Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

100%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-06-29 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

294

Total Found

168

Shown

168

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
26	Mookie Betts	3/3	LAD @ OAK	SS	Gage Jump RHB vs LHP ERA 2.93	Runs Batted In	1.5	+400	80.0	2, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	0	LAD @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
27	Tyler Stephenson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ MIL	C	Robert Gasser RHB vs LHP ERA 4.54	Hits	1.5	+400	80.0	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	1	CIN @ MIL 7:40 PM ET Final L
28	Andres Gimenez	3/3	NYM @ TOR	SS	Sean Manaea LHB vs LHP ERA 4.71	Hits	1.5	+380	79.2	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	20.8%	45.8%	0	NYM @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
29	Kerry Carpenter	3/3	DET @ NYY		Ryan Weathers LHB vs LHP Weak 21% ERA 4.08	Hits	1.5	+380	79.2	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	20.8%	45.8%	1	DET @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final L
30	A.J. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ TOR	CF	Trey Yesavage LHB vs RHP ERA 3.34	Hits	1.5	+360	78.3	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	21.7%	44.9%	0	NYM @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
31	Ezequiel Duran	3/3	TEX @ CLE	3B	Parker Messick RHB vs LHP Average 64% ERA 2.85	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	0	TEX @ CLE 7:00 PM ET Final L
32	Nathan Lukes	3/3	NYM @ TOR	RF	Sean Manaea LHB vs LHP ERA 4.71	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	0	NYM @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
33	Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ HOU	3B	Peter Lambert S vs RHP ERA 3.51	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	2	MIN @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final W
34	Jake Mangum	3/3	PIT @ PHI	RF	Aaron Nola S vs RHP Replacement 8% ERA 6.04	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	1	PIT @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final L
35	Mike Trout ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAA @ SEA	DH	George Kirby RHB vs RHP Weak 27% ERA 3.81	Home Runs	0.5	+300	75.0	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	N/A	LAA @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final
36	Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ BAL	2B	Shane Baz RHB vs RHP Weak 21% ERA 4.19	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	0, 2, 4	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	1	CHW @ BAL 6:35 PM ET Final L
37	Denzer Guzman	3/3	LAA @ SEA	3B	George Kirby RHB vs RHP Weak 27% ERA 3.81	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	1	LAA @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final L
38	Trevor Larnach	3/3	MIN @ HOU		Peter Lambert LHB vs RHP ERA 3.51	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	1, 3, 2	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	1	MIN @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final L
39	Edwin Arroyo	3/3	CIN @ MIL		Robert Gasser S vs LHP ERA 4.54	Runs Batted In	0.5	+269	72.9	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	27.1%	39.6%	0	CIN @ MIL 7:40 PM ET Final L
40	Garrett Mitchell	3/3	CIN @ MIL	CF	Nick Lodolo LHB vs LHP ERA 5.05	Runs Batted In	0.5	+260	72.2	1, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	0	CIN @ MIL 7:40 PM ET Final L
41	Isaac Paredes	3/3	MIN @ HOU	DH	Zebby Matthews RHB vs RHP ERA 4.15	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	3, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	0	MIN @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final L
42	Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ MIL	1B	Robert Gasser RHB vs LHP ERA 4.54	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	1	CIN @ MIL 7:40 PM ET Final L
43	Chadwick Tromp ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ BAL		TBD	Runs Batted In	0.5	+246	71.1	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	28.9%	37.8%	N/A	CHW @ BAL 6:35 PM ET Final
44	Bryce Harper	3/3	PIT @ PHI	RF	Braxton Ashcraft LHB vs RHP Good 79% ERA 3.33	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	0, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	1	PIT @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final L
45	Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	SF @ ARI	SS	Tyler Mahle S vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 5.67	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	1, 3, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	1	SF @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
46	Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ BAL	3B	Shane Baz RHB vs RHP Weak 21% ERA 4.19	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	2, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	1	CHW @ BAL 6:35 PM ET Final L
47	Elias Diaz	3/3	TEX @ CLE	PH	Parker Messick RHB vs LHP Average 64% ERA 2.85	Runs Batted In	0.5	+233	70.0	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	30.0%	36.6%	0	TEX @ CLE 7:00 PM ET Final L
48	LaMonte Wade Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIN @ HOU	PH	Zebby Matthews LHB vs RHP ERA 4.15	Runs Batted In	0.5	+231	69.8	1, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	30.2%	36.5%	N/A	MIN @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final
49	Chase DeLauter ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ CLE	RF	Tyler Alexander LHB vs LHP ERA 2.50	Hits	1.5	+230	69.7	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	2	TEX @ CLE 7:00 PM ET Final W
50	Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	WSH @ BOS		Ranger Suarez LHB vs LHP Average 43% ERA 2.94	Hits	1.5	+230	69.7	3, 4, 0	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	1	WSH @ BOS 7:10 PM ET Final L

Showing 26–50 of 168 plays

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