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Strong Plays Record
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← Jul 5 →
Wins
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Losses
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Win %
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Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-05 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
361
Total Found
233
Shown
233
Actionable
20
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
201 Tyler Stephenson
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 BAL @ CIN C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 3.75
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 2
BAL @ CIN
1:05 PM ET
Final
W
202 Blaze Alexander 3/3 BAL @ CIN
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.68
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 3
BAL @ CIN
1:05 PM ET
Final
W
203 Brenton Doyle
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 SF @ COL
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 5.70
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% N/A
SF @ COL
4:00 PM ET
Final
204 Carson Kelly
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 STL @ CHC C
RHB vs LHP
Replacement 4%
ERA 5.34
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 1
STL @ CHC
2:30 PM ET
Final
L
205 Fernando Tatis Jr. 3/3 SD @ LAD RF
RHB vs RHP
Average 40%
ERA 4.91
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 3
SD @ LAD
7:20 PM ET
Final
W
206 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 3/3 MIN @ NYY PH
LHB vs RHP
Average 44%
ERA 3.36
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 1
MIN @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
207 Josh Bell 3/3 MIN @ NYY DH
S vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 4.29
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 3, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 1
MIN @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
208 Kyle Karros 3/3 SF @ COL 3B
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 5.70
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 1, 3, 0
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 1
SF @ COL
4:00 PM ET
Final
L
209 Matt Olson 3/3 NYM @ ATL 1B
LHB vs RHP
Average 62%
ERA 3.73
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 1
NYM @ ATL
12:30 PM ET
Final
L
210 Mauricio Dubon 3/3 NYM @ ATL SS
RHB vs RHP
Average 62%
ERA 3.73
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 3
NYM @ ATL
12:30 PM ET
Final
W
211 Miguel Vargas 3/3 CWS @ CLE 3B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 23%
ERA 4.06
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 1
CHW @ CLE
2:00 PM ET
Final
L
212 Mookie Betts 3/3 SD @ LAD SS
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.70
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 0
SD @ LAD
7:20 PM ET
Final
L
213 Vaughn Grissom
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 BOS @ LAA 1B
RHB vs LHP
Average 43%
ERA 3.15
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 0
BOS @ LAA
9:30 PM ET
Final
L
214 Curtis Mead
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 PIT @ WSH
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.82
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 2
PIT @ WSH
1:00 PM ET
Final
W
215 Dylan Crews 3/3 PIT @ WSH
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.82
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 1
PIT @ WSH
1:00 PM ET
Final
L
216 Francisco Lindor 3/3 NYM @ ATL SS
S vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 3.54
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 1
NYM @ ATL
12:30 PM ET
Final
L
217 Freddie Freeman 3/3 SD @ LAD 1B
LHB vs LHP
ERA 4.70
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 0
SD @ LAD
7:20 PM ET
Final
L
218 Zack Gelof
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIA @ OAK
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 4%
ERA 3.84
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 1
MIA @ ATH
4:30 PM ET
Final
L
219 Brayan Rocchio 3/3 CWS @ CLE SS TBD Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 1
CHW @ CLE
2:00 PM ET
Final
L
220 Jose Altuve 3/3 TB @ HOU 2B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.82
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 1
TB @ HOU
3:30 PM ET
Final
L
221 Josh Jung
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 DET @ TEX
RHB vs RHP
Average 61%
ERA 2.64
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% N/A
DET @ TEX
3:30 PM ET
Final
222 Spencer Horwitz
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 PIT @ WSH 1B
LHB vs RHP
Average 53%
ERA 3.88
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% N/A
PIT @ WSH
1:00 PM ET
Final
223 Angel Martínez
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 CWS @ CLE PH TBD Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% N/A
CHW @ CLE
2:00 PM ET
Final
224 Carson Benge 3/3 NYM @ ATL RF
LHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 3.54
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 0
NYM @ ATL
12:30 PM ET
Final
L
225 Jasson Dominguez 3/3 MIN @ NYY
S vs RHP
Average 44%
ERA 3.36
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 0
MIN @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 201–225 of 233 plays