Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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⭐ Strong Plays

2026-06-28 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

357

Total Found

215

Shown

215

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
51	Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ BAL		Kyle Bradish LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 3.77	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	0	WSH @ BAL 1:35 PM ET Final L
52	Michael Conforto	3/3	CHC @ MIL	PH	Brandon Woodruff LHB vs RHP Average 66% ERA 2.59	Runs Batted In	0.5	+267	72.8	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	27.2%	39.4%	0	CHC @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final/10 L
53	Derek Hill ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ NYM	PH	Cionel Pérez RHB vs LHP ERA 5.73	Runs Batted In	0.5	+262	72.4	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	27.6%	39.0%	0	PHI @ NYM 1:40 PM ET Final L
54	Evan Carter ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TEX @ TOR	CF	Shane Bieber LHB vs RHP ERA 6.00	Runs Batted In	0.5	+261	72.3	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	27.7%	39.0%	0	TEX @ TOR 1:37 PM ET Final L
55	Jake Burger	3/3	TEX @ TOR	1B	Shane Bieber RHB vs RHP ERA 6.00	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	3, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	0	TEX @ TOR 1:37 PM ET Final L
56	Miguel Vargas	3/3	KC @ CWS	3B	Luinder Avila RHB vs RHP ERA 5.40	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	1, 3, 2	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	2	KC @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final W
57	Jeff McNeil	3/3	OAK @ LAA		Sam Aldegheri LHB vs LHP ERA 4.85	Runs Batted In	0.5	+256	71.9	0, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	28.1%	38.6%	0	ATH @ LAA 3:15 PM ET Final L
58	Chadwick Tromp ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	WSH @ BAL		Zack Littell RHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 5.29	Runs Batted In	0.5	+246	71.1	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	28.9%	37.8%	N/A	WSH @ BAL 1:35 PM ET Final
59	Trevor Larnach	3/3	COL @ MIN		Ryan Feltner LHB vs RHP ERA 4.42	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	3, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	1	COL @ MIN 2:10 PM ET Final L
60	LaMonte Wade Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	HOU @ DET	PH	Jack Flaherty LHB vs RHP Weak 12% ERA 4.97	Runs Batted In	0.5	+231	69.8	1, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	30.2%	36.5%	N/A	HOU @ DET 1:40 PM ET Final/10
61	Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ PIT	1B	Mitch Keller RHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.87	Hits	1.5	+230	69.7	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	2	CIN @ PIT 1:35 PM ET Final W
62	Taylor Ward	3/3	WSH @ BAL		Zack Littell RHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 5.29	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	0, 3, 2	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	0	WSH @ BAL 1:35 PM ET Final L
63	William Contreras	3/3	CHC @ MIL	C	Ryan Rolison RHB vs LHP ERA 1.97	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	0, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	0	CHC @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final/10 L
64	Esmerlyn Valdez	3/3	CIN @ PIT		Brady Singer RHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 5.12	Runs Batted In	0.5	+213	68.1	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	31.9%	34.7%	2	CIN @ PIT 1:35 PM ET Final W
65	Otto Lopez	3/3	MIA @ STL	SS	Kyle Leahy RHB vs RHP Weak 21% ERA 4.09	Hits	1.5	+200	66.7	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	33.3%	33.3%	0	MIA @ STL 2:15 PM ET Final L
66	Tyler Freeman	3/3	COL @ MIN		Connor Prielipp RHB vs LHP ERA 4.96	Hits	1.5	+200	66.7	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	33.3%	33.3%	0	COL @ MIN 2:10 PM ET Final L
67	Wyatt Langford ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TEX @ TOR	LF	Shane Bieber RHB vs RHP ERA 6.00	Runs Batted In	0.5	+200	66.7	0, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	33.3%	33.3%	N/A	TEX @ TOR 1:37 PM ET Final
68	Enrique Hernandez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ SD	3B	Michael King RHB vs RHP Average 60% ERA 3.55	Runs Batted In	0.5	+195	66.1	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	33.9%	32.8%	N/A	LAD @ SD 4:10 PM ET Final
69	Jake Mangum	3/3	CIN @ PIT	RF	Brady Singer S vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 5.12	Hits	1.5	+190	65.5	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	34.5%	32.2%	0	CIN @ PIT 1:35 PM ET Final L
70	Jeremy Pena	3/3	HOU @ DET	SS	Jack Flaherty RHB vs RHP Weak 12% ERA 4.97	Hits	1.5	+190	65.5	3, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	34.5%	32.2%	1	HOU @ DET 1:40 PM ET Final/10 L
71	Jackson Chourio	3/3	CHC @ MIL	LF	Ryan Rolison RHB vs LHP ERA 1.97	Hits	1.5	+180	64.3	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	35.7%	31.0%	1	CHC @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final/10 L
72	Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ NYM	SS	Cionel Pérez RHB vs LHP ERA 5.73	Hits	1.5	+180	64.3	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	35.7%	31.0%	1	PHI @ NYM 1:40 PM ET Final L
73	Mike Trout ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	OAK @ LAA	DH	Aaron Civale RHB vs RHP Average 39% ERA 4.92	Runs Batted In	0.5	+155	60.8	0, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	39.2%	27.5%	N/A	ATH @ LAA 3:15 PM ET Final
74	Munetaka Murakami ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	KC @ CWS	1B	Luinder Avila LHB vs RHP ERA 5.40	Runs Batted In	0.5	+155	60.8	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	39.2%	27.5%	N/A	KC @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final
75	Connor Wong ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BOS	C	Carlos Rodón RHB vs LHP ERA 3.30	Runs Batted In	0.5	+145	59.2	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	40.8%	25.9%	0	NYY @ BOS 7:20 PM ET Final/10 L

Showing 51–75 of 215 plays

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