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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Jun 19 – Jul 18 →
Wins
20
Losses
59
Push
46
Win %
25.3%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-18 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
364
Total Found
238
Shown
238
Actionable
26
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
1 Eugenio Suarez ELITE 3/3 CIN @ COL DH
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.80
 Home Runs 0.5 +350 127.8 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 22.2% 77.8% 0
CIN @ COL
3:10 PM ET
Final
L
2 Yordan Alvarez ELITE 3/3 BAL @ HOU LF
LHB vs LHP
Average 34%
ERA 4.48
 Hits 1.5 +220 118.8 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 31.3% 68.8% 1
BAL @ HOU
4:10 PM ET
Final/11
L
3 Esmerlyn Valdez ELITE 3/3 PIT @ CLE
RHB vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 3.81
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +180 114.3 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 35.7% 64.3% 1
PIT @ CLE
1:10 PM ET
Final
W
4 Esmerlyn Valdez ELITE 3/3 PIT @ CLE
RHB vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 3.81
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +180 114.3 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 35.7% 64.3% 1
PIT @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
5 Ty France ELITE 3/3 SD @ KC 1B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 1.86
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +158 111.2 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 38.8% 61.2% 0
SD @ KC
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
6 Eugenio Suarez ELITE 3/3 CIN @ COL DH
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.80
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +120 104.5 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 45.5% 54.5% 0
CIN @ COL
3:10 PM ET
Final
L
7 James McCann ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 STL @ ARI C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.55
 Hits 0.5 +106 101.5 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 48.5% 51.5% 1
STL @ ARI
4:10 PM ET
Final
W
8 Patrick Bailey ELITE 3/3 PIT @ CLE C
S vs RHP
ERA 4.37
 Hits 0.5 -109 97.8 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 52.2% 47.8% 1
PIT @ CLE
1:10 PM ET
Final
W
9 Patrick Bailey ELITE 3/3 PIT @ CLE C
S vs RHP
ERA 4.37
 Hits 0.5 -109 97.8 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 52.2% 47.8% 1
PIT @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
10 Griffin Conine ELITE 3/3 MIA @ MIL RF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.09
 Hits 0.5 -123 94.8 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 55.2% 44.8% 1
MIA @ MIL
4:10 PM ET
Final
W
11 Mike Yastrzemski ELITE
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 TEX @ ATL LF
LHB vs LHP
Replacement 3%
ERA 4.63
 Hits 0.5 -139 91.8 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 58.2% 41.8% N/A
TEX @ ATL
4:10 PM ET
Final
12 Brandon Valenzuela ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 CWS @ TOR C TBD Hits 0.5 -148 90.3 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 59.7% 40.3% N/A
CHW @ TOR
3:07 PM ET
Final
13 Hao-Yu Lee ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 DET @ LAA
Unknown
ERA 7.55
 Hits 0.5 -149 90.2 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 59.8% 40.2% N/A
DET @ LAA
10:07 PM ET
Final
14 Esmerlyn Valdez ELITE 3/3 PIT @ CLE
RHB vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 3.81
 Hits 0.5 -150 90.0 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 60.0% 40.0% 1
PIT @ CLE
1:10 PM ET
Final
W
15 Esmerlyn Valdez ELITE 3/3 PIT @ CLE
RHB vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 3.81
 Hits 0.5 -150 90.0 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 60.0% 40.0% 1
PIT @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
16 Tim Tawa 3/3 STL @ ARI 1B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.55
 Home Runs 0.5 +900 90.0 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 10.0% 56.7% 0
STL @ ARI
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
17 Sam Antonacci 3/3 CWS @ TOR DH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 7.64
 Home Runs 0.5 +850 89.5 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 10.5% 56.1% 0
CHW @ TOR
3:07 PM ET
Final
L
18 Enrique Hernandez ELITE 3/3 LAD @ NYY 3B
RHB vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 4.15
 Hits 0.5 -155 89.2 2, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 60.8% 39.2% N/A
LAD @ NYY
8:08 PM ET
Postponed
19 Braden Montgomery 3/3 CWS @ TOR RF
S vs RHP
ERA 7.64
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 87.5 4, 4, 0
2/3
66.7%
 12.5% 54.2% 0
CHW @ TOR
3:07 PM ET
Final
L
20 Brice Turang
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 MIA @ MIL 2B
LHB vs RHP
Good 83%
ERA 2.58
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 87.5 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
 12.5% 54.2% N/A
MIA @ MIL
4:10 PM ET
Final
21 Curtis Mead 3/3 WSH @ OAK
RHB vs RHP
Average 49%
ERA 3.67
 Home Runs 0.5 +650 86.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 13.3% 53.3% 0
WSH @ ATH
10:05 PM ET
Final
L
22 Taylor Ward 3/3 BAL @ HOU
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.50
 Home Runs 0.5 +650 86.7 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 13.3% 53.3% 0
BAL @ HOU
4:10 PM ET
Final/11
L
23 Ty France 3/3 SD @ KC 1B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 1.86
 Home Runs 0.5 +650 86.7 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 13.3% 53.3% 0
SD @ KC
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
24 J.T. Realmuto ELITE 3/3 NYM @ PHI C
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.56
 Hits 0.5 -175 86.4 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 63.6% 36.4% 2
NYM @ PHI
3:05 PM ET
Final
W
25 Kyle Schwarber ELITE 3/3 NYM @ PHI DH
LHB vs LHP
ERA 4.56
 Hits 0.5 -175 86.4 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 63.6% 36.4% 1
NYM @ PHI
3:05 PM ET
Final
W
Showing 1–25 of 238 plays
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