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Strong Plays Record
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← Jul 4 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-04 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
390
Total Found
240
Shown
240
Actionable
21
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
51 Trent Grisham
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIN @ NYY CF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.43
Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 2, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 0
MIN @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
52 Willson Contreras 3/3 BOS @ LAA 1B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 5.08
Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 1
BOS @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
L
53 Gabriel Moreno 3/3 MIL @ ARI DH
RHB vs RHP
Average 66%
ERA 2.98
Hits 1.5 +280 73.7 2, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 1
MIL @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
54 Lars Nootbaar
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 STL @ CHC
LHB vs LHP
Average 32%
ERA 4.28
Hits 1.5 +280 73.7 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 0
STL @ CHC
8:08 PM ET
Final
L
55 Elias Diaz 3/3 DET @ TEX PH
RHB vs RHP
Weak 12%
ERA 4.60
Runs Batted In 0.5 +275 73.3 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
26.7% 40.0% 0
DET @ TEX
4:05 PM ET
Final
L
56 Kody Clemens 3/3 MIN @ NYY 2B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 9.45
Home Runs 0.5 +275 73.3 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
26.7% 40.0% 1
MIN @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
W
57 Pete Crow-Armstrong 3/3 STL @ CHC CF
LHB vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.86
Home Runs 0.5 +275 73.3 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
26.7% 40.0% 0
STL @ CHC
8:08 PM ET
Final
L
58 Amed Rosario
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIN @ NYY 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.43
Runs Batted In 0.5 +260 72.2 1, 0, 3
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 0
MIN @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
59 Blaze Alexander 3/3 BAL @ CIN
RHB vs RHP
ERA 21.60
Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 1
BAL @ CIN
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
60 Kody Clemens 3/3 MIN @ NYY 2B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 9.45
Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 2, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 2
MIN @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
W
61 Mookie Betts 3/3 SD @ LAD SS
RHB vs LHP
ERA 2.33
Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 0, 2, 3
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 1
SD @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
62 Rafael Devers 3/3 SF @ COL
LHB vs LHP
ERA 8.87
Home Runs 0.5 +260 72.2 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 0
SF @ COL
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
63 Spencer Torkelson 3/3 DET @ TEX 1B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.35
Runs Batted In 0.5 +251 71.5 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
28.5% 38.2% 0
DET @ TEX
4:05 PM ET
Final
L
64 Ezequiel Duran 3/3 DET @ TEX 3B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 12%
ERA 4.60
Hits 1.5 +250 71.4 2, 3, 1
2/3
66.7%
28.6% 38.1% 0
DET @ TEX
4:05 PM ET
Final
L
65 Chadwick Tromp
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 BAL @ CIN
RHB vs RHP
ERA 21.60
Runs Batted In 0.5 +246 71.1 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
28.9% 37.8% N/A
BAL @ CIN
7:10 PM ET
Final
66 Ceddanne Rafaela 3/3 BOS @ LAA CF
RHB vs LHP
ERA 5.08
Hits 1.5 +240 70.6 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% 1
BOS @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
L
67 Curtis Mead
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 PIT @ WSH
RHB vs RHP
Good 79%
ERA 3.24
Hits 1.5 +240 70.6 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% 1
PIT @ WSH
11:05 AM ET
Final
L
68 Dylan Crews 3/3 PIT @ WSH
RHB vs RHP
Good 79%
ERA 3.24
Hits 1.5 +240 70.6 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% 1
PIT @ WSH
11:05 AM ET
Final
L
69 Junior Caminero 3/3 TB @ HOU 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.38
Home Runs 0.5 +240 70.6 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% 1
TB @ HOU
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
70 Victor Bericoto 3/3 SF @ COL DH
RHB vs LHP
ERA 8.87
Hits 1.5 +240 70.6 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% 2
SF @ COL
8:10 PM ET
Final
W
71 LaMonte Wade Jr.
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 TB @ HOU PH
LHB vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.78
Runs Batted In 0.5 +231 69.8 1, 0, 3
2/3
66.7%
30.2% 36.5% 0
TB @ HOU
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
72 Josh Jung 3/3 DET @ TEX
RHB vs RHP
Weak 12%
ERA 4.60
Hits 1.5 +230 69.7 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
30.3% 36.4% 1
DET @ TEX
4:05 PM ET
Final
L
73 Josh Jung 3/3 DET @ TEX
RHB vs RHP
Weak 12%
ERA 4.60
Runs Batted In 0.5 +230 69.7 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
30.3% 36.4% 0
DET @ TEX
4:05 PM ET
Final
L
74 Sam Antonacci 3/3 CWS @ CLE DH
LHB vs LHP
Average 64%
ERA 2.80
Hits 1.5 +230 69.7 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
30.3% 36.4% 0
CHW @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
75 Chandler Simpson
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 TB @ HOU LF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.38
Hits 1.5 +220 68.7 3, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
31.3% 35.4% N/A
TB @ HOU
7:10 PM ET
Final
Showing 51–75 of 240 plays