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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Jul 18 →
Wins
1
Losses
2
Push
2
Win %
33.3%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-18 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
364
Total Found
238
Shown
238
Actionable
26
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
151 Nick Fortes
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 TB @ BOS C
RHB vs LHP
ERA 2.08
 Hits 0.5 -165 37.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 62.3% 4.4% 1
TB @ BOS
4:10 PM ET
Final
W
152 Spencer Jones
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 LAD @ NYY RF
LHB vs RHP
Average 40%
ERA 4.81
 Hits 0.5 -165 37.7 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
 62.3% 4.4% N/A
LAD @ NYY
8:08 PM ET
Postponed
153 Yohendrick Pinango
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 CWS @ TOR TBD Hits 0.5 -165 37.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 62.3% 4.4% N/A
CHW @ TOR
3:07 PM ET
Final
154 Sam Antonacci 3/3 CWS @ TOR DH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 7.64
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
 12.5% 20.8% 0
CHW @ TOR
3:07 PM ET
Final
L
155 Josh Rojas
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 SD @ KC PH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 6.47
 Hits 0.5 -168 37.3 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
 62.7% 4.0% N/A
SD @ KC
4:10 PM ET
Final
156 Graham Pauley
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 MIA @ MIL 3B
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.09
 Hits 0.5 -172 36.8 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 63.2% 3.4% N/A
MIA @ MIL
4:10 PM ET
Final
157 Blaze Jordan
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 STL @ ARI TBD Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 63.6% 3.0% N/A
STL @ ARI
4:10 PM ET
Final
158 Ildemaro Vargas 3/3 STL @ ARI PH
S vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.55
 Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 63.6% 3.0% 0
STL @ ARI
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
159 Roman Anthony
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 TB @ BOS DH
LHB vs LHP
ERA 4.59
 Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 63.6% 3.0% N/A
TB @ BOS
4:10 PM ET
Final
160 Will Smith
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 LAD @ NYY C
RHB vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 4.15
 Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 63.6% 3.0% N/A
LAD @ NYY
8:08 PM ET
Postponed
161 Michael Massey 3/3 SD @ KC 2B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 6.47
 Hits 0.5 -178 36.0 3, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 64.0% 2.6% 1
SD @ KC
4:10 PM ET
Final
W
162 Isaac Paredes 3/3 BAL @ HOU DH
RHB vs LHP
Average 34%
ERA 4.48
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 35.7 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
 14.3% 19.0% 0
BAL @ HOU
4:10 PM ET
Final/11
L
163 Taylor Ward 3/3 BAL @ HOU
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.50
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 35.7 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
 14.3% 19.0% 0
BAL @ HOU
4:10 PM ET
Final/11
L
164 Edmundo Sosa
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 NYM @ PHI 3B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.56
 Hits 0.5 -180 35.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 64.3% 2.4% 2
NYM @ PHI
3:05 PM ET
Final
W
165 Gabriel Gonzalez
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 MIN @ CHC
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.50
 Hits 0.5 -185 35.1 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 64.9% 1.8% N/A
MIN @ CHC
2:20 PM ET
Final
166 Joc Pederson
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 TEX @ ATL
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.25
 Hits 0.5 -185 35.1 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 64.9% 1.8% 2
TEX @ ATL
4:10 PM ET
Final
W
167 Victor Caratini
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 MIN @ CHC C
S vs LHP
ERA 4.50
 Hits 0.5 -185 35.1 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 64.9% 1.8% 1
MIN @ CHC
2:20 PM ET
Final
W
168 Chase DeLauter 3/3 PIT @ CLE RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.37
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +550 34.6 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
 15.4% 17.9% 1
PIT @ CLE
1:10 PM ET
Final
L
169 Chase DeLauter 3/3 PIT @ CLE RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.37
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +550 34.6 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
 15.4% 17.9% 1
PIT @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
170 Joey Meneses
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 WSH @ OAK
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 4%
ERA 4.90
 Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 65.5% 1.1% N/A
WSH @ ATH
10:05 PM ET
Final
171 Jose Fermin 3/3 STL @ ARI LF TBD Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 65.5% 1.1% 0
STL @ ARI
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
172 Jesus Rodriguez
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 SF @ SEA
RHB vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 4.23
 Hits 0.5 -199 33.4 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 66.6% 0.1% N/A
SF @ SEA
8:08 PM ET
Final/10
173 Austin Hedges
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 PIT @ CLE C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.37
 Hits 1.5 +500 33.3 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
 16.7% 16.7% 0
PIT @ CLE
1:10 PM ET
Final
L
174 Austin Hedges
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 PIT @ CLE C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.37
 Hits 1.5 +500 33.3 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
 16.7% 16.7% 0
PIT @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
175 Curtis Mead 3/3 WSH @ OAK
RHB vs RHP
Average 49%
ERA 3.67
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +500 33.3 3, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
 16.7% 16.7% 0
WSH @ ATH
10:05 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 151–175 of 238 plays
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