Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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⭐ Strong Plays

2026-06-28 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

357

Total Found

215

Shown

215

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Jake McCarthy ELITE	3/3	COL @ MIN	LF	Connor Prielipp LHB vs LHP ERA 4.96	Hits	1.5	+260	122.2	2, 3, 2	3/3 100.0%	27.8%	72.2%	0	COL @ MIN 2:10 PM ET Final L
2	TJ Rumfield ELITE	3/3	COL @ MIN	1B	Connor Prielipp LHB vs LHP ERA 4.96	Hits	1.5	+260	122.2	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	27.8%	72.2%	2	COL @ MIN 2:10 PM ET Final W
3	Ernie Clement ELITE	3/3	TEX @ TOR	2B	Kumar Rocker RHB vs RHP ERA 3.83	Hits	1.5	+240	120.6	3, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	29.4%	70.6%	0	TEX @ TOR 1:37 PM ET Final L
4	Freddie Freeman ELITE	3/3	LAD @ SD	1B	Michael King LHB vs RHP Average 60% ERA 3.55	Hits	1.5	+240	120.6	3, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	29.4%	70.6%	0	LAD @ SD 4:10 PM ET Final L
5	Bryce Harper ELITE	3/3	PHI @ NYM	RF	Cionel Pérez LHB vs LHP ERA 5.73	Hits	1.5	+220	118.8	2, 3, 2	3/3 100.0%	31.3%	68.8%	0	PHI @ NYM 1:40 PM ET Final L
6	Konnor Griffin ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ PIT	SS	Brady Singer RHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 5.12	Hits	1.5	+220	118.8	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	31.3%	68.8%	1	CIN @ PIT 1:35 PM ET Final L
7	Jonah Heim ELITE	3/3	OAK @ LAA		Sam Aldegheri S vs LHP ERA 4.85	Runs Batted In	0.5	+190	115.5	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	34.5%	65.5%	0	ATH @ LAA 3:15 PM ET Final L
8	Victor Bericoto ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ SF	DH	Chris Sale RHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.10	Hits	0.5	+112	102.8	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	47.2%	52.8%	1	ATL @ SF 4:05 PM ET Final W
9	Michael Conforto ELITE	3/3	CHC @ MIL	PH	Brandon Woodruff LHB vs RHP Average 66% ERA 2.59	Hits	0.5	-105	98.8	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	51.2%	48.8%	0	CHC @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final/10 L
10	Jose Trevino ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CIN @ PIT		Mitch Keller RHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.87	Hits	0.5	-110	97.6	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	52.4%	47.6%	N/A	CIN @ PIT 1:35 PM ET Final
11	Derek Hill ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ NYM	PH	Cionel Pérez RHB vs LHP ERA 5.73	Hits	0.5	-122	95.0	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	55.0%	45.0%	0	PHI @ NYM 1:40 PM ET Final L
12	Tristan Gray ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ MIN		Ryan Feltner LHB vs RHP ERA 4.42	Hits	0.5	-150	90.0	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	60.0%	40.0%	N/A	COL @ MIN 2:10 PM ET Final
13	Ty France ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SD	1B	Emmet Sheehan RHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 5.08	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	90.0	3, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	0	LAD @ SD 4:10 PM ET Final L
14	Victor Bericoto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ SF	DH	Chris Sale RHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.10	Home Runs	0.5	+850	89.5	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	10.5%	56.1%	0	ATL @ SF 4:05 PM ET Final L
15	Enrique Hernandez ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ SD	3B	Michael King RHB vs RHP Average 60% ERA 3.55	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	2, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	N/A	LAD @ SD 4:10 PM ET Final
16	Derek Hill ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ NYM	PH	Cionel Pérez RHB vs LHP ERA 5.73	Home Runs	0.5	+750	88.2	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	11.8%	54.9%	0	PHI @ NYM 1:40 PM ET Final L
17	Seiya Suzuki	3/3	CHC @ MIL	RF	Brandon Woodruff RHB vs RHP Average 66% ERA 2.59	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	2	CHC @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final/10 W
18	Connor Wong ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BOS	C	Carlos Rodón RHB vs LHP ERA 3.30	Hits	0.5	-175	86.4	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	63.6%	36.4%	1	NYY @ BOS 7:20 PM ET Final/10 W
19	Kerry Carpenter	3/3	HOU @ DET		Hunter Brown LHB vs RHP ERA 1.78	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	4, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	0	HOU @ DET 1:40 PM ET Final/10 L
20	Brady House ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	WSH @ BAL		Kyle Bradish RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 3.77	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	N/A	WSH @ BAL 1:35 PM ET Final
21	Ryan Jeffers ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	COL @ MIN	C	Ryan Feltner RHB vs RHP ERA 4.42	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	N/A	COL @ MIN 2:10 PM ET Final
22	William Contreras	3/3	CHC @ MIL	C	Ryan Rolison RHB vs LHP ERA 1.97	Home Runs	0.5	+525	84.0	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	16.0%	50.7%	0	CHC @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final/10 L
23	Jonah Heim ELITE	3/3	OAK @ LAA		Sam Aldegheri S vs LHP ERA 4.85	Hits	0.5	-200	83.3	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	66.7%	33.3%	0	ATH @ LAA 3:15 PM ET Final L
24	Brandon Lockridge ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CHC @ MIL	RF	Ryan Rolison RHB vs LHP ERA 1.97	Hits	1.5	+500	83.3	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	N/A	CHC @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final/10
25	Willson Contreras	3/3	NYY @ BOS	1B	Carlos Rodón RHB vs LHP ERA 3.30	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	83.3	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	0	NYY @ BOS 7:20 PM ET Final/10 L

Showing 1–25 of 215 plays

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