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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Jun 16 →
Wins
0
Losses
4
Push
2
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-06-16 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
374
Total Found
235
Shown
235
Actionable
19
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
51 Josh Smith
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIN @ TEX
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.78
Hits 1.5 +340 77.3 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
22.7% 43.9% 1
MIN @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
52 Liam Hicks 3/3 MIA @ PHI
LHB vs LHP
Ace 90%
ERA 4.20
Hits 1.5 +340 77.3 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
22.7% 43.9% 1
MIA @ PHI
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
53 Pete Crow-Armstrong 3/3 COL @ CHC CF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.05
Home Runs 0.5 +325 76.5 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
23.5% 43.1% 1
COL @ CHC
8:05 PM ET
Final
W
54 Michael Massey
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 KC @ WSH 2B
LHB vs LHP
Average 49%
ERA 3.32
Hits 1.5 +320 76.2 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
23.8% 42.9% 0
KC @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
55 Byron Buxton 3/3 MIN @ TEX
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.17
Home Runs 0.5 +300 75.0 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 0
MIN @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
56 Gunnar Henderson 3/3 BAL @ SEA
LHB vs RHP
Average 45%
ERA 3.43
Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 2, 0, 3
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 0
BAL @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
57 Evan Carter
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIN @ TEX CF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.78
Runs Batted In 0.5 +293 74.6 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
25.4% 41.2% N/A
MIN @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
58 Henry Bolte 3/3 PIT @ OAK
RHB vs RHP
Weak 14%
ERA 5.25
Hits 1.5 +280 73.7 2, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 0
PIT @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
59 Hunter Goodman 3/3 COL @ CHC C
RHB vs RHP
Average 35%
ERA 5.21
Hits 1.5 +280 73.7 2, 5, 0
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 0
COL @ CHC
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
60 Josh Bell 3/3 MIN @ TEX DH
S vs RHP
ERA 4.17
Hits 1.5 +280 73.7 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 2
MIN @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
W
61 Konnor Griffin
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 PIT @ OAK SS
RHB vs RHP
ERA 6.15
Hits 1.5 +280 73.7 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% N/A
PIT @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
62 Lawrence Butler 3/3 PIT @ OAK
LHB vs RHP
Weak 14%
ERA 5.25
Hits 1.5 +280 73.7 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 1
PIT @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
63 Mookie Betts 3/3 TB @ LAD SS
RHB vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.59
Hits 1.5 +280 73.7 1, 2, 3
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 0
TB @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
64 Zack Gelof 3/3 PIT @ OAK
RHB vs RHP
Weak 14%
ERA 5.25
Hits 1.5 +280 73.7 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 2
PIT @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
65 Jorbit Vivas
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 KC @ WSH
LHB vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 3.64
Runs Batted In 0.5 +266 72.7 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
27.3% 39.3% 0
KC @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
66 Dillon Dingler 3/3 DET @ HOU C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 1.10
Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 0
DET @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
67 Jonathan Aranda 3/3 TB @ LAD 1B
LHB vs LHP
Ace 99%
ERA 2.72
Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 0
TB @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
68 Troy Johnston 3/3 COL @ CHC 1B
LHB vs RHP
Average 35%
ERA 5.21
Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 0
COL @ CHC
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
69 Willi Castro 3/3 COL @ CHC
S vs RHP
Average 35%
ERA 5.21
Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 2, 4, 0
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 1
COL @ CHC
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
70 Pedro Ramirez 3/3 COL @ CHC 3B
S vs RHP
ERA 5.05
Runs Batted In 0.5 +258 72.1 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
27.9% 38.7% 0
COL @ CHC
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
71 Ceddanne Rafaela 3/3 TOR @ BOS CF
RHB vs RHP
Good 71%
ERA 2.71
Runs Batted In 0.5 +247 71.2 0, 2, 3
2/3
66.7%
28.8% 37.8% 0
TOR @ BOS
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
72 TJ Rumfield 3/3 COL @ CHC 1B
LHB vs RHP
Average 35%
ERA 5.21
Hits 1.5 +240 70.6 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% 1
COL @ CHC
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
73 LaMonte Wade Jr.
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 DET @ HOU PH
LHB vs LHP
Weak 29%
ERA 4.09
Runs Batted In 0.5 +231 69.8 1, 0, 3
2/3
66.7%
30.2% 36.5% N/A
DET @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
74 Brandon Marsh 3/3 MIA @ PHI PH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.10
Hits 1.5 +230 69.7 2, 0, 3
2/3
66.7%
30.3% 36.4% 1
MIA @ PHI
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
75 William Contreras 3/3 CLE @ MIL C
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 9%
ERA 4.60
Hits 1.5 +230 69.7 2, 3, 1
2/3
66.7%
30.3% 36.4% 0
CLE @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 51–75 of 235 plays