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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Jul 21 →
Wins
1
Losses
3
Push
2
Win %
25%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-21 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
354
Total Found
279
Shown
279
Actionable
73
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
251 Miguel Vargas 3/3 CWS @ TEX 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.40
 Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 3, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 65.5% 1.1% 1
CHW @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
W
252 Nasim Nunez 3/3 WSH @ COL
S vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 6.22
 Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 65.5% 1.1% 2
WSH @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
W
253 Paul Goldschmidt 3/3 PIT @ NYY PH
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.77
 Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 65.5% 1.1% N/A
PIT @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Postponed
254 Randal Grichuk
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 CWS @ TEX LF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.40
 Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 65.5% 1.1% N/A
CHW @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
255 Steven Kwan 3/3 MIN @ CLE LF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 2.79
 Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 0, 2, 3
2/3
66.7%
 65.5% 1.1% 1
MIN @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
256 Vinnie Pasquantino
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 SF @ KC 1B
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 5.31
 Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 65.5% 1.1% 2
SF @ KC
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
257 Willson Contreras 3/3 BAL @ BOS 1B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 3.61
 Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 3, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 65.5% 1.1% N/A
BAL @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Postponed
258 Yainer Diaz
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 MIA @ HOU C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.48
 Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 65.5% 1.1% N/A
MIA @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
259 Francisco Lindor 3/3 NYM @ MIL SS
S vs RHP
ERA 5.16
 Hits 0.5 -195 33.9 1, 3, 0
2/3
66.7%
 66.1% 0.6% 3
NYM @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
260 Jesus Rodriguez
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 SF @ KC
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.08
 Hits 0.5 -199 33.4 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 66.6% 0.1% 1
SF @ KC
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
261 Alex Bregman 3/3 DET @ CHC DH
RHB vs LHP
Weak 29%
ERA 4.10
 Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 66.7% 0.0% 1
DET @ CHC
8:05 PM ET
Final
W
262 Andrew Vaughn 3/3 NYM @ MIL PH
RHB vs LHP
ERA 2.60
 Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 66.7% 0.0% 0
NYM @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
263 Blaze Alexander
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 BAL @ BOS
RHB vs LHP
Average 43%
ERA 3.15
 Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 66.7% 0.0% N/A
BAL @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Postponed
264 Carter Jensen 3/3 SF @ KC C
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 5.31
 Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
 66.7% 0.0% 1
SF @ KC
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
265 Christian Yelich
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 NYM @ MIL DH
LHB vs LHP
ERA 2.60
 Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 66.7% 0.0% N/A
NYM @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final
266 Corbin Carroll
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 OAK @ ARI RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 6.87
 Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 66.7% 0.0% 1
ATH @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final/10
W
267 Gunnar Henderson 3/3 BAL @ BOS
LHB vs LHP
Average 43%
ERA 3.15
 Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 3, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 66.7% 0.0% N/A
BAL @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Postponed
268 Lane Thomas 3/3 SF @ KC
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 5.31
 Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
 66.7% 0.0% 0
SF @ KC
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
269 Nathan Lukes 3/3 TB @ TOR RF
LHB vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 3.26
 Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 66.7% 0.0% 1
TB @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
W
270 David Hamilton
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 NYM @ MIL 3B
LHB vs LHP
ERA 2.60
 Hits 1.5 +360 28.3 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
 21.7% 11.6% N/A
NYM @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final
271 Tommy Pham
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 CWS @ TEX PH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.40
 Hits 1.5 +360 28.3 1, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
 21.7% 11.6% N/A
CHW @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
272 Aaron Judge
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 PIT @ NYY
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.77
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +340 27.3 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
 22.7% 10.6% N/A
PIT @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Postponed
273 Giancarlo Stanton
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 PIT @ NYY PH
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.77
 Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
 25.0% 8.3% N/A
PIT @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Postponed
274 Brenton Doyle
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 WSH @ COL
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.53
 Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
 27.8% 5.6% N/A
WSH @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
275 Spencer Horwitz
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 PIT @ NYY 1B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 20%
ERA 4.03
 Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
 30.3% 3.0% N/A
PIT @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Postponed
Showing 251–275 of 279 plays
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