Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

60%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-06-21 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

367

Total Found

219

Shown

219

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
126	Will Smith ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	BAL @ LAD	C	Brandon Young RHB vs RHP ERA 3.07	Hits	0.5	-175	36.4	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	63.6%	3.0%	N/A	BAL @ LAD 4:10 PM ET Final
127	Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ CHC	C	Dylan Cease RHB vs RHP Good 71% ERA 2.71	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	35.7	6, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	14.3%	19.0%	N/A	TOR @ CHC 2:20 PM ET Postponed
128	Dansby Swanson	3/3	TOR @ CHC	SS	Dylan Cease RHB vs RHP Good 71% ERA 2.71	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	35.7	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	14.3%	19.0%	N/A	TOR @ CHC 2:20 PM ET Postponed
129	Denzer Guzman	3/3	LAA @ OAK	3B	Jack Perkins RHB vs RHP ERA 6.26	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	35.7	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	14.3%	19.0%	3	LAA @ ATH 4:05 PM ET Final W
130	Jose Caballero ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ NYY	3B	Chase Burns RHB vs RHP Average 65% ERA 2.00	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	35.7	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	14.3%	19.0%	0	CIN @ NYY 1:35 PM ET Final L
131	Mark Vientos ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ PHI	1B	Zack Wheeler RHB vs RHP Average 68% ERA 2.01	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	35.7	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	14.3%	19.0%	N/A	NYM @ PHI 7:20 PM ET Final
132	Gabriel Gonzalez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIN @ ARI		TBD	Hits	0.5	-185	35.1	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	64.9%	1.8%	N/A	MIN @ ARI 3:15 PM ET Final
133	Casey Schmitt	3/3	SF @ MIA		Ryan Gusto RHB vs RHP ERA 6.00	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	34.6	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	1	SF @ MIA 1:40 PM ET Final L
134	Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ TEX	CF	Nathan Eovaldi LHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 4.24	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	34.6	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	0	SD @ TEX 2:35 PM ET Final L
135	Kerry Carpenter	3/3	CWS @ DET		TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	34.6	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	0	CHW @ DET 1:40 PM ET Final/10 L
136	Kyle Manzardo	3/3	CLE @ HOU		Kai-Wei Teng LHB vs RHP ERA 4.03	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	34.6	3, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	0	CLE @ HOU 2:10 PM ET Final L
137	Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ TEX	3B	Nathan Eovaldi RHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 4.24	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	34.6	5, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	0	SD @ TEX 2:35 PM ET Final L
138	Pete Crow-Armstrong	3/3	TOR @ CHC	CF	Dylan Cease LHB vs RHP Good 71% ERA 2.71	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	34.6	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	N/A	TOR @ CHC 2:20 PM ET Postponed
139	Alec Bohm	3/3	NYM @ PHI	1B	David Peterson RHB vs LHP Weak 22% ERA 5.91	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	33.3	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	0	NYM @ PHI 7:20 PM ET Final L
140	Alex Bregman	3/3	TOR @ CHC	DH	Dylan Cease RHB vs RHP Good 71% ERA 2.71	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	33.3	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	N/A	TOR @ CHC 2:20 PM ET Postponed
141	Bobby Witt Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ KC	SS	Dustin May RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.30	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	33.3	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	N/A	STL @ KC 2:10 PM ET Final
142	Francisco Lindor ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYM @ PHI	SS	Zack Wheeler S vs RHP Average 68% ERA 2.01	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	33.3	1, 3, 0	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	N/A	NYM @ PHI 7:20 PM ET Final
143	Ketel Marte	3/3	MIN @ ARI	2B	Mike Paredes S vs RHP ERA 4.05	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	33.3	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	2	MIN @ ARI 3:15 PM ET Final W
144	Ryan Kreidler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ ARI		TBD	Hits	1.5	+500	33.3	3, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	3	MIN @ ARI 3:15 PM ET Final W
145	Seiya Suzuki	3/3	TOR @ CHC	RF	Dylan Cease RHB vs RHP Good 71% ERA 2.71	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	33.3	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	N/A	TOR @ CHC 2:20 PM ET Postponed
146	Drew Gilbert	3/3	SF @ MIA	CF	Ryan Gusto LHB vs RHP ERA 6.00	Hits	1.5	+475	32.6	3, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	17.4%	15.9%	1	SF @ MIA 1:40 PM ET Final L
147	Marcelo Mayer	3/3	BOS @ SEA		Logan Gilbert LHB vs RHP Average 45% ERA 3.29	Hits	1.5	+475	32.6	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	17.4%	15.9%	0	BOS @ SEA 4:10 PM ET Final L
148	Joe Mack	3/3	SF @ MIA		Logan Webb LHB vs RHP Average 43% ERA 3.35	Hits	1.5	+450	31.8	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	18.2%	15.2%	0	SF @ MIA 1:40 PM ET Final L
149	Patrick Bailey	3/3	CLE @ HOU	C	Kai-Wei Teng S vs RHP ERA 4.03	Hits	1.5	+450	31.8	3, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	18.2%	15.2%	0	CLE @ HOU 2:10 PM ET Final L
150	Pavin Smith	3/3	MIN @ ARI	DH	Mike Paredes LHB vs RHP ERA 4.05	Hits	1.5	+450	31.8	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	18.2%	15.2%	0	MIN @ ARI 3:15 PM ET Final L

Showing 126–150 of 219 plays

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