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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Jul 12 →
Wins
0
Losses
4
Push
2
Win %
0%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-12 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
351
Total Found
285
Shown
285
Actionable
66
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
126 Lars Nootbaar 3/3 ATL @ STL
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.60
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +192 65.8 3, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 34.2% 32.4% 0
ATL @ STL
2:15 PM ET
Final
L
127 Yordan Alvarez 3/3 HOU @ TEX LF
LHB vs LHP
Replacement 3%
ERA 4.72
 Hits 1.5 +192 65.8 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 34.2% 32.4% 2
HOU @ TEX
2:35 PM ET
Final
W
128 Andy Pages 3/3 ARI @ LAD CF TBD Hits 1.5 +190 65.5 2, 3, 0
2/3
66.7%
 34.5% 32.2% 0
ARI @ LAD
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
129 Esmerlyn Valdez 3/3 MIL @ PIT
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.15
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +186 65.0 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 35.0% 31.7% 1
MIL @ PIT
12:15 PM ET
Final
W
130 Rhys Hoskins
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 CLE @ MIA
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.28
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +185 64.9 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 35.1% 31.6% N/A
CLE @ MIA
1:40 PM ET
Final
131 Royce Lewis 3/3 LAA @ MIN 1B
RHB vs RHP
Average 40%
ERA 3.40
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +183 64.7 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 35.3% 31.3% 0
LAA @ MIN
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
132 Manny Machado 3/3 TOR @ SD 3B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 14%
ERA 4.32
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +181 64.4 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 35.6% 31.1% 1
TOR @ SD
4:10 PM ET
Final
W
133 Coby Mayo
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 KC @ BAL
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 5%
ERA 4.56
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +180 64.3 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 35.7% 31.0% 0
KC @ BAL
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
134 Jesus Rodriguez
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 COL @ SF
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 6.46
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +180 64.3 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 35.7% 31.0% N/A
COL @ SF
4:05 PM ET
Final
135 Juan Soto 3/3 BOS @ NYM LF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.14
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +179 64.2 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 35.8% 30.8% 0
BOS @ NYM
1:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
136 Jake Burger 3/3 HOU @ TEX 1B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 10.22
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +177 63.9 0, 4, 1
2/3
66.7%
 36.1% 30.6% 0
HOU @ TEX
2:35 PM ET
Final
L
137 Jorge Soler 3/3 LAA @ MIN
RHB vs RHP
Average 55%
ERA 3.67
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +177 63.9 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 36.1% 30.6% 0
LAA @ MIN
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
138 Vinnie Pasquantino
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 KC @ BAL 1B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 4.21
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +176 63.8 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 36.2% 30.4% 0
KC @ BAL
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
139 Mike Trout
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 LAA @ MIN DH
RHB vs RHP
Average 55%
ERA 3.67
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +171 63.1 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
 36.9% 29.8% 0
LAA @ MIN
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
140 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 3/3 NYY @ WSH PH
LHB vs RHP
Average 53%
ERA 3.88
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +170 63.0 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
 37.0% 29.6% 1
NYY @ WSH
1:35 PM ET
Final
W
141 Chase DeLauter 3/3 CLE @ MIA RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.28
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +167 62.5 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
 37.5% 29.2% 1
CLE @ MIA
1:40 PM ET
Final
W
142 Casey Schmitt 3/3 COL @ SF
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 6.46
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +166 62.4 3, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
 37.6% 29.1% 0
COL @ SF
4:05 PM ET
Final
L
143 Jordan Walker 3/3 ATL @ STL RF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.60
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +158 61.2 0, 1, 3
2/3
66.7%
 38.8% 27.9% 0
ATL @ STL
2:15 PM ET
Final
L
144 James Wood 3/3 NYY @ WSH
LHB vs RHP
Weak 20%
ERA 4.15
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +156 60.9 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 39.1% 27.6% 1
NYY @ WSH
1:35 PM ET
Final
W
145 Samuel Basallo 3/3 KC @ BAL
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 5%
ERA 4.56
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +155 60.8 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 39.2% 27.5% 1
KC @ BAL
1:35 PM ET
Final
W
146 Ben Rice 3/3 NYY @ WSH DH
LHB vs RHP
Average 53%
ERA 3.88
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +150 60.0 0, 1, 5
2/3
66.7%
 40.0% 26.7% 2
NYY @ WSH
1:35 PM ET
Final
W
147 Jac Caglianone 3/3 KC @ BAL RF
LHB vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 4.21
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +150 60.0 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 40.0% 26.7% 0
KC @ BAL
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
148 Brandon Nimmo 3/3 HOU @ TEX RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 10.22
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +149 59.8 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 40.2% 26.5% 2
HOU @ TEX
2:35 PM ET
Final
W
149 Willson Contreras
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 BOS @ NYM 1B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.35
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +147 59.5 0, 2, 3
2/3
66.7%
 40.5% 26.2% N/A
BOS @ NYM
1:40 PM ET
Final/10
150 Kazuma Okamoto 3/3 TOR @ SD 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.02
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +145 59.2 0, 3, 4
2/3
66.7%
 40.8% 25.9% 0
TOR @ SD
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 126–150 of 285 plays
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