Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

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Win %

50%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-03 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

332

Total Found

210

Shown

210

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
176	Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ WSH	2B	Foster Griffin LHB vs LHP Average 49% ERA 2.93	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	1	PIT @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
177	Gabriel Moreno	3/3	MIL @ ARI	DH	Kyle Harrison RHB vs LHP ERA 2.57	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	2	MIL @ ARI 9:45 PM ET Final/11 W
178	Jonah Heim	3/3	MIA @ OAK		Tyler Phillips S vs RHP ERA 3.02	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	0	MIA @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
179	Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ WSH		Mitch Keller S vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.87	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	0	PIT @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
180	Trevor Larnach	3/3	MIN @ NYY		Gerrit Cole LHB vs RHP ERA 4.06	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	3, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	0	MIN @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final L
181	Brenton Doyle ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	SF @ COL		TBD	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	N/A	SF @ COL 8:10 PM ET Final
182	Cam Smith	3/3	TB @ HOU	RF	Nick Martinez RHB vs RHP Good 82% ERA 2.66	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	1	TB @ HOU 8:15 PM ET Final L
183	Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ CHC	C	Andre Pallante RHB vs RHP Average 38% ERA 3.83	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	1	STL @ CHC 4:05 PM ET Final L
184	Ernie Clement	3/3	TOR @ SEA	2B	Luis Castillo RHB vs RHP ERA 4.93	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	0	TOR @ SEA 10:10 PM ET Final L
185	Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SD @ LAD	RF	Shohei Ohtani RHB vs RHP Ace 94% ERA 1.58	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	0	SD @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L
186	Kody Clemens	3/3	MIN @ NYY	2B	Gerrit Cole LHB vs RHP ERA 4.06	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	2	MIN @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final W
187	Mauricio Dubon	3/3	NYM @ ATL	SS	Christian Scott RHB vs RHP ERA 3.20	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	0	NYM @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
188	Zach Neto	3/3	BOS @ LAA	DH	Jake Bennett RHB vs LHP ERA 3.27	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	2	BOS @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final W
189	Freddie Freeman	3/3	SD @ LAD	1B	Michael King LHB vs RHP Average 60% ERA 3.55	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	1	SD @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L
190	Kyle Stowers	3/3	MIA @ OAK		Jack Perkins LHB vs RHP ERA 6.00	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	1, 0, 3	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	4	MIA @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final W
191	Ozzie Albies	3/3	NYM @ ATL	2B	Christian Scott S vs RHP ERA 3.20	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	1	NYM @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
192	Zack Gelof ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIA @ OAK		Tyler Phillips RHB vs RHP ERA 3.02	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	N/A	MIA @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final
193	Andy Pages	3/3	SD @ LAD	CF	Michael King RHB vs RHP Average 60% ERA 3.55	Hits	1.5	+230	19.7	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	30.3%	3.0%	0	SD @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L
194	Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ NYY	3B	Gerrit Cole S vs RHP ERA 4.06	Hits	1.5	+230	19.7	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	30.3%	3.0%	0	MIN @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final L
195	Chase DeLauter	3/3	CWS @ CLE	RF	TBD	Hits	1.5	+230	19.7	1, 3, 1	1/3 33.3%	30.3%	3.0%	0	CHW @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final/10 L
196	Samuel Basallo	3/3	BAL @ CIN		Brady Singer LHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 5.12	Hits	1.5	+230	19.7	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	30.3%	3.0%	1	BAL @ CIN 7:10 PM ET Final L
197	Spencer Horwitz ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PIT @ WSH	1B	Foster Griffin LHB vs LHP Average 49% ERA 2.93	Hits	1.5	+230	19.7	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	30.3%	3.0%	N/A	PIT @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final
198	Alex Bregman	3/3	STL @ CHC	DH	Andre Pallante RHB vs RHP Average 38% ERA 3.83	Hits	1.5	+220	18.7	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	31.3%	2.1%	2	STL @ CHC 4:05 PM ET Final W
199	Angel Martinez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ CLE	PH	TBD	Hits	1.5	+220	18.7	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	31.3%	2.1%	N/A	CHW @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final/10
200	Carson Benge	3/3	NYM @ ATL	RF	Grant Holmes LHB vs RHP Average 47% ERA 3.96	Hits	1.5	+220	18.7	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	31.3%	2.1%	1	NYM @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L

Showing 176–200 of 210 plays

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