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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Jul 11 – Jul 17 →
Wins
0
Losses
16
Push
8
Win %
0%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-17 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
348
Total Found
275
Shown
275
Actionable
56
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
1 Tim Tawa ELITE 3/3 STL @ ARI 1B TBD Runs Batted In 0.5 +313 125.8 1, 2, 4
3/3
100.0%
 24.2% 75.8% 1
STL @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
2 James Wood ELITE 3/3 WSH @ OAK
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.51
 Home Runs 0.5 +280 123.7 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 26.3% 73.7% 0
WSH @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
3 Esmerlyn Valdez ELITE 3/3 PIT @ CLE
RHB vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 3.81
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +222 118.9 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 31.1% 68.9% N/A
PIT @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Postponed
4 Bryan Reynolds ELITE 3/3 PIT @ CLE LF
S vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 3.81
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +210 117.7 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 32.3% 67.7% N/A
PIT @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Postponed
5 Gunnar Henderson ELITE 3/3 BAL @ HOU
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.14
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +192 115.8 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 34.2% 65.8% 0
BAL @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
6 Brice Turang ELITE 3/3 MIA @ MIL 2B
LHB vs RHP
Good 75%
ERA 3.99
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +190 115.5 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 34.5% 65.5% 0
MIA @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
7 Yordan Alvarez ELITE 3/3 BAL @ HOU LF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.09
 Hits 1.5 +185 114.9 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 35.1% 64.9% 2
BAL @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
W
8 Samuel Basallo ELITE 3/3 BAL @ HOU
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.14
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +181 114.4 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 35.6% 64.4% 0
BAL @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
9 James Wood ELITE 3/3 WSH @ OAK
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.51
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +130 106.5 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 43.5% 56.5% 2
WSH @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
10 JJ Bleday ELITE 3/3 CIN @ COL LF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.00
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +111 102.6 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 47.4% 52.6% 0
CIN @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
L
11 Jake Rogers ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 DET @ LAA
RHB vs LHP
Average 51%
ERA 4.39
 Hits 0.5 +110 102.4 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 47.6% 52.4% 0
DET @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
L
12 James McCann ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 STL @ ARI C TBD Hits 0.5 +106 101.5 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 48.5% 51.5% N/A
STL @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
13 Hunter Feduccia ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 TB @ BOS
LHB vs LHP
ERA 2.64
 Hits 0.5 +105 101.2 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 48.8% 51.2% 0
TB @ BOS
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
14 Hunter Feduccia ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 TB @ BOS
LHB vs LHP
ERA 2.64
 Hits 0.5 +105 101.2 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 48.8% 51.2% 0
TB @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
15 Drew Gilbert ELITE 3/3 SF @ SEA CF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.18
 Hits 0.5 +103 100.7 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 49.3% 50.7% 0
SF @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
16 Patrick Bailey ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 PIT @ CLE C
S vs RHP
ERA 4.37
 Hits 0.5 -120 95.5 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 54.5% 45.5% N/A
PIT @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Postponed
17 Tim Tawa ELITE 3/3 STL @ ARI 1B TBD Hits 0.5 -120 95.5 1, 3, 3
3/3
100.0%
 54.5% 45.5% 2
STL @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
18 Tristan Gray ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 MIN @ CHC
LHB vs RHP
Average 41%
ERA 4.75
 Hits 0.5 -130 93.5 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 56.5% 43.5% 0
MIN @ CHC
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
19 Jonatan Clase ELITE 3/3 CWS @ TOR TBD Hits 0.5 -135 92.6 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 57.4% 42.6% 0
CHW @ TOR
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
20 LaMonte Wade Jr. ELITE 3/3 BAL @ HOU PH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.09
 Hits 0.5 -135 92.6 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 57.4% 42.6% 0
BAL @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
21 Mike Yastrzemski ELITE
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 TEX @ ATL LF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.11
 Hits 0.5 -139 91.8 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 58.2% 41.8% N/A
TEX @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
22 Cole Young ELITE 3/3 SF @ SEA 2B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 16%
ERA 4.27
 Hits 0.5 -140 91.7 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 58.3% 41.7% 0
SF @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
23 Gabriel Arias ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 PIT @ CLE
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.37
 Hits 0.5 -140 91.7 1, 3, 1
3/3
100.0%
 58.3% 41.7% N/A
PIT @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Postponed
24 Jake Rogers
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 DET @ LAA
RHB vs LHP
Average 51%
ERA 4.39
 Home Runs 0.5 +1000 90.9 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 9.1% 57.6% 0
DET @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
L
25 Luisangel Acuña ELITE
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 CWS @ TOR PR
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.85
 Hits 0.5 -149 90.2 2, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 59.8% 40.2% 0
CHW @ TOR
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 1–25 of 275 plays
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