Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-06-13 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

397

Total Found

235

Shown

235

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
226	Daylen Lile	3/3	SEA @ WSH		Luis Castillo LHB vs RHP ERA 5.00	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	0, 4, 1	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	1	SEA @ WSH 4:05 PM ET Final L
227	Gabriel Moreno	3/3	ARI @ CIN	DH	Rhett Lowder RHB vs RHP Weak 13% ERA 4.60	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	2	ARI @ CIN 4:10 PM ET Final W
228	Lars Nootbaar	3/3	STL @ MIN		Connor Prielipp LHB vs LHP ERA 5.26	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	1	STL @ MIN 2:10 PM ET Final L
229	Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ MIL	RF	Shane Drohan LHB vs LHP ERA 3.59	Hits	1.5	+230	19.7	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	30.3%	3.0%	0	PHI @ MIL 7:10 PM ET Final L
230	Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	TEX @ BOS	CF	Jacob deGrom RHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 3.17	Hits	1.5	+230	19.7	3, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	30.3%	3.0%	2	TEX @ BOS 4:10 PM ET Final W
231	Gunnar Henderson	3/3	SD @ BAL		Randy Vásquez LHB vs RHP Weak 15% ERA 3.63	Hits	1.5	+230	19.7	3, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	30.3%	3.0%	0	SD @ BAL 4:05 PM ET Final L
232	Ernie Clement	3/3	NYY @ TOR	2B	Cam Schlittler RHB vs RHP Ace 95% ERA 1.82	Hits	1.5	+201	16.8	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	33.2%	0.1%	1	NYY @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final L
233	Christian Yelich	3/3	PHI @ MIL	DH	Aaron Nola LHB vs RHP Replacement 8% ERA 5.86	Hits	1.5	+200	16.7	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	1	PHI @ MIL 7:10 PM ET Final L
234	Jordan Walker	3/3	STL @ MIN	RF	Connor Prielipp RHB vs LHP ERA 5.26	Hits	1.5	+200	16.7	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	1	STL @ MIN 2:10 PM ET Final L
235	Sam Antonacci ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ CWS	DH	Yoshinobu Yamamoto LHB vs RHP Ace 99% ERA 2.52	Hits	1.5	+200	16.7	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	0	LAD @ CHW 4:10 PM ET Final L

Showing 226–235 of 235 plays

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