Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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⭐ Strong Plays

2026-06-28 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

357

Total Found

215

Shown

215

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
151	Aaron Judge ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ BOS		Sonny Gray RHB vs RHP Good 88% ERA 2.69	Runs Batted In	1.5	+340	27.3	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	N/A	NYY @ BOS 7:20 PM ET Final/10
152	Alejandro Osuna	3/3	TEX @ TOR	DH	Shane Bieber LHB vs RHP ERA 6.00	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	0	TEX @ TOR 1:37 PM ET Final L
153	Coby Mayo	3/3	WSH @ BAL		Zack Littell RHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 5.29	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	0	WSH @ BAL 1:35 PM ET Final L
154	Joe Mack	3/3	MIA @ STL		Kyle Leahy LHB vs RHP Weak 21% ERA 4.09	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	0	MIA @ STL 2:15 PM ET Final L
155	Pete Alonso	3/3	WSH @ BAL		Zack Littell RHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 5.29	Runs Batted In	1.5	+340	27.3	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	2	WSH @ BAL 1:35 PM ET Final W
156	Spencer Steer	3/3	CIN @ PIT		Mitch Keller RHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.87	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	0	CIN @ PIT 1:35 PM ET Final L
157	Trevor Story ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ BOS	SS	Carlos Rodón RHB vs LHP ERA 3.30	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	N/A	NYY @ BOS 7:20 PM ET Final/10
158	Tyler Stephenson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ PIT	C	Mitch Keller RHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.87	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	2	CIN @ PIT 1:35 PM ET Final W
159	Alika Williams	3/3	OAK @ LAA		Sam Aldegheri RHB vs LHP ERA 4.85	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	1	ATH @ LAA 3:15 PM ET Final L
160	Braden Montgomery	3/3	KC @ CWS	RF	Luinder Avila S vs RHP ERA 5.40	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	1	KC @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final L
161	Carson Benge	3/3	PHI @ NYM	RF	Jesús Luzardo LHB vs LHP Ace 90% ERA 3.88	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	1	PHI @ NYM 1:40 PM ET Final L
162	Dylan Crews	3/3	WSH @ BAL		Kyle Bradish RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 3.77	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	0, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	1	WSH @ BAL 1:35 PM ET Final L
163	Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ CLE	LF	Gavin Williams RHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.81	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	0	SEA @ CLE 1:40 PM ET Final L
164	Shea Langeliers	3/3	OAK @ LAA		Sam Aldegheri RHB vs LHP ERA 4.85	Runs Batted In	1.5	+320	26.2	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	0	ATH @ LAA 3:15 PM ET Final L
165	Endy Rodriguez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ PIT		Brady Singer S vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 5.12	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	N/A	CIN @ PIT 1:35 PM ET Final
166	Eugenio Suarez	3/3	CIN @ PIT	DH	Mitch Keller RHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.87	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	CIN @ PIT 1:35 PM ET Final L
167	Gabriel Moreno	3/3	ARI @ TB	DH	Drew Rasmussen RHB vs RHP Good 84% ERA 2.45	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	ARI @ TB 1:40 PM ET Final L
168	Giancarlo Stanton ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ BOS	PH	Sonny Gray RHB vs RHP Good 88% ERA 2.69	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	N/A	NYY @ BOS 7:20 PM ET Final/10
169	Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ DET	DH	Jack Flaherty RHB vs RHP Weak 12% ERA 4.97	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	3	HOU @ DET 1:40 PM ET Final/10 W
170	Juan Soto	3/3	PHI @ NYM	LF	Jesús Luzardo LHB vs LHP Ace 90% ERA 3.88	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	1	PHI @ NYM 1:40 PM ET Final L
171	Justin Crawford	3/3	PHI @ NYM	CF	Cionel Pérez LHB vs LHP ERA 5.73	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	1	PHI @ NYM 1:40 PM ET Final L
172	Kyle Teel	3/3	KC @ CWS	C	Luinder Avila LHB vs RHP ERA 5.40	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	1	KC @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final L
173	Tommy Edman	3/3	LAD @ SD	PH	Michael King S vs RHP Average 60% ERA 3.55	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	LAD @ SD 4:10 PM ET Final L
174	Trent Grisham ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ BOS	CF	Sonny Gray LHB vs RHP Good 88% ERA 2.69	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	N/A	NYY @ BOS 7:20 PM ET Final/10
175	Wade Meckler	3/3	OAK @ LAA	LF	Aaron Civale LHB vs RHP Average 39% ERA 4.92	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	1	ATH @ LAA 3:15 PM ET Final L

Showing 151–175 of 215 plays

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