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Strong Plays Record
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← Jul 7 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-07 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
370
Total Found
236
Shown
236
Actionable
18
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
126 Richie Palacios 3/3 NYY @ TB PH
LHB vs RHP
Weak 20%
ERA 4.15
Runs Batted In 1.5 +900 40.0 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
10.0% 23.3% 1
NYY @ TB
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
127 Kahlil Watson 3/3 CLE @ MIN
LHB vs RHP
Average 55%
ERA 3.67
Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% 0
CLE @ MIN
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
128 Michael Massey 3/3 KC @ NYM 2B
LHB vs LHP
ERA 5.35
Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% 2
KC @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
129 Francisco Alvarez
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 KC @ NYM C
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 5%
ERA 4.56
Hits 0.5 -153 39.5 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
60.5% 6.2% N/A
KC @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
130 J.T. Realmuto
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 PHI @ CIN C
RHB vs LHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 3.92
Hits 0.5 -155 39.2 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
60.8% 5.9% 0
PHI @ CIN
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
131 Jesus Rodriguez
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 TOR @ SF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.95
Hits 0.5 -155 39.2 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
60.8% 5.9% N/A
TOR @ SF
9:45 PM ET
Final
132 Miles Mastrobuoni
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SEA @ MIA
LHB vs RHP
Good 83%
ERA 2.58
Hits 0.5 -155 39.2 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
60.8% 5.9% 0
SEA @ MIA
6:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
133 Ryan Waldschmidt
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 ARI @ SD
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.02
Hits 0.5 -156 39.1 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
60.9% 5.7% N/A
ARI @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
134 James McCann
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 ARI @ SD C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.02
Hits 0.5 -160 38.5 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
61.5% 5.1% 1
ARI @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
135 Jordan Lawlar
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 ARI @ SD CF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.02
Hits 0.5 -160 38.5 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
61.5% 5.1% N/A
ARI @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
136 Julio Rodriguez
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 SEA @ MIA CF
RHB vs RHP
Good 83%
ERA 2.58
Hits 0.5 -160 38.5 0, 3, 1
2/3
66.7%
61.5% 5.1% N/A
SEA @ MIA
6:40 PM ET
Final/10
137 Isaac Collins 3/3 KC @ NYM LF
S vs LHP
ERA 5.35
Hits 0.5 -161 38.3 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
61.7% 5.0% 1
KC @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
138 Justin Crawford 3/3 PHI @ CIN CF
LHB vs LHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 3.92
Hits 0.5 -164 37.9 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
62.1% 4.5% 2
PHI @ CIN
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
139 Munetaka Murakami
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 BOS @ CWS 1B
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.14
Hits 0.5 -165 37.7 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
62.3% 4.4% N/A
BOS @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
140 Spencer Jones
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 NYY @ TB RF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 4.11
Hits 0.5 -165 37.7 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
62.3% 4.4% N/A
NYY @ TB
6:40 PM ET
Final
141 Jose Caballero 3/3 NYY @ TB 3B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.11
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 4, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 0
NYY @ TB
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
142 Mauricio Dubon 3/3 ATL @ PIT SS
RHB vs RHP
Weak 25%
ERA 3.58
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 1
ATL @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
143 Trevor Larnach
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CLE @ MIN
LHB vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.66
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 0
CLE @ MIN
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
144 Zach Neto 3/3 LAA @ TEX DH
RHB vs RHP
Weak 16%
ERA 3.49
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 0
LAA @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
145 Miguel Rojas 3/3 COL @ LAD 3B
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 6.46
Hits 0.5 -167 37.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
62.5% 4.1% 0
COL @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
146 Graham Pauley
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 SEA @ MIA 3B
LHB vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 4.23
Hits 0.5 -172 36.8 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
63.2% 3.4% N/A
SEA @ MIA
6:40 PM ET
Final/10
147 Carter Jensen
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 KC @ NYM C
LHB vs LHP
ERA 5.35
Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
63.6% 3.0% 1
KC @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
148 Joc Pederson 3/3 LAA @ TEX
LHB vs RHP
Average 40%
ERA 3.40
Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
63.6% 3.0% 0
LAA @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
149 Nick Loftin 3/3 KC @ NYM
RHB vs LHP
ERA 5.35
Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 3, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
63.6% 3.0% 3
KC @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
150 Roman Anthony
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 BOS @ CWS DH TBD Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
63.6% 3.0% N/A
BOS @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
Showing 126–150 of 236 plays