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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Jun 22 – Jul 5 →
Wins
13
Losses
23
Push
24
Win %
36.1%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-05 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
361
Total Found
233
Shown
233
Actionable
20
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
1 Cole Carrigg ELITE 3/3 SF @ COL CF
S vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 5.70
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +550 134.6 3, 3, 2
3/3
100.0%
 15.4% 84.6% 0
SF @ COL
4:00 PM ET
Final
L
2 Kody Clemens ELITE 3/3 MIN @ NYY 2B
LHB vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 4.29
 Home Runs 0.5 +275 123.3 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 26.7% 73.3% 0
MIN @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
3 Nick Gonzales ELITE 3/3 PIT @ WSH 2B
RHB vs RHP
Average 53%
ERA 3.88
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +215 118.3 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 31.7% 68.3% 0
PIT @ WSH
1:00 PM ET
Final
L
4 Esmerlyn Valdez ELITE 3/3 PIT @ WSH
RHB vs RHP
Average 53%
ERA 3.88
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +156 110.9 1, 1, 3
3/3
100.0%
 39.1% 60.9% 0
PIT @ WSH
1:00 PM ET
Final
L
5 Alec Burleson ELITE 3/3 STL @ CHC 1B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.15
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +155 110.8 1, 4, 1
3/3
100.0%
 39.2% 60.8% 0
STL @ CHC
2:30 PM ET
Final
L
6 Otto Lopez ELITE 3/3 MIA @ OAK SS
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.98
 Hits 1.5 +140 108.3 3, 2, 3
3/3
100.0%
 41.7% 58.3% 3
MIA @ ATH
4:30 PM ET
Final
W
7 Jose Tena ELITE 3/3 PIT @ WSH
LHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.82
 Hits 0.5 -135 92.6 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 57.4% 42.6% 2
PIT @ WSH
1:00 PM ET
Final
W
8 Zach McKinstry ELITE 3/3 DET @ TEX RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.95
 Hits 0.5 -139 91.8 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 58.2% 41.8% 0
DET @ TEX
3:30 PM ET
Final
L
9 Jake McCarthy 3/3 SF @ COL LF
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 5.70
 Home Runs 0.5 +1000 90.9 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
 9.1% 57.6% 0
SF @ COL
4:00 PM ET
Final
L
10 Nathan Church 3/3 STL @ CHC CF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.15
 Home Runs 0.5 +1000 90.9 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 9.1% 57.6% 0
STL @ CHC
2:30 PM ET
Final
L
11 Austin Hedges 3/3 CWS @ CLE C TBD Home Runs 0.5 +900 90.0 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 10.0% 56.7% 0
CHW @ CLE
2:00 PM ET
Final
L
12 Enrique Hernandez ELITE 3/3 SD @ LAD 3B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.70
 Hits 0.5 -155 89.2 2, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 60.8% 39.2% N/A
SD @ LAD
7:20 PM ET
Final
13 Luke Keaschall 3/3 MIN @ NYY RF
RHB vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 4.29
 Home Runs 0.5 +800 88.9 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 11.1% 55.6% 0
MIN @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
14 Bryan Torres
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 STL @ CHC LF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.15
 Home Runs 0.5 +750 88.2 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 11.8% 54.9% 0
STL @ CHC
2:30 PM ET
Final
L
15 Elias Diaz 3/3 DET @ TEX PH
RHB vs RHP
Average 61%
ERA 2.64
 Home Runs 0.5 +750 88.2 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 11.8% 54.9% 0
DET @ TEX
3:30 PM ET
Final
L
16 Jake McCarthy 3/3 SF @ COL LF
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 5.70
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 87.5 0, 6, 4
2/3
66.7%
 12.5% 54.2% 0
SF @ COL
4:00 PM ET
Final
L
17 Nathan Church 3/3 STL @ CHC CF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.15
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 87.5 0, 3, 2
2/3
66.7%
 12.5% 54.2% 0
STL @ CHC
2:30 PM ET
Final
L
18 Miguel Rojas ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 SD @ LAD 3B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.70
 Hits 0.5 -167 87.5 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 62.5% 37.5% 1
SD @ LAD
7:20 PM ET
Final
W
19 Garrett Mitchell 3/3 MIL @ ARI CF TBD Home Runs 0.5 +600 85.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 14.3% 52.4% 0
MIL @ ARI
4:00 PM ET
Final
L
20 Jackson Merrill 3/3 SD @ LAD CF
LHB vs RHP
Average 40%
ERA 4.91
 Home Runs 0.5 +600 85.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 14.3% 52.4% 0
SD @ LAD
7:20 PM ET
Final
L
21 Romy Gonzalez
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 BOS @ LAA
RHB vs RHP
ERA 6.99
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 85.7 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 14.3% 52.4% N/A
BOS @ LAA
9:30 PM ET
Final
22 Josh Bell 3/3 MIN @ NYY DH
S vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 4.29
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +550 84.6 3, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
 15.4% 51.3% 1
MIN @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
23 Brady House ELITE
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 PIT @ WSH
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.82
 Hits 0.5 -190 84.5 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 65.5% 34.5% N/A
PIT @ WSH
1:00 PM ET
Final
24 Bryson Stott ELITE 3/3 PHI @ KC 2B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.05
 Hits 0.5 -190 84.5 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 65.5% 34.5% 2
PHI @ KC
3:00 PM ET
Final
W
25 Ryan Jeffers ELITE
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 MIN @ NYY C
RHB vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 4.29
 Hits 0.5 -190 84.5 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 65.5% 34.5% N/A
MIN @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
Showing 1–25 of 233 plays
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