Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

50%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-03 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

332

Total Found

210

Shown

210

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
51	Pete Crow-Armstrong	3/3	STL @ CHC	CF	Andre Pallante LHB vs RHP Average 38% ERA 3.83	Home Runs	0.5	+275	73.3	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	26.7%	40.0%	0	STL @ CHC 4:05 PM ET Final L
52	Amed Rosario ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ NYY	3B	Mike Paredes RHB vs RHP ERA 4.26	Runs Batted In	0.5	+260	72.2	1, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	N/A	MIN @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final
53	Blaze Alexander	3/3	BAL @ CIN		Brady Singer RHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 5.12	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	0	BAL @ CIN 7:10 PM ET Final L
54	Mookie Betts ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ LAD	SS	Michael King RHB vs RHP Average 60% ERA 3.55	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	2, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	0	SD @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L
55	James Wood	3/3	PIT @ WSH		Mitch Keller LHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.87	Home Runs	0.5	+250	71.4	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	28.6%	38.1%	0	PIT @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
56	Chadwick Tromp ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	BAL @ CIN		Brady Singer RHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 5.12	Runs Batted In	0.5	+246	71.1	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	28.9%	37.8%	N/A	BAL @ CIN 7:10 PM ET Final
57	Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ LAA	CF	Reid Detmers RHB vs LHP Average 51% ERA 3.88	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	2	BOS @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final W
58	Curtis Mead ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ WSH		Mitch Keller RHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.87	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	N/A	PIT @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final
59	Dylan Crews	3/3	PIT @ WSH		Mitch Keller RHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.87	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	0	PIT @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
60	Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ HOU	3B	Spencer Arrighetti RHB vs RHP ERA 4.00	Home Runs	0.5	+240	70.6	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	1	TB @ HOU 8:15 PM ET Final W
61	Victor Bericoto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ COL	DH	Ryan Feltner RHB vs RHP ERA 4.42	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	0	SF @ COL 8:10 PM ET Final L
62	LaMonte Wade Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TB @ HOU	PH	Nick Martinez LHB vs RHP Good 82% ERA 2.66	Runs Batted In	0.5	+231	69.8	1, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	30.2%	36.5%	N/A	TB @ HOU 8:15 PM ET Final
63	Jake Mangum	3/3	PIT @ WSH	RF	Foster Griffin S vs LHP Average 49% ERA 2.93	Hits	1.5	+230	69.7	3, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	2	PIT @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final W
64	James Wood	3/3	PIT @ WSH		Mitch Keller LHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.87	Hits	1.5	+230	69.7	2, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	2	PIT @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final W
65	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ HOU	1B	Spencer Arrighetti LHB vs RHP ERA 4.00	Hits	1.5	+230	69.7	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	0	TB @ HOU 8:15 PM ET Final L
66	Sal Frelick ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ ARI	RF	TBD	Hits	1.5	+230	69.7	0, 3, 2	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	0	MIL @ ARI 9:45 PM ET Final/11 L
67	Sam Antonacci	3/3	CWS @ CLE	DH	Gavin Williams LHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.81	Hits	1.5	+230	69.7	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	0	CHW @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final/10 L
68	Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ HOU	LF	Spencer Arrighetti LHB vs RHP ERA 4.00	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	3, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	N/A	TB @ HOU 8:15 PM ET Final
69	Nick Gonzales	3/3	PIT @ WSH	2B	Foster Griffin RHB vs LHP Average 49% ERA 2.93	Runs Batted In	0.5	+215	68.3	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	31.7%	34.9%	1	PIT @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final W
70	David Fry	3/3	CWS @ CLE	PH	TBD	Runs Batted In	0.5	+210	67.7	1, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	32.3%	34.4%	0	CHW @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final/10 L
71	Elly De La Cruz	3/3	BAL @ CIN	DH	Trevor Rogers S vs LHP Average 34% ERA 4.99	Hits	1.5	+200	66.7	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	33.3%	33.3%	1	BAL @ CIN 7:10 PM ET Final L
72	Ketel Marte	3/3	MIL @ ARI	2B	Kyle Harrison S vs LHP ERA 2.57	Hits	1.5	+200	66.7	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	33.3%	33.3%	2	MIL @ ARI 9:45 PM ET Final/11 W
73	Liam Hicks	3/3	MIA @ OAK		Jack Perkins LHB vs RHP ERA 6.00	Hits	1.5	+200	66.7	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	33.3%	33.3%	1	MIA @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
74	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	TB @ HOU	LF	Nick Martinez LHB vs RHP Good 82% ERA 2.66	Hits	1.5	+200	66.7	3, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	33.3%	33.3%	1	TB @ HOU 8:15 PM ET Final L
75	Graham Pauley ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIA @ OAK	3B	Jack Perkins LHB vs RHP ERA 6.00	Runs Batted In	0.5	+197	66.3	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	33.7%	33.0%	N/A	MIA @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final

Showing 51–75 of 210 plays

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