Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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⭐ Strong Plays

2026-06-28 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

357

Total Found

215

Shown

215

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
76	Hunter Goodman	3/3	COL @ MIN	C	Connor Prielipp RHB vs LHP ERA 4.96	Home Runs	2.5	+15000	49.3	3, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	0.7%	32.7%	0	COL @ MIN 2:10 PM ET Final L
77	Michael Massey	3/3	KC @ CWS	2B	TBD	Hits	0.5	-119	45.7	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	54.3%	12.3%	0	KC @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final L
78	Rodolfo Duran	3/3	LAD @ SD		Emmet Sheehan RHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 5.08	Hits	0.5	-120	45.5	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	54.5%	12.1%	0	LAD @ SD 4:10 PM ET Final L
79	Junior Caminero	3/3	ARI @ TB	3B	TBD	Home Runs	1.5	+2000	45.2	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	4.8%	28.6%	1	ARI @ TB 1:40 PM ET Final L
80	Marcelo Mayer ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ BOS		Carlos Rodón LHB vs LHP ERA 3.30	Hits	0.5	-130	43.5	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	56.5%	10.1%	N/A	NYY @ BOS 7:20 PM ET Final/10
81	Travis d'Arnaud ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	OAK @ LAA		Aaron Civale RHB vs RHP Average 39% ERA 4.92	Hits	0.5	-130	43.5	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	56.5%	10.1%	N/A	ATH @ LAA 3:15 PM ET Final
82	LaMonte Wade Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	HOU @ DET	PH	Jack Flaherty LHB vs RHP Weak 12% ERA 4.97	Hits	0.5	-131	43.3	1, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	56.7%	10.0%	N/A	HOU @ DET 1:40 PM ET Final/10
83	Chadwick Tromp ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	WSH @ BAL		Zack Littell RHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 5.29	Hits	0.5	-140	41.7	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	58.3%	8.3%	N/A	WSH @ BAL 1:35 PM ET Final
84	Eric Wagaman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ NYM		Jesús Luzardo RHB vs LHP Ace 90% ERA 3.88	Hits	0.5	-143	41.2	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	58.8%	7.8%	0	PHI @ NYM 1:40 PM ET Final L
85	Kyle Isbel ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	KC @ CWS	CF	TBD	Hits	0.5	-143	41.2	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	58.8%	7.8%	N/A	KC @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final
86	Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ARI @ TB		Drew Rasmussen RHB vs RHP Good 84% ERA 2.45	Runs Batted In	1.5	+1000	40.9	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	9.1%	24.2%	0	ARI @ TB 1:40 PM ET Final L
87	Evan Carter ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TEX @ TOR	CF	Shane Bieber LHB vs RHP ERA 6.00	Hits	0.5	-145	40.8	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	59.2%	7.5%	0	TEX @ TOR 1:37 PM ET Final L
88	Matt Vierling	3/3	HOU @ DET		Hunter Brown RHB vs RHP ERA 1.78	Hits	0.5	-146	40.7	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	59.3%	7.3%	1	HOU @ DET 1:40 PM ET Final/10 W
89	Rafael Devers	3/3	ATL @ SF		Chris Sale LHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.10	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	40.0	4, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	10.0%	23.3%	0	ATL @ SF 4:05 PM ET Final L
90	Lawrence Butler	3/3	OAK @ LAA		Sam Aldegheri LHB vs LHP ERA 4.85	Hits	0.5	-150	40.0	1, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	60.0%	6.7%	2	ATH @ LAA 3:15 PM ET Final W
91	Esmerlyn Valdez	3/3	CIN @ PIT		Brady Singer RHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 5.12	Hits	0.5	-151	39.8	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	60.2%	6.5%	3	CIN @ PIT 1:35 PM ET Final W
92	Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ARI @ TB	C	TBD	Hits	0.5	-153	39.5	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	60.5%	6.2%	1	ARI @ TB 1:40 PM ET Final W
93	Edwin Arroyo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ PIT		Mitch Keller S vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.87	Hits	0.5	-154	39.4	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	60.6%	6.0%	2	CIN @ PIT 1:35 PM ET Final W
94	Dylan Beavers ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	WSH @ BAL		Zack Littell LHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 5.29	Hits	0.5	-155	39.2	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	60.8%	5.9%	0	WSH @ BAL 1:35 PM ET Final L
95	Jared Triolo	3/3	CIN @ PIT	PH	Brady Singer RHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 5.12	Hits	0.5	-155	39.2	3, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	60.8%	5.9%	0	CIN @ PIT 1:35 PM ET Final L
96	Jesus Rodriguez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ATL @ SF		Chris Sale RHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.10	Hits	0.5	-155	39.2	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	60.8%	5.9%	N/A	ATL @ SF 4:05 PM ET Final
97	Jose Fermin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ STL	LF	Tyler Phillips RHB vs RHP ERA 3.02	Hits	0.5	-155	39.2	0, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	60.8%	5.9%	N/A	MIA @ STL 2:15 PM ET Final
98	Miles Mastrobuoni ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	SEA @ CLE		Gavin Williams LHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.81	Hits	0.5	-155	39.2	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	60.8%	5.9%	N/A	SEA @ CLE 1:40 PM ET Final
99	Ryan Waldschmidt ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ARI @ TB		Drew Rasmussen RHB vs RHP Good 84% ERA 2.45	Hits	0.5	-156	39.1	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	60.9%	5.7%	N/A	ARI @ TB 1:40 PM ET Final
100	Carter Jensen	3/3	KC @ CWS	C	TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	38.9	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	2	KC @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final W

Showing 76–100 of 215 plays

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