Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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⭐ Strong Plays

2026-06-28 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

357

Total Found

215

Shown

215

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
26	Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ NYM	RF	Cionel Pérez LHB vs LHP ERA 5.73	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	82.6	2, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	1	PHI @ NYM 1:40 PM ET Final L
27	Jake Burger	3/3	TEX @ TOR	1B	Shane Bieber RHB vs RHP ERA 6.00	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	82.6	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	0	TEX @ TOR 1:37 PM ET Final L
28	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TEX @ TOR	3B	Kumar Rocker RHB vs RHP ERA 3.83	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	82.6	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	0	TEX @ TOR 1:37 PM ET Final L
29	William Contreras	3/3	CHC @ MIL	C	Ryan Rolison RHB vs LHP ERA 1.97	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	82.6	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	0	CHC @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final/10 L
30	Brandon Lowe	3/3	CIN @ PIT	2B	Brady Singer LHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 5.12	Runs Batted In	1.5	+450	81.8	4, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	0	CIN @ PIT 1:35 PM ET Final L
31	Hunter Goodman	3/3	COL @ MIN	C	Connor Prielipp RHB vs LHP ERA 4.96	Runs Batted In	1.5	+450	81.8	5, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	0	COL @ MIN 2:10 PM ET Final L
32	Jacob Gonzalez	3/3	KC @ CWS		Luinder Avila LHB vs RHP ERA 5.40	Hits	1.5	+450	81.8	1, 3, 2	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	0	KC @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final L
33	Jo Adell	3/3	OAK @ LAA		Aaron Civale RHB vs RHP Average 39% ERA 4.92	Runs Batted In	1.5	+450	81.8	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	0	ATH @ LAA 3:15 PM ET Final L
34	Mike Trout ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	OAK @ LAA	DH	Aaron Civale RHB vs RHP Average 39% ERA 4.92	Hits	0.5	-220	81.3	1, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	68.8%	31.3%	N/A	ATH @ LAA 3:15 PM ET Final
35	Chase DeLauter ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SEA @ CLE	RF	Emerson Hancock LHB vs RHP Average 42% ERA 3.47	Hits	0.5	-225	80.8	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	69.2%	30.8%	2	SEA @ CLE 1:40 PM ET Final W
36	Wyatt Langford ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TEX @ TOR	LF	Shane Bieber RHB vs RHP ERA 6.00	Hits	0.5	-230	80.3	3, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	69.7%	30.3%	N/A	TEX @ TOR 1:37 PM ET Final
37	Andres Gimenez	3/3	TEX @ TOR	SS	Kumar Rocker LHB vs RHP ERA 3.83	Hits	1.5	+380	79.2	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	20.8%	45.8%	1	TEX @ TOR 1:37 PM ET Final L
38	Victor Bericoto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ SF	DH	Chris Sale RHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.10	Runs Batted In	0.5	+370	78.7	0, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	21.3%	45.4%	0	ATL @ SF 4:05 PM ET Final L
39	Max Muncy	3/3	LAD @ SD	PH	Michael King LHB vs RHP Average 60% ERA 3.55	Hits	1.5	+360	78.3	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	21.7%	44.9%	0	LAD @ SD 4:10 PM ET Final L
40	Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	ARI @ TB	SS	Drew Rasmussen S vs RHP Good 84% ERA 2.45	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	3, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	1	ARI @ TB 1:40 PM ET Final L
41	Junior Caminero	3/3	ARI @ TB	3B	TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+340	77.3	1, 3, 6	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	2	ARI @ TB 1:40 PM ET Final W
42	Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ARI @ TB		Drew Rasmussen RHB vs RHP Good 84% ERA 2.45	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	1	ARI @ TB 1:40 PM ET Final L
43	Riley Greene	3/3	HOU @ DET	DH	Hunter Brown LHB vs RHP ERA 1.78	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	0	HOU @ DET 1:40 PM ET Final/10 L
44	Caleb Durbin	3/3	NYY @ BOS	3B	Carlos Rodón RHB vs LHP ERA 3.30	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	1	NYY @ BOS 7:20 PM ET Final/10 L
45	Chase Meidroth	3/3	KC @ CWS	2B	Luinder Avila RHB vs RHP ERA 5.40	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	2, 4, 1	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	KC @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final L
46	Denzer Guzman	3/3	OAK @ LAA	3B	Aaron Civale RHB vs RHP Average 39% ERA 4.92	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	1	ATH @ LAA 3:15 PM ET Final L
47	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TEX @ TOR	3B	Kumar Rocker RHB vs RHP ERA 3.83	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	TEX @ TOR 1:37 PM ET Final L
48	Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ SF	1B	Robbie Ray LHB vs LHP Average 36% ERA 3.39	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	3	ATL @ SF 4:05 PM ET Final W
49	Mike Trout ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	OAK @ LAA	DH	Aaron Civale RHB vs RHP Average 39% ERA 4.92	Home Runs	0.5	+300	75.0	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	N/A	ATH @ LAA 3:15 PM ET Final
50	Rodolfo Duran	3/3	LAD @ SD		Emmet Sheehan RHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 5.08	Runs Batted In	0.5	+300	75.0	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	LAD @ SD 4:10 PM ET Final L

Showing 26–50 of 215 plays

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