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Strong Plays Record
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Wins
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Losses
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Win %
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Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-06-09 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
344
Total Found
225
Shown
225
Actionable
33
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
201 Giancarlo Stanton
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 NYY @ CLE PH
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 9%
ERA 4.83
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% N/A
NYY @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final
202 Joey Ortiz 3/3 MIL @ OAK 3B
RHB vs RHP
Average 49%
ERA 3.15
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 0
MIL @ ATH
10:05 PM ET
Final
L
203 Nathaniel Lowe 3/3 CIN @ SD
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.35
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 0
CIN @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final/11
L
204 Orlando Arcia
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIN @ DET
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.81
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% N/A
MIN @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
205 Paul Goldschmidt 3/3 NYY @ CLE PH
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 9%
ERA 4.83
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 2
NYY @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
206 Taylor Ward 3/3 SEA @ BAL
RHB vs RHP
Average 45%
ERA 3.62
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 1
SEA @ BAL
6:35 PM ET
Final/10
L
207 Chase DeLauter 3/3 NYY @ CLE RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.45
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 1
NYY @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
208 Isaac Paredes 3/3 HOU @ LAA DH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.44
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 0
HOU @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
L
209 Nick Kurtz 3/3 MIL @ OAK
LHB vs LHP
ERA 6.38
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 3, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 1
MIL @ ATH
10:05 PM ET
Final
L
210 Adley Rutschman
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 SEA @ BAL
S vs RHP
Average 45%
ERA 3.62
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 1, 0, 4
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% N/A
SEA @ BAL
6:35 PM ET
Final/10
211 Brenton Doyle
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 CHC @ COL
RHB vs RHP
Average 41%
ERA 5.19
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% N/A
CHC @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
212 CJ Abrams 3/3 WSH @ SF
LHB vs RHP
Weak 14%
ERA 5.54
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 1
WSH @ SF
9:45 PM ET
Final
L
213 Francisco Lindor
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 STL @ NYM SS
S vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.21
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% N/A
STL @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
214 J.P. Crawford
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 SEA @ BAL SS
LHB vs LHP
Average 34%
ERA 6.15
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 1, 3, 0
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% N/A
SEA @ BAL
6:35 PM ET
Final/10
215 Matt Olson 3/3 ATL @ CWS 1B TBD Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 2
ATL @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final/10
W
216 Xander Bogaerts
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CIN @ SD SS
RHB vs RHP
Average 65%
ERA 2.14
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% N/A
CIN @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final/11
217 Kevin McGonigle 3/3 MIN @ DET 3B
LHB vs RHP
Average 55%
ERA 4.02
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 0
MIN @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
218 Lars Nootbaar 3/3 STL @ NYM
LHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.04
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 0
STL @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
219 Willson Contreras 3/3 BOS @ TB 1B
RHB vs RHP
Good 82%
ERA 2.43
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 0
BOS @ TB
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
220 Ceddanne Rafaela 3/3 BOS @ TB CF
RHB vs RHP
Good 82%
ERA 2.43
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 0
BOS @ TB
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
221 Cole Young 3/3 SEA @ BAL 2B
LHB vs LHP
Average 34%
ERA 6.15
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 0
SEA @ BAL
6:35 PM ET
Final/10
L
222 Gunnar Henderson 3/3 SEA @ BAL
LHB vs RHP
Average 45%
ERA 3.62
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 1, 0, 3
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 0
SEA @ BAL
6:35 PM ET
Final/10
L
223 Spencer Horwitz
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 LAD @ PIT 1B
LHB vs LHP
ERA 5.47
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% N/A
LAD @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
224 Alec Bohm 3/3 PHI @ TOR 1B
RHB vs RHP
Good 71%
ERA 2.91
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 0
PHI @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
L
225 Shea Langeliers 3/3 MIL @ OAK
RHB vs LHP
ERA 6.38
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 3, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 1
MIL @ ATH
10:05 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 201–225 of 225 plays
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