Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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⭐ Strong Plays

2026-06-22 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

328

Total Found

221

Shown

221

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Denzer Guzman ELITE	3/3	BAL @ LAA	3B	Kyle Bradish RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 3.75	Home Runs	0.5	+800	138.9	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	11.1%	88.9%	0	BAL @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
2	Jac Caglianone ELITE	3/3	KC @ TB	RF	Drew Rasmussen LHB vs RHP Good 84% ERA 2.78	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	137.5	3, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	12.5%	87.5%	0	KC @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final L
3	Wyatt Langford ELITE	3/3	TEX @ MIA	LF	Tyler Phillips RHB vs RHP ERA 3.52	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	135.7	3, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	14.3%	85.7%	0	TEX @ MIA 6:40 PM ET Final L
4	Jac Caglianone ELITE	3/3	KC @ TB	RF	Drew Rasmussen LHB vs RHP Good 84% ERA 2.78	Home Runs	0.5	+500	133.3	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	16.7%	83.3%	0	KC @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final L
5	CJ Abrams ELITE	3/3	PHI @ WSH		Tim Mayza LHB vs LHP ERA 2.88	Home Runs	0.5	+475	132.6	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	17.4%	82.6%	0	PHI @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
6	Blake Dunn ELITE	3/3	MIL @ CIN		Brandon Woodruff RHB vs RHP Average 66% ERA 2.98	Hits	1.5	+280	123.7	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	26.3%	73.7%	0	MIL @ CIN 7:10 PM ET Final/10 L
7	Dillon Dingler ELITE	3/3	NYY @ DET	C	Gerrit Cole RHB vs RHP ERA 4.01	Hits	1.5	+230	119.7	2, 2, 3	3/3 100.0%	30.3%	69.7%	0	NYY @ DET 6:10 PM ET Final L
8	Wyatt Langford ELITE	3/3	TEX @ MIA	LF	Tyler Phillips RHB vs RHP ERA 3.52	Hits	1.5	+220	118.8	2, 2, 3	3/3 100.0%	31.3%	68.8%	0	TEX @ MIA 6:40 PM ET Final L
9	Josh Jung ELITE	3/3	TEX @ MIA		Tyler Phillips RHB vs RHP ERA 3.52	Hits	1.5	+190	115.5	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	34.5%	65.5%	0	TEX @ MIA 6:40 PM ET Final L
10	Caleb Durbin ELITE	3/3	BOS @ COL	3B	Ryan Feltner RHB vs RHP ERA 4.27	Hits	1.5	+188	115.3	2, 2, 3	3/3 100.0%	34.7%	65.3%	2	BOS @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final W
11	Yandy Díaz ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	KC @ TB	DH	Michael Wacha RHB vs RHP Good 73% ERA 3.45	Hits	1.5	+175	113.6	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	36.4%	63.6%	1	KC @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final L
12	CJ Abrams ELITE	3/3	PHI @ WSH		Tim Mayza LHB vs LHP ERA 2.88	Runs Batted In	0.5	+145	109.2	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	40.8%	59.2%	0	PHI @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
13	Nick Loftin	3/3	KC @ TB		Drew Rasmussen RHB vs RHP Good 84% ERA 2.78	Runs Batted In	1.5	+1300	92.9	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	7.1%	59.5%	0	KC @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final L
14	Luis Torrens ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ NYM	C	Shota Imanaga RHB vs LHP Average 32% ERA 4.28	Hits	0.5	-135	92.6	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	57.4%	42.6%	N/A	CHC @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Postponed
15	Nasim Nunez ELITE	3/3	PHI @ WSH		Tim Mayza S vs LHP ERA 2.88	Hits	0.5	-140	91.7	2, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	58.3%	41.7%	2	PHI @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final W
16	Jonny DeLuca	3/3	KC @ TB	CF	Michael Wacha RHB vs RHP Good 73% ERA 3.45	Home Runs	0.5	+1000	90.9	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	9.1%	57.6%	0	KC @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final L
17	Josh Lowe ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	BAL @ LAA	RF	Kyle Bradish LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 3.75	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	90.0	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	N/A	BAL @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final
18	Ryan Kreidler	3/3	LAD @ MIN		Will Klein RHB vs RHP ERA 2.29	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	90.0	0, 4, 2	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	0	LAD @ MIN 7:40 PM ET Final L
19	Cedric Mullins ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ TB	PH	Michael Wacha LHB vs RHP Good 73% ERA 3.45	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	0	KC @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final L
20	Enrique Hernandez ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ MIN	3B	Zebby Matthews RHB vs RHP ERA 4.43	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	2, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	N/A	LAD @ MIN 7:40 PM ET Final
21	Denzer Guzman	3/3	BAL @ LAA	3B	Kyle Bradish RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 3.75	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	88.9	3, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	0	BAL @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
22	Brandon Valenzuela ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	HOU @ TOR	C	Hunter Brown S vs RHP ERA 3.38	Hits	0.5	-158	88.8	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	61.2%	38.8%	N/A	HOU @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final
23	Bryson Stott ELITE	3/3	PHI @ WSH	2B	Foster Griffin LHB vs LHP Average 49% ERA 2.87	Hits	0.5	-160	88.5	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	61.5%	38.5%	0	PHI @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
24	Blaze Alexander	3/3	BAL @ LAA		Sam Aldegheri RHB vs LHP ERA 5.08	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	BAL @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
25	Matt Shaw	3/3	CHC @ NYM	3B	Kodai Senga RHB vs RHP ERA 8.66	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	3, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	N/A	CHC @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Postponed

Showing 1–25 of 221 plays

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