Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

50%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-03 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

332

Total Found

210

Shown

210

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
151	Dalton Rushing	3/3	SD @ LAD	PH	Michael King LHB vs RHP Average 60% ERA 3.55	Hits	1.5	+450	31.8	4, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	18.2%	15.2%	1	SD @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L
152	Jacob Gonzalez	3/3	CWS @ CLE		Gavin Williams LHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.81	Hits	1.5	+450	31.8	1, 0, 3	1/3 33.3%	18.2%	15.2%	1	CHW @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final/10 L
153	CJ Abrams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ WSH		Mitch Keller LHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.87	Runs Batted In	1.5	+400	30.0	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	20.0%	13.3%	0	PIT @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
154	Connor Wong ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ LAA	C	Reid Detmers RHB vs LHP Average 51% ERA 3.88	Hits	1.5	+400	30.0	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	20.0%	13.3%	N/A	BOS @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final
155	Heliot Ramos	3/3	SF @ COL		Ryan Feltner RHB vs RHP ERA 4.42	Runs Batted In	1.5	+400	30.0	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	20.0%	13.3%	0	SF @ COL 8:10 PM ET Final L
156	Hunter Goodman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ COL	C	TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+400	30.0	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	20.0%	13.3%	0	SF @ COL 8:10 PM ET Final L
157	Jake Cronenworth	3/3	SD @ LAD	2B	Shohei Ohtani LHB vs RHP Ace 94% ERA 1.58	Hits	1.5	+400	30.0	1, 3, 0	1/3 33.3%	20.0%	13.3%	2	SD @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final W
158	Pete Crow-Armstrong	3/3	STL @ CHC	CF	Andre Pallante LHB vs RHP Average 38% ERA 3.83	Runs Batted In	1.5	+400	30.0	3, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	20.0%	13.3%	0	STL @ CHC 4:05 PM ET Final L
159	Anthony Seigler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ LAA		Reid Detmers LHB vs LHP Average 51% ERA 3.88	Hits	1.5	+380	29.2	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	20.8%	12.5%	N/A	BOS @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final
160	Tristan Peters	3/3	CWS @ CLE	CF	Gavin Williams LHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.81	Hits	1.5	+380	29.2	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	20.8%	12.5%	1	CHW @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final/10 L
161	Jordan Walker	3/3	STL @ CHC	RF	David Peterson RHB vs LHP Weak 22% ERA 5.86	Runs Batted In	1.5	+360	28.3	4, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	0	STL @ CHC 4:05 PM ET Final L
162	Nolan Arenado	3/3	MIL @ ARI	3B	Kyle Harrison RHB vs LHP ERA 2.57	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	1	MIL @ ARI 9:45 PM ET Final/11 L
163	Tommy Pham ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ CLE	PH	Gavin Williams RHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.81	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	N/A	CHW @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final/10
164	Aaron Judge ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIN @ NYY		Mike Paredes RHB vs RHP ERA 4.26	Runs Batted In	1.5	+340	27.3	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	N/A	MIN @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final
165	Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	3/3	MIL @ ARI		Kyle Harrison RHB vs LHP ERA 2.57	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	0	MIL @ ARI 9:45 PM ET Final/11 L
166	Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ LAD	3B	Shohei Ohtani RHB vs RHP Ace 94% ERA 1.58	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	0	SD @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L
167	Trevor Story ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	BOS @ LAA	SS	Reid Detmers RHB vs LHP Average 51% ERA 3.88	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	N/A	BOS @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final
168	Alika Williams	3/3	MIA @ OAK		Tyler Phillips RHB vs RHP ERA 3.02	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	1	MIA @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
169	Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CWS @ CLE	DH	Gavin Williams LHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.81	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	1, 0, 3	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	0	CHW @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final/10 L
170	Luis Arraez	3/3	SF @ COL		Ryan Feltner LHB vs RHP ERA 4.42	Hits	2.5	+320	26.2	0, 3, 2	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	1	SF @ COL 8:10 PM ET Final L
171	Michael Conforto	3/3	STL @ CHC	PH	Andre Pallante LHB vs RHP Average 38% ERA 3.83	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	3, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	0	STL @ CHC 4:05 PM ET Final L
172	Giancarlo Stanton ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIN @ NYY	PH	Mike Paredes RHB vs RHP ERA 4.26	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	N/A	MIN @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final
173	Trent Grisham ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIN @ NYY	CF	Mike Paredes LHB vs RHP ERA 4.26	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	2	MIN @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final W
174	Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ LAA	1B	Reid Detmers RHB vs LHP Average 51% ERA 3.88	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	2	BOS @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final W
175	Alejandro Kirk	3/3	TOR @ SEA	C	Luis Castillo RHB vs RHP ERA 4.93	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	0	TOR @ SEA 10:10 PM ET Final L

Showing 151–175 of 210 plays

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