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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Jul 12 →
Wins
0
Losses
4
Push
2
Win %
0%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-12 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
351
Total Found
285
Shown
285
Actionable
66
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
251 Brandon Marsh 3/3 PHI @ DET PH
LHB vs LHP
Good 78%
ERA 3.06
 Hits 0.5 -185 35.1 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
 64.9% 1.8% 0
PHI @ DET
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
252 Esmerlyn Valdez 3/3 MIL @ PIT
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.15
 Hits 0.5 -185 35.1 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 64.9% 1.8% 1
MIL @ PIT
12:15 PM ET
Final
W
253 Gabriel Gonzalez
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 LAA @ MIN
RHB vs RHP
Average 40%
ERA 3.40
 Hits 0.5 -185 35.1 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 64.9% 1.8% N/A
LAA @ MIN
2:10 PM ET
Final
254 Mike Trout
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 LAA @ MIN DH
RHB vs RHP
Average 55%
ERA 3.67
 Hits 0.5 -189 34.6 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 65.4% 1.3% 2
LAA @ MIN
2:10 PM ET
Final
W
255 A.J. Ewing 3/3 BOS @ NYM CF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.14
 Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
 65.5% 1.1% 1
BOS @ NYM
1:40 PM ET
Final/10
W
256 Brandon Nimmo 3/3 HOU @ TEX RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 10.22
 Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
 65.5% 1.1% 3
HOU @ TEX
2:35 PM ET
Final
W
257 Christian Yelich
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 MIL @ PIT DH
LHB vs RHP
Weak 25%
ERA 3.58
 Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 65.5% 1.1% 1
MIL @ PIT
12:15 PM ET
Final
W
258 Curtis Mead 3/3 NYY @ WSH
RHB vs RHP
Weak 20%
ERA 4.15
 Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 65.5% 1.1% 1
NYY @ WSH
1:35 PM ET
Final
W
259 Josh Jung 3/3 HOU @ TEX
RHB vs RHP
ERA 10.22
 Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 65.5% 1.1% 2
HOU @ TEX
2:35 PM ET
Final
W
260 Kazuma Okamoto 3/3 TOR @ SD 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.02
 Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
 65.5% 1.1% 2
TOR @ SD
4:10 PM ET
Final
W
261 Kyle Karros 3/3 COL @ SF 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.46
 Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 1, 3, 0
2/3
66.7%
 65.5% 1.1% 0
COL @ SF
4:05 PM ET
Final
L
262 Victor Caratini
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 LAA @ MIN C
S vs RHP
Average 40%
ERA 3.40
 Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 65.5% 1.1% N/A
LAA @ MIN
2:10 PM ET
Final
263 Paul Goldschmidt 3/3 NYY @ WSH PH
RHB vs RHP
Average 53%
ERA 3.88
 Hits 0.5 -191 34.4 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 65.6% 1.0% 0
NYY @ WSH
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
264 Jackson Merrill 3/3 TOR @ SD CF
LHB vs RHP
Weak 14%
ERA 4.32
 Hits 0.5 -194 34.0 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 66.0% 0.7% 0
TOR @ SD
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
265 Jesus Rodriguez
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 COL @ SF
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 6.46
 Hits 0.5 -199 33.4 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 66.6% 0.1% N/A
COL @ SF
4:05 PM ET
Final
266 Mauricio Dubon 3/3 ATL @ STL SS
RHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.55
 Hits 0.5 -199 33.4 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 66.6% 0.1% 0
ATL @ STL
2:15 PM ET
Final
L
267 Blaze Alexander
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 KC @ BAL
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 5%
ERA 4.56
 Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 66.7% 0.0% 2
KC @ BAL
1:35 PM ET
Final
W
268 Drake Baldwin 3/3 ATL @ STL DH
LHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.55
 Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
 66.7% 0.0% 1
ATL @ STL
2:15 PM ET
Final
W
269 Josh Bell 3/3 LAA @ MIN DH
S vs RHP
Average 40%
ERA 3.40
 Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 66.7% 0.0% 0
LAA @ MIN
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
270 Juan Soto 3/3 BOS @ NYM LF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.14
 Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 66.7% 0.0% 0
BOS @ NYM
1:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
271 Kyle Tucker 3/3 ARI @ LAD RF TBD Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 66.7% 0.0% 0
ARI @ LAD
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
272 Matt Olson 3/3 ATL @ STL 1B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.55
 Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 66.7% 0.0% 1
ATL @ STL
2:15 PM ET
Final
W
273 TJ Rumfield 3/3 COL @ SF 1B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.46
 Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
 66.7% 0.0% 0
COL @ SF
4:05 PM ET
Final
L
274 Travis Bazzana 3/3 CLE @ MIA 2B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.28
 Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 66.7% 0.0% 0
CLE @ MIA
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
275 Trevor Larnach 3/3 LAA @ MIN
LHB vs RHP
Average 40%
ERA 3.40
 Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 66.7% 0.0% 2
LAA @ MIN
2:10 PM ET
Final
W
Showing 251–275 of 285 plays
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