Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-17 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

348

Total Found

275

Shown

275

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
201	Nolan Arenado	3/3	STL @ ARI	3B	TBD	Hits	0.5	-160	38.5	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	61.5%	5.1%	0	STL @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
202	Starling Marte ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	SD @ KC		Michael King RHB vs RHP Average 60% ERA 3.41	Hits	0.5	-160	38.5	1, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	61.5%	5.1%	N/A	SD @ KC 8:10 PM ET Final/10
203	Mike Trout	3/3	DET @ LAA	DH	Troy Melton RHB vs RHP ERA 1.82	Hits	0.5	-162	38.2	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	61.8%	4.8%	1	DET @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final W
204	Dansby Swanson	3/3	MIN @ CHC	SS	Bailey Ober RHB vs RHP Average 69% ERA 4.40	Hits	0.5	-164	37.9	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	62.1%	4.5%	0	MIN @ CHC 8:05 PM ET Final L
205	Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ CLE	2B	Gavin Williams LHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.81	Hits	0.5	-165	37.7	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	62.3%	4.4%	N/A	PIT @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Postponed
206	Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TEX @ ATL	RF	Chris Sale LHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.20	Hits	0.5	-165	37.7	3, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	62.3%	4.4%	1	TEX @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final W
207	Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ TOR	SS	Spencer Miles LHB vs RHP ERA 2.85	Hits	0.5	-165	37.7	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	62.3%	4.4%	2	CHW @ TOR 7:15 PM ET Final W
208	Endy Rodriguez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PIT @ CLE		Gavin Williams S vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.81	Hits	0.5	-165	37.7	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	62.3%	4.4%	N/A	PIT @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Postponed
209	Gary Sanchez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ MIL	PH	Sandy Alcantara RHB vs RHP Good 75% ERA 3.99	Hits	0.5	-165	37.7	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	62.3%	4.4%	N/A	MIA @ MIL 7:40 PM ET Final/10
210	Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	STL @ ARI	PH	TBD	Hits	0.5	-165	37.7	2, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	62.3%	4.4%	1	STL @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final W
211	J.P. Crawford	3/3	SF @ SEA	SS	Landen Roupp LHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 4.27	Hits	0.5	-165	37.7	3, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	62.3%	4.4%	0	SF @ SEA 10:10 PM ET Final L
212	Jake Bauers	3/3	MIA @ MIL	1B	Sandy Alcantara LHB vs RHP Good 75% ERA 3.99	Hits	0.5	-165	37.7	1, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	62.3%	4.4%	0	MIA @ MIL 7:40 PM ET Final/10 L
213	Riley Greene	3/3	DET @ LAA	DH	Reid Detmers LHB vs LHP Average 51% ERA 4.39	Hits	0.5	-165	37.7	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	62.3%	4.4%	1	DET @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final W
214	Spencer Jones ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ NYY	RF	Roki Sasaki LHB vs RHP ERA 5.33	Hits	0.5	-165	37.7	1, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	62.3%	4.4%	N/A	LAD @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final
215	Taylor Ward	3/3	BAL @ HOU		Peter Lambert RHB vs RHP ERA 3.14	Hits	0.5	-165	37.7	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	62.3%	4.4%	1	BAL @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final W
216	Yohendrick Pinango ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ TOR		TBD	Hits	0.5	-165	37.7	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	62.3%	4.4%	N/A	CHW @ TOR 7:15 PM ET Final
217	Austin Riley	3/3	TEX @ ATL	3B	Cal Quantrill RHB vs RHP ERA 3.11	Hits	0.5	-170	37.0	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	63.0%	3.7%	2	TEX @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final W
218	Graham Pauley ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIA @ MIL	3B	Logan Henderson LHB vs RHP ERA 3.18	Hits	0.5	-172	36.8	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	63.2%	3.4%	N/A	MIA @ MIL 7:40 PM ET Final/10
219	Blaze Jordan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ ARI		TBD	Hits	0.5	-175	36.4	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	63.6%	3.0%	N/A	STL @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final
220	Jake Cronenworth	3/3	SD @ KC	2B	Seth Lugo LHB vs RHP Replacement 5% ERA 4.56	Hits	0.5	-175	36.4	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	63.6%	3.0%	0	SD @ KC 8:10 PM ET Final/10 L
221	Luke Keaschall	3/3	MIN @ CHC	RF	Colin Rea RHB vs RHP Average 41% ERA 4.75	Hits	0.5	-175	36.4	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	63.6%	3.0%	2	MIN @ CHC 8:05 PM ET Final W
222	Roman Anthony ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TB @ BOS	DH	Griffin Jax LHB vs RHP ERA 3.47	Hits	0.5	-175	36.4	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	63.6%	3.0%	N/A	TB @ BOS 1:35 PM ET Final
223	Roman Anthony ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TB @ BOS	DH	Griffin Jax LHB vs RHP ERA 3.47	Hits	0.5	-175	36.4	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	63.6%	3.0%	N/A	TB @ BOS 7:10 PM ET Final
224	Trent Grisham	3/3	LAD @ NYY	CF	Roki Sasaki LHB vs RHP ERA 5.33	Hits	0.5	-175	36.4	0, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	63.6%	3.0%	0	LAD @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final L
225	Tyler Freeman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ COL		Brady Singer RHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 4.72	Hits	0.5	-175	36.4	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	63.6%	3.0%	0	CIN @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final L

Showing 201–225 of 275 plays

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