rengifo 3/3 MIL @ OAK
S vs RHP
Average 49%
ERA 3.15
Runs Batted In 1.5 +400 30.0 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
20.0% 13.3% 0
MIL @ ATH
10:05 PM ET
Final
L
180 Nasim Nunez
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 WSH @ SF
S vs RHP
Weak 14%
ERA 5.54
Hits 1.5 +400 30.0 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
20.0% 13.3% 1
WSH @ SF
9:45 PM ET
Final
L
181 Tyler Stephenson 3/3 CIN @ SD C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.35
Hits 1.5 +400 30.0 1, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
20.0% 13.3% 2
CIN @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final/11
W
182 Zack Gelof 3/3 MIL @ OAK
RHB vs LHP
ERA 6.38
Hits 1.5 +400 30.0 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
20.0% 13.3% 1
MIL @ ATH
10:05 PM ET
Final
L
183 Hao-Yu Lee
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIN @ DET
Unknown
Average 55%
ERA 4.02
Hits 1.5 +380 29.2 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
20.8% 12.5% N/A
MIN @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
184 Jhonny Pereda
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SEA @ BAL C
RHB vs LHP
Average 34%
ERA 6.15
Hits 1.5 +360 28.3 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
21.7% 11.6% N/A
SEA @ BAL
6:35 PM ET
Final/10
185 Nick Loftin
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 TEX @ KC
RHB vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 4.26
Hits 1.5 +360 28.3 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
21.7% 11.6% N/A
TEX @ KC
7:40 PM ET
Final
186 Ryan Vilade 3/3 BOS @ TB RF
RHB vs LHP
ERA 2.70
Hits 1.5 +360 28.3 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
21.7% 11.6% 3
BOS @ TB
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
187 Steven Kwan 3/3 NYY @ CLE LF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.45
Hits 1.5 +360 28.3 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
21.7% 11.6% 0
NYY @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
188 Tommy Pham
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 ATL @ CWS PH
RHB vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 4.05
Hits 1.5 +360 28.3 1, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
21.7% 11.6% N/A
ATL @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final/10
189 William Contreras 3/3 MIL @ OAK C
RHB vs RHP
Average 49%
ERA 3.15
Runs Batted In 1.5 +360 28.3 3, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
21.7% 11.6% 0
MIL @ ATH
10:05 PM ET
Final
L
190 Aaron Judge
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 NYY @ CLE
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 9%
ERA 4.83
Runs Batted In 1.5 +340 27.3 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% N/A
NYY @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final
191 Bryce Eldridge 3/3 WSH @ SF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.70
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 2
WSH @ SF
9:45 PM ET
Final
W
192 Garrett Mitchell 3/3 MIL @ OAK CF
LHB vs RHP
Average 49%
ERA 3.15
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 0, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 3
MIL @ ATH
10:05 PM ET
Final
W
193 Kazuma Okamoto 3/3 PHI @ TOR 3B
RHB vs RHP
Average 68%
ERA 2.22
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 1
PHI @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
L
194 Trevor Story
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 BOS @ TB SS
RHB vs RHP
Good 82%
ERA 2.43
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% N/A
BOS @ TB
6:40 PM ET
Final
195 Victor Caratini 3/3 MIN @ DET C
S vs RHP
ERA 2.81
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 1, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 0
MIN @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
196 Andrew Vaughn 3/3 MIL @ OAK PH
RHB vs RHP
Average 49%
ERA 3.15
Runs Batted In 1.5 +320 26.2 4, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 0
MIL @ ATH
10:05 PM ET
Final
L
197 Austin Riley 3/3 ATL @ CWS 3B TBD Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 1
ATL @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
198 Jac Caglianone
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TEX @ KC RF
LHB vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 4.26
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 3
TEX @ KC
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
199 Brent Rooker
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIL @ OAK
RHB vs LHP
ERA 6.38
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% N/A
MIL @ ATH
10:05 PM ET
Final
200 Elly De La Cruz
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 CIN @ SD DH
S vs RHP
ERA 4.35
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% N/A
CIN @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final/11
Showing 176–200 of 225 plays