Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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⭐ Strong Plays

2026-06-27 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

354

Total Found

205

Shown

205

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
26	Joc Pederson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ TOR		Dylan Cease LHB vs RHP Good 71% ERA 3.02	Hits	1.5	+400	80.0	2, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	0	TEX @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final L
27	Kahlil Watson	3/3	SEA @ CLE		Logan Gilbert LHB vs RHP Average 45% ERA 3.42	Hits	1.5	+400	80.0	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	1	SEA @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final L
28	Samad Taylor	3/3	LAD @ SD	LF	Yoshinobu Yamamoto RHB vs RHP Ace 99% ERA 2.67	Hits	1.5	+400	80.0	0, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	0	LAD @ SD 8:40 PM ET Final L
29	Junior Caminero	3/3	ARI @ TB	3B	TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+360	78.3	3, 6, 0	2/3 66.7%	21.7%	44.9%	1	ARI @ TB 6:10 PM ET Final L
30	Daulton Varsho ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ TOR		Cal Quantrill LHB vs RHP ERA 3.31	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	0, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	0	TEX @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final L
31	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TEX @ TOR	3B	Cal Quantrill RHB vs RHP ERA 3.31	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	0	TEX @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final L
32	Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ARI @ TB		Cole Sulser RHB vs RHP ERA 5.30	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	N/A	ARI @ TB 6:10 PM ET Final
33	Wyatt Langford ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ TOR	LF	Dylan Cease RHB vs RHP Good 71% ERA 3.02	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	3, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	N/A	TEX @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final
34	Mike Trout ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	OAK @ LAA	DH	Jack Perkins RHB vs RHP ERA 6.00	Home Runs	0.5	+300	75.0	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	N/A	ATH @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final
35	Pete Crow-Armstrong	3/3	CHC @ MIL	CF	Kyle Harrison LHB vs LHP ERA 2.57	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	CHC @ MIL 7:10 PM ET Final L
36	Rodolfo Duran ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SD		Yoshinobu Yamamoto RHB vs RHP Ace 99% ERA 2.67	Runs Batted In	0.5	+300	75.0	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	N/A	LAD @ SD 8:40 PM ET Final
37	Sung-Mun Song	3/3	LAD @ SD	SS	Yoshinobu Yamamoto LHB vs RHP Ace 99% ERA 2.67	Runs Batted In	0.5	+300	75.0	2, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	LAD @ SD 8:40 PM ET Final L
38	Taylor Trammell	3/3	HOU @ DET	LF	Framber Valdez LHB vs LHP Weak 29% ERA 4.29	Runs Batted In	0.5	+300	75.0	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	HOU @ DET 1:10 PM ET Final L
39	Victor Bericoto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ SF	DH	Bryce Elder RHB vs RHP Average 41% ERA 4.01	Runs Batted In	0.5	+298	74.9	0, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	25.1%	41.5%	N/A	ATL @ SF 9:05 PM ET Final
40	Evan Carter ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TEX @ TOR	CF	Dylan Cease LHB vs RHP Good 71% ERA 3.02	Runs Batted In	0.5	+293	74.6	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	25.4%	41.2%	N/A	TEX @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final
41	Caleb Durbin	3/3	NYY @ BOS	3B	Gerrit Cole RHB vs RHP ERA 4.06	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	1	NYY @ BOS 1:00 PM ET Final L
42	Ernie Clement	3/3	TEX @ TOR	2B	Cal Quantrill RHB vs RHP ERA 3.31	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	3	TEX @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final W
43	Michael Conforto	3/3	CHC @ MIL	PH	Kyle Harrison LHB vs LHP ERA 2.57	Runs Batted In	0.5	+259	72.1	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	27.9%	38.8%	1	CHC @ MIL 7:10 PM ET Final W
44	Derek Hill ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ NYM	PH	Christian Scott RHB vs RHP ERA 3.20	Runs Batted In	0.5	+258	72.1	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	27.9%	38.7%	N/A	PHI @ NYM 4:10 PM ET Final
45	Jeff McNeil	3/3	OAK @ LAA		Reid Detmers LHB vs LHP Average 51% ERA 3.88	Runs Batted In	0.5	+256	71.9	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	28.1%	38.6%	0	ATH @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
46	Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ NYM	PH	Christian Scott LHB vs RHP ERA 3.20	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	0, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	1	PHI @ NYM 4:10 PM ET Final L
47	Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ NYM	RF	Christian Scott LHB vs RHP ERA 3.20	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	3, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	2	PHI @ NYM 4:10 PM ET Final W
48	Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ SF	1B	Logan Webb LHB vs RHP Average 43% ERA 3.09	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	0	ATL @ SF 9:05 PM ET Final L
49	Miguel Vargas	3/3	KC @ CWS	3B	Michael Wacha RHB vs RHP Good 73% ERA 3.31	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	3, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	1	KC @ CHW 4:10 PM ET Final L
50	Taylor Ward	3/3	WSH @ BAL		Foster Griffin RHB vs LHP Average 49% ERA 2.93	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	3, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	0	WSH @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final/10 L

Showing 26–50 of 205 plays

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