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Strong Plays Record
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← Jul 7 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-07 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
370
Total Found
236
Shown
236
Actionable
18
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
201 Brenton Doyle
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 COL @ LAD
RHB vs LHP
Ace 99%
ERA 2.69
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% N/A
COL @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
202 Cam Smith 3/3 HOU @ WSH RF
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.64
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 0
HOU @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
203 Carson Kelly
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 CHC @ BAL C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 4.21
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% N/A
CHC @ BAL
6:35 PM ET
Final
204 Christian Walker 3/3 HOU @ WSH 1B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.64
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 1
HOU @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
205 Josh Bell 3/3 CLE @ MIN DH
S vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.66
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 1, 3, 0
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 2
CLE @ MIN
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
206 Matt Olson 3/3 ATL @ PIT 1B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 25%
ERA 3.58
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 1
ATL @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
207 Mauricio Dubon 3/3 ATL @ PIT SS
RHB vs RHP
Weak 25%
ERA 3.58
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 1, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 2
ATL @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
208 Miguel Vargas 3/3 BOS @ CWS 3B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.14
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 0
BOS @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
209 Yainer Diaz
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 HOU @ WSH C
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.64
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% N/A
HOU @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
210 Ezequiel Duran 3/3 LAA @ TEX 3B
RHB vs RHP
Average 40%
ERA 3.40
Hits 1.5 +250 21.4 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
28.6% 4.8% 1
LAA @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
211 Ceddanne Rafaela 3/3 BOS @ CWS CF TBD Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 2
BOS @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
212 Francisco Lindor 3/3 KC @ NYM SS
S vs RHP
Replacement 5%
ERA 4.56
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 0
KC @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
213 Freddie Freeman 3/3 COL @ LAD 1B
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 6.46
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 2
COL @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
W
214 Ozzie Albies 3/3 ATL @ PIT 2B
S vs RHP
Weak 25%
ERA 3.58
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 1
ATL @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
215 Brayan Rocchio 3/3 CLE @ MIN SS
S vs RHP
Average 55%
ERA 3.67
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 0
CLE @ MIN
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
216 Chase DeLauter 3/3 CLE @ MIN RF
LHB vs RHP
Average 55%
ERA 3.67
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 2
CLE @ MIN
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
217 Jake Mangum 3/3 ATL @ PIT RF
S vs RHP
ERA 8.44
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 1
ATL @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
218 Jose Altuve 3/3 HOU @ WSH 2B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.64
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 1
HOU @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
219 Josh Jung
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 LAA @ TEX
RHB vs RHP
Average 40%
ERA 3.40
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% N/A
LAA @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
220 Shohei Ohtani 3/3 COL @ LAD DH
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 6.46
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 3, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 1
COL @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
221 Spencer Horwitz
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 ATL @ PIT 1B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 8.44
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% N/A
ATL @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
222 Alex Bregman 3/3 CHC @ BAL DH
RHB vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 4.21
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 2
CHC @ BAL
6:35 PM ET
Final
W
223 Angel Martínez
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 CLE @ MIN PH
S vs RHP
Average 55%
ERA 3.67
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% N/A
CLE @ MIN
7:40 PM ET
Final
224 Carson Benge 3/3 KC @ NYM RF
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 5%
ERA 4.56
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 2
KC @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
225 Chandler Simpson 3/3 NYY @ TB LF
LHB vs RHP
Weak 20%
ERA 4.15
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 1, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 0
NYY @ TB
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 201–225 of 236 plays