Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jun 16 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1322

MLB

Top Over

Willi Castro

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Yandy Diaz

H • -1.3 • 93

Top Fade

Dillon Dingler

H • +0.6 • 19

Top 1

Willi Castro

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Eugenio Suarez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Pete Crow-armstrong

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.7

Top 4

Hunter Goodman

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Jo Adell

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 94 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +2.0

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Willi Castro	3/3	COL @ CHC	RBI	2.3	0.7	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.6	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Eugenio Suarez	3/3	NYM @ CIN	RBI	2.3	1.0	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	COL @ CHC	H	3.0	1.9	1.3	95	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.7	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Hunter Goodman	3/3	COL @ CHC	H	2.3	1.2	0.7	95	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Jo Adell	3/3	LAA @ AZ	H	2.7	1.6	0.7	94	TOP OVER	+1.1	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ LAD	H	0.0	1.3	1.3	93	TOP UNDER	-1.3	-1.3	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	J.t. Realmuto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ PHI	RBI	2.0	0.8	0.7	91	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Nick Kurtz	3/3	PIT @ OAK	RBI	2.3	1.4	0.7	90	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Willson Contreras	3/3	TOR @ BOS	H	2.3	1.5	0.5	88	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Colt Keith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ HOU	RBI	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Donovan Walton	3/3	LAA @ AZ	H	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Mookie Betts	3/3	TB @ LAD	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Colt Keith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ HOU	HR	1.0	0.4	0.5	83	TOP OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Edmundo Sosa	3/3	MIA @ PHI	H	1.7	0.7	0.5	80	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Hao-yu Lee	3/3	DET @ HOU	H	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Willson Contreras	3/3	TOR @ BOS	HR	1.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jj Bleday	3/3	NYM @ CIN	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Troy Johnston	3/3	COL @ CHC	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ CIN	H	2.3	1.5	1.3	73	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	William Contreras	3/3	CLE @ MIL	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Brandon Marsh	3/3	MIA @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Brice Turang ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Casey Schmitt	3/3	SF @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Colton Cowser	3/3	BAL @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Dillon Dingler	3/3	DET @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jackson Chourio	3/3	CLE @ MIL	HR	1.0	0.7	0.5	68	TOP OVER	+0.3	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	CWS @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Matt Mclain	3/3	NYM @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Mauricio Dubon	3/3	SF @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	DET @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Zach Neto	3/3	LAA @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	TOR @ BOS	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Wilyer Abreu	3/3	TOR @ BOS	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jackson Chourio	3/3	CLE @ MIL	RBI	2.0	1.4	0.7	67	OVER	+0.6	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	DET @ HOU	RBI	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Willi Castro	3/3	COL @ CHC	H	2.0	1.5	0.7	65	OVER	+0.5	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ CIN	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	CWS @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ryan Ward	3/3	TB @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Donovan Walton	3/3	LAA @ AZ	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jeff Mcneil	3/3	PIT @ OAK	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Rodolfo Duran	3/3	SD @ STL	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Blaze Alexander	3/3	BAL @ SEA	H	1.7	1.1	0.5	62	OVER	+0.6	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Wilyer Abreu	3/3	TOR @ BOS	H	1.7	1.1	0.5	62	OVER	+0.6	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Alex Bregman	3/3	COL @ CHC	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Dylan Crews	3/3	KC @ WSH	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Maikel Garcia	3/3	KC @ WSH	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Byron Buxton	3/3	MIN @ TEX	H	2.0	1.4	0.9	61	OVER	+0.6	+1.1	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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