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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Jul 17 →
Wins
0
Losses
3
Push
3
Win %
0%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-17 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
348
Total Found
275
Shown
275
Actionable
56
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
26 Esmerlyn Valdez ELITE 3/3 PIT @ CLE
RHB vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 3.81
 Hits 0.5 -150 90.0 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 60.0% 40.0% N/A
PIT @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Postponed
27 Heriberto Hernandez ELITE 3/3 MIA @ MIL LF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.18
 Hits 0.5 -150 90.0 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 60.0% 40.0% 1
MIA @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final/10
W
28 Casey Schmitt ELITE 3/3 SF @ SEA
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.18
 Hits 0.5 -151 89.8 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 60.2% 39.8% 2
SF @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final
W
29 Enrique Hernández ELITE
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 LAD @ NYY 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.04
 Hits 0.5 -155 89.2 2, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 60.8% 39.2% N/A
LAD @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
30 Tim Tawa 3/3 STL @ ARI 1B TBD Home Runs 0.5 +800 88.9 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 11.1% 55.6% 1
STL @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
31 Nick Fortes ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 TB @ BOS C
RHB vs LHP
ERA 2.64
 Hits 0.5 -160 88.5 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 61.5% 38.5% 0
TB @ BOS
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
32 Nick Fortes ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 TB @ BOS C
RHB vs LHP
ERA 2.64
 Hits 0.5 -160 88.5 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 61.5% 38.5% 0
TB @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
33 Steven Kwan ELITE 3/3 PIT @ CLE LF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.37
 Hits 0.5 -160 88.5 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 61.5% 38.5% N/A
PIT @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Postponed
34 Tommy Edman ELITE 3/3 LAD @ NYY PH
S vs RHP
ERA 4.04
 Hits 0.5 -160 88.5 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 61.5% 38.5% 1
LAD @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
W
35 Samuel Basallo ELITE 3/3 BAL @ HOU
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.14
 Hits 0.5 -163 88.0 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 62.0% 38.0% 0
BAL @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
36 Randy Arozarena ELITE 3/3 SF @ SEA LF
RHB vs RHP
Weak 16%
ERA 4.27
 Hits 0.5 -165 87.7 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 62.3% 37.7% 0
SF @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
37 Jose Altuve ELITE 3/3 BAL @ HOU 2B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.09
 Hits 0.5 -171 86.9 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 63.1% 36.9% 0
BAL @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
38 Garrett Mitchell ELITE 3/3 MIA @ MIL CF
LHB vs RHP
Good 75%
ERA 3.99
 Hits 0.5 -175 86.4 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 63.6% 36.4% 2
MIA @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final/10
W
39 Josh Naylor ELITE 3/3 SF @ SEA 1B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 16%
ERA 4.27
 Hits 0.5 -180 85.7 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 64.3% 35.7% 1
SF @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final
W
40 Max Kepler ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 STL @ ARI TBD Hits 0.5 -180 85.7 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 64.3% 35.7% 1
STL @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
41 Wyatt Langford ELITE 3/3 TEX @ ATL LF
RHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.20
 Hits 0.5 -180 85.7 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 64.3% 35.7% 0
TEX @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
42 Yainer Diaz ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 BAL @ HOU C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.09
 Hits 0.5 -180 85.7 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 64.3% 35.7% N/A
BAL @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
43 Brice Turang 3/3 MIA @ MIL 2B
LHB vs RHP
Good 75%
ERA 3.99
 Home Runs 0.5 +575 85.2 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 14.8% 51.9% 0
MIA @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
44 Chase DeLauter 3/3 PIT @ CLE RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.37
 Home Runs 0.5 +575 85.2 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 14.8% 51.9% N/A
PIT @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Postponed
45 Xavier Edwards ELITE 3/3 MIA @ MIL
S vs RHP
ERA 3.18
 Hits 0.5 -186 85.0 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 65.0% 35.0% 1
MIA @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final/10
W
46 Brady House ELITE
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 WSH @ OAK
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.51
 Hits 0.5 -190 84.5 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 65.5% 34.5% N/A
WSH @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
47 Bryan Reynolds ELITE 3/3 PIT @ CLE LF
S vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 3.81
 Hits 0.5 -190 84.5 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 65.5% 34.5% N/A
PIT @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Postponed
48 Cody Bellinger ELITE 3/3 LAD @ NYY LF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.33
 Hits 0.5 -190 84.5 2, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 65.5% 34.5% 1
LAD @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
W
49 Esmerlyn Valdez 3/3 PIT @ CLE
RHB vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 3.81
 Home Runs 0.5 +525 84.0 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 16.0% 50.7% N/A
PIT @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Postponed
50 Brayan Rocchio ELITE 3/3 PIT @ CLE SS
S vs RHP
ERA 4.37
 Hits 0.5 -200 83.3 2, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 66.7% 33.3% N/A
PIT @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Postponed
Showing 26–50 of 275 plays
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